Editor's note:
html At the end of the year, the "New Year's Day Essay Collection" series launched by Gelonghui is still in full swing. Each essay we have selected and published is a classic investment case in the past year, and it is also in the huge investment market. A microcosm of it. Today, the fifth article in this series "Investment Story | A Xiaosan’s Investment Journey in 2021" is launched.In 2021, the author has experienced huge profits in stocks and huge losses in stocks during frequent operations, but he has also gained a lot of profound enlightenment from them. He believes that stock trading is based on future expectations, and it is important to learn to advance and retreat at the right time, otherwise it is easy to become a taker. Today, let us change a perspective and look at the stock market in his eyes over the past year.
Wang sir
Occupation: Professional and technical personnel
City: Shijiazhuang
Years of stock trading: 14 years
Text:
I finally have to write the year-end summary, and my mood is a little complicated.
2021 has really slipped by so easily. Apart from the important work in the unit, it is our hobby: investing in stocks. The most annoying thing after get off work every day is what my wife says: "How much did you earn today? Can you let me record it?"
How can you say stock trading is so simple? I make money every day, but I only see thieves eating meat but not being beaten. We only introduce "leeks". At most, people eat meat and we drink the soup, and even just smell it and it tastes good. The stock market is a matter for the capital giants, the immortals, who play the leading role, but the immortals also lose money sometimes, let alone us "leeks".
Back to the topic. The past year has been very fruitful in general. Investment ideas have become increasingly clear, and the direction of investment selection has become increasingly mature.
01
Gains and losses
Actively bought 38 stocks during the year, with a total holding period of 295 days, and an average of 8 days per stock; the full-year profit index was 82.39%; the full-year outperforming the market was 25.21% ; The cumulative income is 28.28%, and the annual average position and position is 30.01%.
The stock with the most profit throughout the year is Xinsai shares , with a profit of 38.86% after holding the stock for 4 days.
The choice of this stock stems from the Xinjiang cotton incident concocted by foreign hostile forces. I am also a passionate stock investor and I am deeply indignant about this incident. I will support whatever you boycott. On March 27, I analyzed the Xinjiang sector and selected two stocks: Xinsai Shares and Xinnong Development . On March 28, opened and were bought at their daily limit prices (the actual transaction price was opening price).
However, the trends of the last two stocks were quite different. Immediately the next day, Xinnong Development was sold at the closing price, while Xinsai Holdings held its shares unchanged. In fact, everyone knows that the characteristic of hot stocks is that they come and go in a hurry, so after a few consecutive days, they are out of the market immediately after setting the lower limit price (the price is lowered significantly to give priority to transactions, and the actual transaction price is also the opening price).
The biggest loss-making stock for the whole year was Sinoma Energy Saving , which lost 9.01% after holding the stock for 2 days.
's purchase of this stock was influenced by the country's proposal of the concept of carbon neutrality and and its strong policy support. However, I did not pay much attention to the concept of carbon neutrality from the beginning, because I did not pay much attention to this concept from the beginning. Because the work was too troublesome at the time, I neglected the rise of this concept. By the time related stocks were already red and purple, I didn’t take a closer look until now. In fact, at this time, it was already time for those bankers or hot money big guys to make news, tell stories, distribute chips, and cut leeks. So I didn’t keep a clear mind and couldn’t resist the temptation. I entered on the first day, but felt wrong the next day and lost money and got out.
One word to describe it: "miserable"! Three words: "Very miserable!" So I won't post the K line diagram . Some people say: I love to see that picture of yours, but I won’t show it to you.
The most bought and sold stock throughout the year was Antarctic e-commerce , with a total profit of 27.81% for 8 in and 8 out.
started paying attention to this stock on January 29.At that time, there were many negative "imaginary rumors" such as financial fraud, which caused the stock to adjust from the highest point of 24.24 in mid-July 2020 to the lowest point of 8.48 on January 26, 2021 (the lowest point at the time) after half a year. So tragic!
