Although, the day before yesterday, Russia stated that it "fully abides by the statement of the leaders of the five nuclear-capable leaders that the nuclear war cannot occur", causing global stock markets to explode instantly. However, various signs indicate that while the nuclea

Text/Yang Guoying

The world is still not peaceful.

Although, the day before yesterday, Russia stated that it "fully abides by the statement of the leaders of the five nuclear-capable leaders that the nuclear war cannot occur", causing global stock markets to explode instantly.

However, various signs indicate that while the nuclear war panic is temporarily suspended, multiple crises are growing.

1, South Korea, the United States and North Korea "fired each other" missile .

Yesterday, the South Korean Joint Staff Headquarters stated that the two South Korean and US militaries carried out joint ground-to-ground missile shootings in the eastern waters of the Korean Peninsula that day to counter North Korea's medium- and long-range ballistic missiles (IRBM) the day before.

countermeasures were immediately countered again. Today, North Korea launched ballistic missile into the eastern waters of the Korean Peninsula.

2, Oil tyrants began to "provoke" the United States.

Yesterday, according to Middle East media reports, the OPEC alliance composed of 23 countries including Saudi , Russia and other agreed to reduce the oil production quota for the next 14 months by 2 million barrels per day to support the oil market. Both of these things are directed either openly or secretly, and there is a force provoking the United States.

The reason why it provoked the United States is that Russia is too passive now, it is really too passive.

Although Russia has prompted the referendum of the former Ukrainian region to enter Russia, Russia is now passive, both in the real battlefield and in Russia. Moreover, even if we actively send a peace talks signal to Ukraine, the Ukraine side refused (not negotiating with Putin and ).

At the same time, more importantly, reality proves that nuclear intimidation has no effect, which forces Russia to fall into the ultimate passiveness.

In fact, based on the understanding of modern civilization, the biggest function of nuclear weapon is to obtain negotiation priority rather than to win war - because, in the context of non-invasion, if one side launches a nuclear war, it will not only be regarded as a global public enemy, but the fact will also be regarded as a public enemy of the whole country.

The reason why Russia now stated the "nuclear ownership statement" the day before yesterday is essentially the previous nuclear intimidation. In fact, it has not obtained any priority for negotiations (Ukraine, and Europe and the United States do not accept nuclear intimidation). This is very bad for Russia today.

This also means that the Russian-Ukrainian war can only enter an endless protracted war, with Russia "swearing to defend" the four places and Ukraine "swearing to attack" the four places.

The endless protracted war is actually the competition between Russia and Ukraine today, and the willpower of the United States and Europe to support Ukraine.

Oil prices are the core symbol of Russia's national strength. If the oil price rises, Russia can maintain the Russian-Ukrainian war.

Oil prices are also the biggest variable of the willpower of the United States and Europe (focus on Europe) to support Ukraine. Oil prices have risen, and Europe's willpower to support Ukraine is likely to decline, because strength does not allow support, and the continued high oil prices will continue to weaken Europe's economic strength.

This returns to the origin of this article. At the moment when Russia is super passive, there is a force provoking the United States (indirectly supporting Russia).

North Korea stirs up the storm of the peninsula, so I won’t comment on this.

Middle Eastern countries such as Saudi Arabia will work with Russia to reduce crude oil production and support oil prices at this node. This is very meaningful.

The OPEC alliance, which is composed of Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries, is actually the global energy oil giant.

In early July this year, in order to calm the impact of high oil prices on European allies, Biden and other Middle Eastern countries personally went to Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries to mediate.

Biden's personal visit is still effective. Saudi Arabia and other Middle East OPEC members quickly increased their production, and global oil prices quickly gradually returned from above $100/barrel to below $90/barrel and even below $80/barrel.

However, now, Saudi Arabia and other Middle East OPEC members not only no longer increase production, but also colluded with Russia to launch a strong production cut plan. This production cut plan is ostensibly for its own interests, but in fact it is unwilling to sit and see Russia be completely passive - a completely passive Russia is not beneficial to the ruling class, at least to the ruling class. Pay attention to Biden’s past comments on Saudi Arabia (untouchable countries).

So, now the Global Oil Corporation (OPEC Alliance) has decided to launch a 14-month production cut plan, which is actually a provocation to the United States.

So, after the global oil giant (OPEC Alliance) production cut plan was released, Biden immediately stated that he was "disappointed by this short-sighted decision."

This is the world today. Overall, it is extremely unstable. A short-term improvement will soon be diluted by more unfavorable improvement.

Finally, in response to the global oil tyrant's provocation to the United States, we will make some comments:

• still have to admire Buffett 's experienced and foresight.

Since the beginning of this year, Buffett has continuously increased his position in Occupy Oil, falling all the way, and the global financial market was once extremely unoptimistic, and Ren even spoke and mocked him in China.

• The global financial market has not yet truly bottomed out.

There are too many evil things in the world, don’t talk about the bottom lightly. Although global stock markets rebounded sharply the day before yesterday, with the emergence of indirect variables against the Russian-Ukrainian war, in the short term, the space for global stock markets to rebound upward is relatively limited, and the overall situation may be in a low-level fluctuation and hovering range.

• Feder rate hike may be issued next week.

The global oil giant's production cut plan will play a moral and reasonable support for the Federal Reserve to continue to raise interest rates in a crazy manner. There is still some time before the next Fed interest rate meeting (November 1-2), but after the global oil production cut plan is launched, the hawks are likely to release relevant interest rate hikes next week or next week.

and this will inevitably suppress the brief rebound of global stock markets.