text | Yang Wanli
Goertek .5139 million shareholders may be sleepless tonight. I thought it would have a wonderful weekend, but a sudden news affected my mood.
On the evening of December 2, when investors were preparing to rest, Goertek issued a correction announcement for performance forecast, with the expected attributable net profit in 2022 to be 1.71 billion yuan to 2.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50% to 60%. Previously, Goertek expects to achieve attributable net profit of 4.061-4.702 billion yuan, with changing from -5% to 10% year-on-year to .
Gol further explained that due to the notice of a major overseas customer, the company's direct losses and asset impairment losses were about 2 billion to 2.4 billion yuan, which had a significant impact on the operating performance in 2022.
Review of historical events. On the evening of November 8 this year, Goertek Group disclosed an announcement, announcing that it had been cut by overseas major customers. As the news fermented, the market was cautious, and the company staged a record of 2 limit down on November 9 and November 10.
It is worth mentioning that Goertek shares publicly stated in November that "rumors such as 'kicking out the fruit chain' are obviously rumors. The company only suspends a customer's product at the demand, and the rest of the projects are working normally. The rumors of how many billion yuan of fines are all false information. The company is still evaluating specific losses and will announce them in a timely manner." What surprised the market was that in less than a month, Goertek's performance changed so much that it may put pressure on the market sentiment in the short term.
We noticed that on November 9, it was reported that Citi lowered Goertek's rating to sell, with a target price of 16 yuan. Even based on the closing price of today, 17.89 yuan, there is still room for a decline of about 10.56%.
In contrast, in the past period of time, domestic brokerage institutions have been singing Dogoer shares.
Incomplete data shows that in November, Huachuang Securities , Kaiyuan Securities , GF Securities , Changjiang Securities , CITIC Securities gave a total of 6 research reports, with ratings of "recommended" or "buy", and the target price given is 30 yuan or 38.95 yuan.
Among them, CITIC Securities analyst mentioned in the research report, "This time Goertek issued a risk warning announcement, only for a new smart headphone product released this year. The rest of the headphones, speakers and parts products are still in normal supply. The company expects that this business change will not affect the operating income in 2022. We expect that the corresponding impact of profit is about 200 million yuan. Then, the impact of impairment caused by the decline in production capacity utilization rate still needs further observation."
As Goertek shares significantly lowers its 2022 annual performance forecast, do domestic securities institutions still have the courage to sing too much?
Judging from the performance of stock price , from the beginning of 2022 to the present, Goertek's stock price has fallen by 66.81%, and the total market value has evaporated by more than 125 billion yuan. As of the latest closing on December 2, the company's total market value was 61.19 billion yuan.
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