However, the transaction volume in the past month was much denser than before, and the chips were very concentrated. At that time, it was said that a well-known capital also bought a large amount during this period, and the Antarctic e-commerce company also carried out operations to prove its innocence. Even with a large amount of stock repurchases, its strength is quite strong, and various signs indicate that the so-called "financial fraud" does not exist at all.
Therefore, I boldly bought it for the first time at the closing price on February 2. You can also see the subsequent operations in the picture below. I wonder what are the intentions of those who make up stories based on rumors and rumors to create panic? After several successful operations, the self-selection has not been deleted.
’s recent operations were before Double Eleven in 2021. One of the great inventions of the Chinese people is the "E-commerce Festival". Every year at this time, related stocks will perform well, so I still chose it. Unexpectedly, this year’s e-commerce festival is so desolate. Maybe it’s because the epidemic has reduced everyone’s income, and their spending power has also weakened too much. There is also the fact that the current E-commerce Festival has adopted the format of an E-commerce Festival starting from November 1st to avoid overloading logistics caused by concentrated shopping, thus diluting the concept. Furthermore, many people have different opinions on Antarctic e-commerce business model.
In short, there is no capital V to hype it, and it only has a small performance, but in general it is still a small gain. The following is the K-line chart of my operation process. Don't laugh at me, I'm just a casual person. The first purchase in the picture below is a test of and . After that, I bought on the negative line after the trend. The last sale on November 5 was real. left disappointed. But one thing is, there is never a loss, a small profit is not bad!
Below is my income curve for this year:
From the above graph, you can see that and have not increased much this year, but my rate of return is growing. Especially since I paid attention to Gelonghui in the second half of the year, the rich financial news, stock market hotspot tracking, as well as the investment philosophy, stock selection theories and stock reviews of many investment Vs have all influenced the trend of my stock selection concepts. Analysis and so on have had a very positive impact.
02
Enlightenments over the past year
The above has summarized too many facts and data, so what inspirations have I received from the stock trading process in the past year?
The first point, Since you want to invest, it is necessary for you to learn some stock market investment knowledge. You must understand the basic operations of stocks, buying and selling, and the rules of opening bidding and closing bidding. You can simply look at the K-line pattern, know the pressure and support levels, and what the important moving averages represent, etc. You can learn these from various channels.
The second point is, you should not put all your money into the stock market. You will know from the first day you enter the market: the stock market is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market . This saying is true! Don't borrow money or use money for other more important things to speculate in stocks. To put it bluntly, just use your spare money to speculate in stocks. Even if you lose money, it will not affect your life. Because stock trading is a long process, it cannot make you rich overnight. On the contrary, it is very likely to make you lose money continuously. It is difficult to make money without certain accumulation of knowledge and experience.
The third point, What is your philosophy of stock selection? To put it bluntly, why should you buy a certain stock? Some people say that I bought it because it has fallen enough. Go and look at the big white horses of Sany Heavy Industry and Gree Electric . Some people say that I bought it because it is a hot concept. Some people say that it is sold almost every day now. It's going up, and I'm greedy when I see it; of course, some people say that everyone says this stock is so promising, look at PetroChina back then!
The fourth point is that stock trading is based on expectations and speculation on the future development of a certain stock. Look at the long term and speculate on the short term.For example, my view on the stock Arowana is like that. When it was first listed, everyone felt it was new and kept speculating. Anyway, there was no pressure on the new stock. The highest price reached 145.51, known as "Youmao". So if you look at it now, how many people have fallen on it? Its development performance cannot support such a high stock price. It is not too late to look at it when it reaches around 30 yuan.
The fifth point is that does not have the " three sacred sands, don't turn against Xiqi ". For which hot stocks, it is best to stay away, because they are rare. Because you are not sensitive enough, by the time you know about those hot stocks, they have already been speculated to the sky. To put it bluntly, you only pay attention to them because of their "appearance". When you buy them, the risks you face are already very high. , I don’t know which day I will leave you standing guard on the top of the mountain. The capital Vs who came in in the early stage want to tell you stories at this time. Now you are here. If you don't want to trap anyone, you can trap them!
