There is an old saying that goes, "A defeated the enemy without fighting", that is to say, war is actually a worst-case scenario and a last resort. After all, war is related to the national economic development and people's livelihood stability. If you do not have sufficient grasp or the time is not right, you cannot start a war. The truth behind this is actually that "HTM1 Sun Tzu's Art of War " has long stated clearly that "a warrior is a major event in the country and a place of life and death, and must be observed."
In today's world with such advanced technology, war preparations can be achieved, but wars must be carried out under the right time, place, people and situations. Take the situation in the Taiwan Strait in August for example. There was indeed a tense atmosphere at that time. It seemed that the distance was imminent, but when you think about it carefully, it was just the United States' bad intentions and wanted to cause trouble. It was precisely because of this momentum that the People's Liberation Army could openly implement the "Table-locking" military exercise. During this period, the PLA military exercises created a sense of oppression secondly, and what is even more powerful is the economic aspect, that is, the "poor Taiwan" strategy.
Poverty Taiwan strategy is the current strategy of "subjugating others without fighting". We must understand the fact that Taiwan is not Ukrainian , bordering the territory of Western countries, and can communicate with each other at any time. Once a war breaks out, capital will have a buffer zone and properly resettled, especially in the developed western zone of Ukraine, which has more time to operate.
But Taiwan is different. In the final analysis, it is just an isolated island. Once a war occurs, it will be very difficult to transfer assets. There is no need for outsiders to say this. Capitalists have a keen and vigilant look and will not let the risk of war be on their own. After all, capital is profit-seeking in essence.
Taiwan is facing this situation now. According to relevant foreign media reports, during the People's Liberation Army military exercises, in just one month in August, US$5.454 billion of foreign capital was remitted, showing a situation of a major flight to foreign capital. In the first seven months of this year, only 112.46 foreign capital was remitted, which shows how big the capitalists are about the security situation in Taiwan.
After all, excellent and safe investment fertile soil is the most important for capitalists. If you risk a war may occur in the future, as long as you have a cognitive capitalist, you will not dare to continue to exist. This is in line with normal economic logic and human choices. Although the remittance of assets accounts for less than one-tenth of Taiwan's total foreign exchange assets, it is a serious warning, warning the Taiwan authorities not to intensify the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
According to the analysis of the financial department, the future proportion of capital inflows and outflows in Taiwan can be analyzed, because that means the future changes in Taiwan. You should know that for Taiwan, which implements a capitalist system, capital is very important. Once capital flees, it is like people without energy. At that time, Taiwan’s economic decline is only in the blink of an eye. Once the economic recession, people’s livelihood will be affected. In the face of public grievances, what strategy does the Taiwan authorities have to respond? This is the “poverty Taiwan policy.”
However, there are always people in Taiwan who cannot see the situation clearly. Zeng Mingzong, who was once the competent department of a financial institution in Taiwan, considered it from an economic perspective and said that this escape from foreign capital is actually related to changes in the US foreign exchange rate. Because the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, the US financial department wanted funds to flow back, so some foreign capital began to withdraw from Taiwan. This is a normal economic phenomenon. Zeng Mingzong further pointed out that the appreciation of the US dollar and the depreciation of NTD are normal international changes in exchange rate , and this change is not very fluctuating. Moreover, the balance of foreign capital in Taiwan is nearly 220 billion, so there is no need to worry at all.
Zeng Mingzong is a typical perspective of knowledge limitation. The so-called "one leaf is blocking one eye and cannot see Mount Tai". He only sees changes in economic exchange rate, but cannot see the overall environment. You must know that the economy cannot be separated from politics. Politics and economy are mutually influencing each other. In this case, geopolitical risks are the primary reason.
Of course, there is another reason, that is, the mainland counter-policy, restricting the export of agricultural and trade goods in Taiwan, especially citrus fruits and chilled white hairtail fish, and also restricting the export of natural sand , blocking measures to further restrict the investment situation in Taiwan.
If the Taiwan authorities still insist on their own initiative and continue to challenge the mainland's bottom line on the road of "independence", there is no need to talk about the future. Whether the economy can hold on is a big problem!
