This market is really having a funny day. The transaction volume is not even 580 billion, has shrunk to the extreme, and the volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange has hit a new low in two years.
It’s time for many people to say that the market must hit the bottom in order to reach the bottom, otherwise it will continue to fall. There is also a view that the Shanghai Composite has already seen a low nine of daily line nine turns, which is an oversold signal. It is time to rebound in the short term, and it does not matter whether it is measured or not.
So what will be the market outlook here? Will
break 3000 or will it stabilize?
Let’s take a rational look at the market. First of all, today’s rise and fall ratio is 1:3. The money-making effect is still not good, but foreign capital continues to flow in nearly 2 billion against the trend, which shows that foreign capital is still relatively optimistic about the next market. The current problems of
mainly occur in domestically owned , because many traders are already "Xiaoyang people" and are now isolated at home. Some are selling but no one is buying, so everyone is waiting for the peak of this sheep.
For example, the peak period in Beijing is almost over. Next, if the peak period in places like Shanghai and Shenzhen is over, the market will return to rising. After all, the current decline has no substantial negative impact.
As for many friends in the group, they are asking Maimai when can he carry out and ?
I didn’t give a direct answer in the group. After all, the mood is so weak now. I can’t easily call everyone to buy the bottom so early. What if it continues to fall or even falls below 3,000?
But if you really want to buy the bottom, we also have the judgment standard of technical aspect and direction. For example, during the day, I think this micro pull-up needs to occur, and it must be accompanied by an increase in trading volume.
If it is a daily line, it needs to have a better K-line form, such as single-pin bottom , the longer the lower shadow line, the better, and for example, if the yang covers the yin entity, the bigger the Yang line is, the better. In short, this place is not the best time to buy the bottom, we need to look at the signal.
My personal advice to those friends whose positions are not heavy or even short positions in is that you don’t need to wait for that signal. In the short term, it is a bottom area. We don’t necessarily have to buy at the lowest point, because who can guarantee to buy at the lowest point? Even if you buy at the lowest point, you may not be able to get a good price when you sell.
, so the bottom area appears and you can actually start building positions in batches or adding to in batches. When buying, try to pick the leading concepts. Don’t buy random products, and don’t buy monster bonds. Just buy varieties like growth track, high-quality blue chip white horse. Buy some of the popular concepts at the moment, just think of it as “spreading the pie”.
consumption leaders: Yili, Huatong, , Xiaoxiong , etc.
Leaders in new energy (complete vehicles, auto parts): Xiaokang, Ruihu, Yinlun , Wencan , Bert, Kabe, etc.
The leaders of digital economy : Guiguang, Jiali, Taiji, etc. The leaders of
semiconductors: Jingrui, Su Shi, etc. The leaders of
real estate: Hardcover, Mona, Jiangshan, etc.
The leader of energy storage: Shangneng, Jinpan, etc. As soon as the market stabilizes and rebounds, the leaders in the above concepts of
will be the first to rebound, and their strength will be relatively higher than that of miscellaneous varieties.
Finally, let’s talk about some of the best demon bonds that have risen today;
is not in a good market right now, and hot money likes to stick together. For example, today's Blue Shield of daily limit and is itself an small cap demon bond. Hot money prefers this type. As long as the market is not good, hot money will rush in and rush in and out, and there is good news in the education direction. Therefore, the price limit of the main stocks also drove the convertible bonds to raise a 20cm daily limit in the late trading. This is also the first "authentic old demon bond" to reach the daily limit after the "New Regulations".
So many people are asking whether it will continue tomorrow? The continuity of
depends on the strength of the market tomorrow. Assuming that the market is not strong tomorrow, it is not impossible for the demon bond to continue to be full of demons, but I am more inclined to see a rebound in the market tomorrow, so my point of view is: if you participate in the demon bond in the late trading, then if you make a profit tomorrow, run faster. If you are in the market, you will decide based on the mood of the market. Do you want to go in and participate again? There is no need to get on the bus in a hurry. Once such a demon debt is trapped, you will be more entangled in trying to get out of the trap, because most demon bonds have a very high premium rate and a very high price. Old leeks can afford it, but novice players will be interfered by a lot of "miscellaneous" information from the outside world, and it is easy to cut the meat midway. After a few days, it will rise again, and you will regret it again.
As for other demon bonds, the current way of playing hot money seems to be to "raise a demon bond" every few days, first with profits, then with Shenglu. Now, in addition to Blue Shield, Tongguang also has signs of being "raised". If you want to participate in the demon bond market, just follow the rhythm yourself. If you don't, you will be "unlucky" if you take a high position and eat a lot of money. Who told you to like to take risks? If you like to pursue excitement, you must coexist with both meat and face.
The above are all the paths I have taken as a novice player. I hope Mai Mai’s thoughts will be helpful to you.
OK, that’s all for today’s sharing.
Good luck and good luck to everyone!