Dear friends, good evening, follow Lao Tie’s operation is logical!
Next, I will briefly analyze the logic of short-term and medium- and long-term
to share with you!
Since the rebound of 2885.09, the market has reached a high of 3187.99 points, and it has been nearly 300 points. The stock bar saw a lot of news on the weekend, and many people have already recovered their money. Most people said they can't stand it anymore and want to sell it! From a technical perspective, there is a short-term demand for to pull back to . The power of the pullback mainly comes from the profitable orders of this rebound and the trapped orders above, as well as the urine properties that must be compensated for when the A-slit is missing. It is better to be cautious in the short term. It is not advisable to move around and wait for the round of rises! Except for experts!
In addition, many places have relaxed FYZC.
on the weekend. Although it is good news, everyone has been worried about the past three years. These few news has limited impact on the market and ourselves. After being excited, what will happen? In the short term, everyone has seen that the case data is not good. It will take longer to recover in the end, and this requires more patience to me!
Only, the United States added 263,000 new non-agricultural employment in November, and the pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue hike rate has intensified! This is the short-term impact, and the stock market is becoming less and less sensitive to this! Beautiful China 's interest rate hike is no longer the main impact on us!
mentioned above is the recent logic. From the medium and long term perspective, the next callback is a good time to sow spring plowing!
Standing at the moment, looking forward to next year, the National Development and Reform Commission of recently held a video work meeting on "look back" to supervise policies and measures for stabilizing the economy, and deploying further implementation of the fund and a series of policies and measures for stabilizing the economy. This is not a one-time deal! The three pillars that drive economic growth: investment, exports, and consumption!
exports, the external economy is predicted next year that the economy will not be too high next year, and it is not easy to maintain the exports next year! So I boldly predict that next year, it will mainly rely on domestic stimulating consumption and investing in infrastructure, stabilizing real estate, and stimulating domestic demand!
. What direction will you do next year and what will you do? The next jjgzhy is worthy of our attention, and there is a high probability that policies will be introduced to stabilize the economy and growth! So there are great expectations in this direction!
Secondly, I just said that the beautiful country's interest rate hike has come to an end, and the stock market is expected, with limited short-term impact. It will be too late to stop hikes or even easing. In the future, weak US dollar and strong RMB will be the main trend, and the country's domestic anti-inflation is also beneficial!
Third, as Fyzc currently causes qualitative change, many places have continued to follow up on the weekend, and there is great potential for qualitative change next year!
From the previous talk about " dynamically clear " to the current talk about "Everyone is the first person responsible for his own health" . This is actually the attitude of "reversal". Including the voices of some national official media and experts, the attitude of knowledge points is completely different from before.
I have analyzed a long time ago that this year's decline is essentially the epidemic, interest rate hikes, and the expectation of the failure caused by the suppression of these three mountains of war! So just focus on this. When these things turn better, how do the stock market fall and how it goes back!
From the figure below, the weekly level bottom divergence comes from the bottom, and now the golden cross begins to form. At present, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 has risen by 10%+, and the three times in history have been far less than that.
The current market, let’s talk about it for a while. What we need to do is to ignore short-term technical interference. This is a wave of comprehensive valuation repair market, but the differences and sequence of industry repairs. After all is repaired, you will stop and wait for the confirmation of fundamental , and then follow and verify it later. In short, this place only loses time, not money! In investment, patience is a valuable quality!
The stock market is risky, so you need to be cautious when investing. It is for reference only for friends who agree with the logic!
