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Just as the Ukrainian army rushed and beat hard in Kharkov and regained thousands of square kilometers of lost territory, thinking that it had achieved a great victory, Russia gave Ukrainian another blow.
A few days ago, the key points of the latest TV speech on the situation in Russia and Ukraine were exposed. "Partial mobilization" will begin today, and will "mobilize all available means to protect Russian territory", support Lugansk and other four regions to hold a referendum to Russia, and once again emphasize that "special military operations" against Ukraine is still a necessary move...
That is to say, including Donetsk and Lugansk, which have declared "independence", and Russia accounts for 54 regions of Khelsson and Zaporoze , and will hold a referendum to join Russia.
After these lands were incorporated into Russia, invasion of Russian territory was a crime, and Russia could "use all possible force to defend itself."
The United States and the West quickly followed up, condemning the referendum move and saying that they would refuse to acknowledge its results.
In the eyes of the United States and the West, "all possible force" obviously includes the use of nuclear weapon .
Russia's latest actions show that Russia, which has strong strength and strength in geopolitical games, has always been a strategic player, while Ukraine is like the Tsarist Russian era, always a younger brother.
After the collapse of , Russia's size continued to shrink, but the nuclear weapons in its hands have not shrunk, and now it has become the sword of Damocles hanging high above Ukraine's head.
Ukraine abandoned its military power as soon as it was independent. Ukraine, one of the main promoters of the disintegration of the Soviet Union, was once the "third nuclear power in the world". When it was separated, it received 30% of the former Soviet military power, and many military industrial chains did not even Russia.
In addition to a large amount of military power and a complete industrial chain, the "treasure of the country" that Ukraine is most proud of is thousands of nuclear warheads .
Ukraine once had a considerable number of practical nuclear weapons, including 130 SS-19 missiles and 46 SS-24 missiles . The military industry system also has the ability to manufacture three sub-guided multi-warhead intercontinental missiles: SS-18, SS-19, and SS-24.
Among them, SS-18 is the world's largest two-stage liquid ballistic missile and the world's most powerful nuclear missile; SS-19 is the Soviet Union's highest hit accuracy liquid intercontinental missile ; SS-24z is the first third-stage missile to adopt the solid propellant , and is the only strategic intercontinental missile in the world with railway maneuver combat capabilities.
In the "Trinity" nuclear arsenal, Ukraine has everything except for the lack of nuclear submarine , land-based intercontinental missiles and strategic bombers .
has 19 Tu-160 strategic bombers, which are not only the Trinity air nuclear weapons carrier platform, but also the most powerful strategic bomber in the world. Each Tu-160 strategic bomber can carry 12 air-launched strategic nuclear missiles, and its combat power is comparable to that of the US Air Force B-52 strategic bombers.
In addition, there are 1,272 other strategic missiles and tactical missiles stored in Ukraine.
But after obtaining the nuclear security guarantee of the United Nations "Five Permanents", the Ukrainian authorities destroyed the Great Wall and destroyed all nuclear warheads within a few years.
Nowadays, Ukraine has become a lamb to be slaughtered and cannot blame others.
, which initially expressed his willingness to provide nuclear security guarantees, was the first to turn against others and threaten you with nuclear weapons. What are your solutions?
On September 20, pro-Russian regimes in four regions including Luhansk, Donetsk, Khlsson and Zaporoze jointly announced that a referendum to Russia would be held from September 23 to 27.
With the holding of a referendum in these regions and joining Russia, Russia is likely to officially announce that it will upgrade the "special military operation" to "war" and carry out a general mobilization of the all-Russian war after obtaining a legal basis.
According to Russian Defense Minister Shoigu, Russia's manpower reserves are currently close to 25 million, and this mobilization is expected to convene about 300,000 reserve personnel.
Since the launch of the "Special Military Operation", 61,207 people have died and 49,368 people have been injured; 5,937 people have been killed on the Russian side.
Currently, the front line of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is more than 1,000 kilometers long. This local mobilization is precisely to protect this front and its surrounding territories.
Russia's latest decision gave Ukraine a blow, reducing its confidence in restoring Russia's territory in eastern Ukraine, and also shocked the West, which adopted the appeasement policy for the Ukrainian war.
In fact, since the occupation of Crimea and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Putin has been testing the bottom line of the West.
First, he defined the conflict as a "special military operation" and left room for subsequent actions.
If the action goes smoothly, the Russian army will fight all the way to Kiev to support the pro-Russian government; if the action goes smoothly, it can also announce a decent retreat to Ukraine's goal of "de-Nazization" and "de-militarization".
In order to prevent the West from intervening in Ukraine, Russia has threatened nuclear weapons from the beginning, forcing Western generals to limit the scope of aid to weapons and equipment.
The West really responded, which made Russia see the selfishness of the United States and the essence of "paper tiger", and relies on its identity as a "nuclear power" in its actions and decision-making to be bolder and radical.
html Since early September, with the support of advanced weapons from the United States and the West, the morale of the Ukrainian army has been high, and it has regained thousands of square kilometers of land in one go, and the forward goes straight to the east of the Oskil River.
Russia has always underestimated the enemy and has not invested enough military resources and troops in Ukraine, and has begun to fall into a passive position.
However, when Ukraine achieved a phased victory, Ukraine was hit by a strong counterattack, and Russia's troops were ineffective, Putin used the "trump card" of independence of four places.
The main purpose is to make Ukraine feel great pressure in the fierce confrontation with Russia and then lose confidence in winning, and at the same time scare Europe not to support Ukraine and sit down to negotiate quickly.
At present, in the battle between Russia and Ukraine supported by the West, neither side can defeat each other quickly; at the same time, in the confrontation that lasted for more than 200 days, both sides were exhausted and unsustainable.
In this sense, Russia's move is unexpected and a better move.
There is no better way to do this, except protest.
In addition to carrying out diplomatic encirclement and suppression, Europe will definitely have greater public opinion on anti-war.
The United States must continue to support Ukraine in fighting to the end in order to achieve the goal of strategically weakening Russia and making it unable to recover. What is the outcome of
, it depends on the ability of the United States and the West to compete with Russia.
A country with the second largest area in Europe, its future and destiny depends on other countries. It cannot be said that Ukraine's sorrow is in the hands of holding the number of nuclear weapons similar to that of the United States. It is the key trump card for Russia to be fearless in its confrontation with the West.
In addition to nuclear weapons, Russia still holds energy for the foreseeable future.
In mid-December 2009, a cold airflow from the Arctic swept across Europe, and 90 people were frozen to death, most of whom were homeless wanderers.
9 in September, the European continent is cool and the weather is quite warm.
But is it possible for the warm and humid air flow sent by North Atlantic to resist the super cold current from Russia?
weather may become a decisive factor in ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Relying on the cold winter, the Russians defeated two classic challenges from the European continent Napoleon and Hitler .
history is always surprisingly similar.
Now, Putin and his think tanks must be smirking.
After all, the cold winter is coming soon.