The sixth point is that should be cautious about the big data released on some websites. Because before this news, the big Vs of capital "entered the village quietly and did not make any noise." Later, when they release big data for you to see, it is also the best time for them to distribute chips and run away with profits. Then when you see these data, all you have to do is see if there are any stocks you hold. If so, I don't need to tell you what to do.
The seventh point, The simplest way to choose stocks is to choose cyclical stocks throughout the year. When to choose which stocks, choose about a month in advance. As long as you carefully summarize the major events that must happen in China every year, as well as the rotation of the seasons, etc., you will find these patterns, and then carefully select among these concept stocks . This is the easiest way to make money. Of course, if you can read the news and understand the policies, then if you can make arrangements in advance, you will be a banker.
The eighth point is that when choosing stocks, you should choose stocks with good performance, at least not too bad, and analyze the fundamentals and development prospects of the stocks. Then look at its capital structure for analysis to see if there is huge pressure to lift the ban. Compare it with the current stock price, and don't make it too different. You can look at the capital structure of Arowana as a very typical example.
The ninth point, looks at the K-line shape, has it been consolidating at the bottom for a period of time, is there a bottoming process, and the risk of rebounding is very high.
The tenth point, looks at chip distribution and quantity can accumulate. See whether the chips have gathered in large numbers and whether the recent trading volume has been significantly enlarged compared to the past. If all of these are present, then the stock has sufficient momentum to rise, and basically it is about to rise.
The eleventh point is that should review and summarize each operation to find out which ones are right and which ideas are wrong. The other thing is to insist on writing stock reviews. For a certain stock, whether it is good or bad, you have to think that what you write is going to be read by many people. You have to give one, two or three reasons for what you say, and you have to be very serious. Go write. This is also very helpful for you to look at stocks and choose stocks. This is what inspired me to insist on writing stock reviews after paying attention to Gelonghui. It can greatly improve my level.
The twelfth point, Everyone has this experience, that is, when you select a stock from thousands of choices according to your own stock selection philosophy, but after you buy it, not only does it not rise, but It is still falling bit by bit, so what should we do? Here's what I do: look at my stock again. Is the concept of selecting it still there? Are the reasons for choosing it valid? If everything is fine, then I will hold on. When it falls by about 10%, I will cover my position equally. If it falls another 10%, I will cover my position equally. Then stop adding to the position and wait for the flowers to bloom. If you find that the original concept of buying is no longer there and the reason is gone, then don’t hesitate to cut the position and admit defeat.
The thirteenth point, as a qualified retail investor, generally does not buy more than three stocks when selecting stocks. Two stocks are already very good. If you have more, you will not be able to manage your investment well.Of course, under normal circumstances, do not easily operate with a full warehouse of and . The benefits may be great, but the risk is greater. Once a problem occurs, you may not have the funds to operate again, and you can only wait stupidly! My average position last year was 30.01%. I personally feel that this position level is very easy to operate and there is no pressure. Then if you have a relatively high level and can see accurately, you can also increase your position or even increase your funds. At least I have not planned to do so.
I have another experience to share with you, that is, when you make a lot of money on a certain stock, it is best to sit idle for a period of time and not buy it easily, otherwise you may lose the money you earned. This may also be the reason for the wavy trend of stocks. I wonder if you feel this way.
03
The last thing I want to say is
. I have said so much in a long way. Maybe you think what I said is very naive, but these are all my own insights. There may be many ways to make money in the stock market, and various technical indicators are also diverse. They are all summed up by previous experience, but the one that suits you is the best.
Another thing is that there is too much knowledge and experience in the stock market, and there are too many things we have to learn. It is really a matter of learning. Finally, I wish you all can keep up with the pace of the Gelonghui platform in the new year, get to know more investment experts, learn more investment methods, and make progress together and make a fortune together!
