Author: Xu Jijun Headline number: Han Tang think tank
html On September 26, the energy artery connecting Russia and EU , the natural gas pipelines " Beixi-1" and " Beixi-2" leaked, and there was a strong underwater explosion.
This explosion triggered a strong earthquake of magnitude 2.3, and 30 seismic measurement stations in the south of Sweden have been recorded.
But it was not until September 27 that Sweden and Denmark did not find a leak in the natural gas pipeline.
Why did the leak and explosion be discovered after one day?
Because the two natural gas pipelines "Beixi-1" and "Beixi-2" are not currently operating, so after the explosion and leakage, the operator cannot monitor the relevant information based on the pipeline pressure as soon as possible.
Although the two pipelines are not running, the pipeline is still full of natural gas, so after an explosion, the stock of natural gas in the pipeline will also leak out.
This is a description of the background of the accident. The
accident was by no means accidental. The two pipelines, "Beixi-1" and "Beixi-2", had three serious natural gas leaks at the same time, two occurred in "Beixi-1" and one occurred in "Beixi-2".
Two pipes, and three places exploded at the same time. Obviously, this is by no means accidental, but obvious human factors. After the accident, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov called the incident "destroyed" and the situation of the "Northern Stream" pipeline will affect the energy security throughout Europe.
htmlOn the evening of the 127th, Danish Prime Minister Frazier Rixson said that the leakage of the "North Stream" natural gas pipeline was not an "accident" but "deliberate destruction."
Poland Former Foreign Minister Sikolsky tweeted, just a picture of the sea explosion, with a sentence on it: Thank you, the United States (Thank you, USA).
Since the Russian-Ukrainian War, the price of natural gas in Europe has risen five times and the electricity price has risen ten times.
Now winter is approaching, and the battle of will between Russia and the EU has reached the most critical moment. German people have been taking to the streets to protest the government, demanding the lifting of sanctions against Russia to reduce energy prices!
In this context, the EU and Russia will definitely not want an explosion in the natural gas pipeline! The psychological blow brought by this explosion will be very serious, directly pushing up expectations of rising EU gas prices, making the EU worse.
For Russia, the current strategy is to use two pipelines to transport natural gas to hold the EU and create internal disputes in the EU, thus forcing the EU to reduce sanctions on Russia.
Nowadays, two pipelines have exploded and leaked. If both sides still intend to maintain energy trade, they need to be repaired. From the perspective of pipeline safety, it needs to be repaired and improved as soon as possible after the explosion, otherwise the pipeline quality will be irreversible.
As the owner of the pipeline, Russia cannot let it go, and it must be repaired as soon as possible.
The most critical question is, how long does it take to repair the pipeline?
The more important question is, after the pipeline is repaired, will the EU purchase Russian natural gas?
The more important question is, if the EU wants to buy it, will Russia sell it?
The more important question is, after the EU and Russia buy and sell, will Ukrainian , as the transitor, secretly obstruct or directly destroy it?
You should know that the mastermind behind the scenes can make an explosion once, and two or three explosions!
So, what force did this explosion?
First exclude general international terrorist organizations! This kind of underwater blasting requires extremely high implementation capabilities.These organizations have their own political goals in their actions, and there is no reason to do such things that have no rewards and no demands.
Therefore, the only country entities or organizations that are most likely to implement this explosion.
The simplest logic is that whoever makes the most profit will be the mastermind.
September 27, US Secretary of State Blinken said at a press conference that there were preliminary reports that the damage to the "North Stream" pipeline may be due to attack or damage, which the US side cannot confirm, but Blinken said that the pipeline leakage "is obviously not in anyone's interest."
The low level of public lying among politicians in China is sometimes surprising!
The reason is that people are doing bad things openly and doing perjury publicly. What can other countries do to me?
Former US Secretary of State Pompeo publicly said in an interview: "We lie, we deceive, we steal. We also have a course to teach these. This is the glory of the United States' continuous exploration and progress."
Now, Blinken said that the leak of the Nord Stream pipeline "is obviously not in anyone's interest"! This person obviously does not include the United States!
Because the Nord Stream pipeline leak is most in the interests of the United States and Ukraine!
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian War, the United States LNG natural gas has been continuously sold to the EU, making profits far exceeding that before the war.
Russia transports about 150 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Europe every year, and also exports 14 billion cubic meters to 18 billion cubic meters of liquefied natural gas , accounting for more than 40% of the total natural gas imports on the European continent.
In February 2022, the export of natural gas produced in the United States to Europe increased sharply. By September 2022, the United States' liquefied natural gas exports jumped to the top in the world.
Data released by the International Energy Agency on June 30, 2022 showed that the EU imported liquefied natural gas from the United States in June exceeded pipeline natural gas imported from Russia for the first time.
Europe has increased its purchase of natural gas from the United States. On average, each natural gas ship sailing to Europe in the United States can earn more than $100 million.
EU plans to ban Russian oil imports in stages starting from December.
The US Department of Energy said on September 19 that it will release another 10 million barrels of oil reserves before the EU's "Russia ban order".
EU bleeding, the United States sucks blood.
Chinese and Russian applaud!
In addition to the United States, Ukraine is also a profitable party, which is conducive to winning the EU's firmer war support for it.
The problem is that Ukrainian territory is not close to the Atlantic Ocean at all, and it is impossible to run to the bottom of the Baltic Sea to explode! His military strength basically does not have the ability to carry out this operation!
Only the United States, only NATO has this strength and motivation!
As early as February 2022, when Biden publicly answered reporters' questions, he claimed: If Russia launches an invasion, there will be no "North Stream-2" and we will terminate it.
reporter said, however, this project is under Germany's control, how can you do this?
Biden pretended to be profound: I promise you that we will be able to do this...
is, the United States has the ability and confidence to do this! The key is that after doing it, no one dares to ask or no one dares to check it out!
In January 2022, Danish Defense Intelligence Director Fenson was arrested. The Danish Defense Intelligence Agency was revealed to have helped the United States monitor political leaders from many European countries, including then German Chancellor Merkel . In August 2020, Danish media also reported that The US National Security Agency can freely obtain raw Internet data including Danish citizens' privacy information through the Danish Defense Intelligence Agency.
htmlOn September 16, the Danish state procuratorate said that it had accused Lars Fenson of leaking highly confidential information and treason.
The United States' penetration, bribery and control of allies has been completely public.
However, these NATO allies of the United States continued to follow the United States and do all the bad things!
Why? The situation is stronger than others! Do bad things with the United States, eat meat in the United States, and drink soup by yourself. If you don’t do bad things with the United States, the United States will eat meat and you can only eat shit.
Originally, the EU still had fantasy about reaching a compromise with Russia to purchase Russian natural gas before the arrival of winter to relieve the pressure in winter.
Now the pipeline is exploding, and I don’t know when I am repaired and activated.
This winter, the EU can only continue to buy US liquefied gas at high prices, and also accept the threat of temporary asking prices. Faced with the pressure of protest from domestic people, leaders of EU countries may be forced to hold the United States' thigh and shout for help, dad, dad, and dad.
This is exactly: The United States abuses me thousands of times, and I treat America as my first love!