According to the latest oil price trends, domestic oil prices are about to usher in the "ninth decline" this year. Since the start of this round of pricing cycle, the reduction in my country's oil price forecast has continued to expand. Now on the ninth working day of the pricing cycle, the latest oil price forecast has dropped by 415 yuan/ton, which obviously fully meets the standard of a sharp drop. This means that after the implementation of the new round of price adjustment, consumers' oil use costs have been slightly reduced. The retail price limit for gasoline and diesel that most people are concerned about has shown new changes. The corresponding prices of No. 92 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline and No. 0 diesel will fall again. The cost of car owners' friends to fill a box of gasoline and diesel is further reduced.
Of course, the main indicator that supports the sharp drop in domestic oil prices is the crude oil change rate, because this key indicator continues to deepen its operation within the negative range, resulting in the forecast decline in oil prices far exceeding the red line of price adjustment. In addition, it is getting closer and closer to the opening of the price adjustment window, which has prompted this round of decline in refined oil price adjustment. In addition, taking the ninth working day of this round of pricing cycle as an example, some relevant institutions predict that the crude oil change rate is -9.18%, which is significantly deepening compared with the previous working days. Therefore, the oil price is expected to decline by 415 yuan/ton. Referring to the relevant regulations in my country's " Oil Price Management Measures ", the current forecast decline in gasoline and diesel prices meets the basic conditions for a sharp drop, which prompts oil prices to achieve its ninth decline this year.
Secondly, it is converted into liter price. The cumulative reduction of the latest oil price forecast is 0.32 yuan/liter-0.36 yuan/liter. Although the expected decline is reduced compared with the eighth working day of the pricing cycle, compared with the previous price adjustment decline since this year, the forecast of this round of refined oil price adjustment is relatively large. Therefore, there is almost no suspense for the price of gasoline No. 92 and No. 95. Among them, No. 95 gasoline refers to 95% isooctane and 5% n-heptane . It is generally suitable for high-end cars and some imported cars. It is in contrast to No. 92 gasoline in terms of explosion resistance. Because it has more advantages in some characteristics, the price of 95 gasoline is relatively expensive, which is deeply touched by car owners.
However, when it comes to retail price limits, the national price of No. 95 gasoline is now mainly concentrated at 8.80 yuan/liter-9.00 yuan/liter. Even the No. 95 gasoline in Guangdong, Guangxi and Yunnan provinces remains above 9.0 yuan/liter, so it is still at a high level in China, and the cost of consumers' oil use is relatively expensive. Of course, in detail, the current price of No. 95 gasoline in many places across the country is between 8.80 yuan/liter and 8.85 yuan/liter. Since the latest gasoline and diesel is expected to fall by 0.32 yuan/liter and 0.36 yuan/liter, according to the national average price, the price of this label gasoline has dropped by 0.34 yuan/liter. Therefore, after the new round of refined oil price adjustment at 24:00 on December 5, it is predicted that the No. 95 gasoline in some provinces will fall sharply to around 8.50 yuan/liter. If the car owner adds a box of 70 liters of gasoline, it can save about 24 yuan.
Similarly, it is expected that after my country's refined oil prices have completed the "ninth decline" this year, the national No. 92 gasoline price will further fall, and the quotation per liter in most provinces may enter the "7 yuan era", when consumers fill a box of 50 liters of gasoline and fall back to around 400 yuan. For the No. 0 diesel that many large truck drivers are concerned about, after the new round of price adjustments has been implemented, it is predicted that the complete pullback from the to the "7 yuan era". The cost of truck drivers filling a box of 160 liters of diesel will drop significantly. At that time, the pressure of long-distance pickup will be reduced, which is also a good news.
To sum up, from the fact that the crude oil change rate on multiple working days remains in the negative range during this round of pricing cycle, it can be seen that domestic oil prices will usher in the "ninth decline" this year. Since the latest gasoline and diesel prices are expected to fall by 415 yuan/ton, which is equivalent to a liter price. It is predicted that the No. 95 gasoline will plummet to 8.50 yuan/liter, and the No. 92 gasoline and No. 0 diesel prices will also usher in a sharp drop. At that time, consumers' oil costs will continue to be lowered.
