The current situation of Taiwan's 2020 "general election" is still confusing. The blue and green camps are each worried about splits and small parties, making 2020 like the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period. Although the non-party Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe has not announced his candidacy in 2020, the non-party The faction seems to have become Ke Wenzhe's intangible asset. Not only is there less negative news about division, but also more news about small parties striving for cooperation has spread like wildfire. The frontline of 2020 seems to be beneficial to Ke Wenzhe and deserves attention.
The Democratic Progressive Party has recently concluded its primary election process, with Tsai Ing-wen representing Tsai Ing-wen seeking re-election in 2020. Even the 94-year-old "independence faction" leader Gu Kuanmin, who supported former "Executive President" Lai Qingde during the primary election process, has cleared up his old feud with Tsai Ing-wen. , intends to come forward to assist the integration of the Democratic Progressive Party, but as the person involved, Lai Qingde has been in hiding since the end of the party's primary election. There are only rumors that "Lai Le and Tsai are talking about cooperation," but there is no confirmation from Lai.
Moreover, there are rumors that Chen Shui-bian and the "Happy Island Alliance" will form a new political party, which has added a force to split the Democratic Progressive Party. If Lai Qingde has been hiding and has not come forward to help Tsai Ing-wen integrate, I am afraid that all the signs will make people doubt the Democratic Progressive Party. Integration effects after primaries are limited.
The Kuomintang is also facing a split crisis. The party will conduct primary election polls from the 8th to the 14th. However, there are now Korean fans who believe that the Party Central Committee will "remove" the mayor of Kaohsiung Han Guoyu and Qian Hong Chairman Hai Terry Gou believes that the DPP will give votes to Han, which has revealed the state of mutual distrust between Han, Guo and the Party Central Committee. Once the results of the future primary elections are released, will either Han or Guo be dissatisfied? As a result, he went against the Party Central Committee and left the party to run for elections, which requires close attention.
In addition, the movements of Wang Jinping, the former "Legislative Yuan" of the Kuomintang and now the "legislator" of the non-regional district, have always been a mystery. Wang Jinping's recent "co-signature" incident of slipping up during an "appointment with traditional market officials" dinner seems to have been revealed. There will be a "storm in a teapot" after the KMT primary election. Even if the blue camp is currently leading in the polls, if the KMT splits, 2020 will have to be handed over to others.
While both the blue and green camps are facing division concerns and negative news affecting morale, Ke Wenzhe, who has not announced his candidacy for 2020, has repeatedly reported that smaller parties are willing to cooperate. For example, Zhang Shuowen, director of the Organization Department of the People's Party, said that Ke is " "1+1 is greater than 2" is a good hen candidate. Even local opinion leaders from the blue and green camps have "jumped out" to talk to Youke one after another. KMT Taipei City Councilor Zhong Xiaoping fired the first shot of quitting the party to help mobilize.
When Ke Wenzhe came to Kaohsiung a few days ago, he paid a visit to Lu Wenhao, the chairman of the Kaohsiung Farmland and Water Conservancy Association, which belongs to the British family. When Ke visited the Husheng Palace in Lugang, Changhua on the 9th, Lin Zhaosui, the chairman of the Husheng Palace, who has been friends with the KMT chairman for more than ten years, received him throughout the whole process. Deng Hougen, director of the Fuxing District Party Department of the Progressive Party Changhua , Huang Wenling, the former "legislator" of the Taiwan United Party, and other green camp figures were also present. Huang Wenling also said, "In the future, more Kuomintang or Democratic Progressive Party will jump out Support Ke, let’s throw it out slowly”. In the long-term trend of
polls, Ko Wenzhe has dropped from 25% to about 20% recently, while Tsai Ing-wen has heated up the "anti-China" sentiment in Taiwanese society, and has recently jumped from more than 20% to more than 30%. By comparison, the approval rate between Ko and Tsai is about 5 to 10%. However, as social sentiment in Taiwan has calmed down and people began to scrutinize the Tsai administration's policy achievements before the election, if Ko Wenzhe announces his candidacy in 2020, The blue and green camps are both in crisis of division. Whether Ke can benefit from this is worth watching.
Source: China Commentary News Agency
