Port congestion is difficult to solve, and congestion has not yet been alleviated
According to the latest global container ship punctuality statistics, the punctuality rate in December last year was only 32%, lower than last year's average of 35.8%, setting a new low record, and the average ship schedule throughout the year The delay was 6.86 days; although the January figures have not been released, the problem of container rush has intensified, and the current situation of North American ships queuing up to enter the port may not be good.
According to Signal data from the Port of Los Angeles, as of the 11th, there were 40 ships lined up, 38 of which were lingering 150 nautical miles from the port waiting for berths, including the 5,018 TEU "MSC ANYA" which had been delayed for nearly 43 days. The average waiting time for a berth increased to 18.8 days after several weeks of decline.
It will take at least 8 months for shipping schedules to resume
According to an assessment by maritime data and consulting firm Sea intelligence, it will take 8 to 9 months for container liners to restore shipping schedule reliability amid the COVID-19 epidemic and supply chain chaos.
In December 2021, the on-time rate of ships from Asia to the US West Coast was only 10.1%, compared with 12.6% in February 2015. Meanwhile, the consultancy estimates that compared with the pre-pandemic baseline, ships will arrive on average 11.5 days late in December 2021, compared with 8.7 days in February 2015.
Sea intelligence assesses that if recovery starts from December 2021, when the latest data is collected, in this case, the container industry will return to normal in August or September this year.
However, in fact, this will take some time, because there is no sign that the carrier's shipping schedule reliability has improved by February, and logistics planning must be done in advance.
