Shanghai Index hit a new low again today, and pointed to 3,000 points before the festival;
just ushered in a general rise yesterday and began to fall today, attracting countless big Vs slapped in the face.
Then why did start unilaterally as soon as opens ?
Senior believes that there are three major reasons, and they discuss them one by one.
1. The exchange rate of US dollar against the RMB continues to rise.
Exchange rate issue is also a hot topic of discussion recently. Many financial teachers and big Vs believe that the continued rise in exchange rates has led to the continued decline of A shares .
Conclusion The reason is correct and the senior will not comment, but it is true that the exchange rate hits a new high today and A-shares also hit a new low, which is of reference significance.
In an extremely weak market, any slight disturbance can become the reason for the market crash!
2. The outside world fell sharply.
Global stock market is green, which is really pleasing to the eye;
, especially , the US stock , is completely in a bear market, just like our , Hong Kong stock , it has no bottom;
The sharp drop on the outside also disturbs the emotions of domestic investors. Seeing the sharp drop on the outside, there are always domestic investors who are panicked and can't help but want to come up with some goods.
3. When the wave is going upward, wave B falls.
Senior mentioned in yesterday's review that there was still a drop before the festival, which was a wave B! After wave B, there will be a pull, that is, wave C;
, so this drop and pull is a very good ultra-short-term arbitrage opportunity. I wonder if you have any at the bottom of today? Although
breaks the starting point of wave A of 3048, it cannot be denied that the current B wave is taking the starting point of wave A, because there is a special B wave trend that is to break through the starting point of wave A, that is, platform-type consolidation.
You can use the 5-minute K-line chart of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index to compare it with the wave-shaped chart I drew.
So from the above three aspects, we can know that whether it is peripheral, exchange rate disturbances, or technical impact, after yesterday's big rise, the market has a demand for a pullback;
decline is terrible, but what's even more terrifying is that I don't know if it will continue to fall in the future.
So senior, let’s share their views on future generations and give a conclusion first. Senior believes that now is a bottom range. There are three reasons for
!
1. The market continues to shrink.
Why is shrinking the quantity a good thing? The shrinking volume means that no one has a certain and consistent view, which means that no one knows whether to fall or rise.
has been falling continuously and smashing the market continuously, why has it suddenly shrunk? Because the funds suddenly discovered, there was no reason to continue to smash them. Then why not rise? Because there is no reason to start pulling, no one dares to be the first to be a leader.
So now there is one opportunity, one horn blower, it can be the big positive line that continuously increases in volume, or it can be good news at the zc level.
Yesterday said that institutions have reduced a lot of positions, and the reduced positions are the incremental funds in the future; only one reason to enter, these funds will return to Big A and become a long force;
2. The white horse has fallen randomly, and the top ten trading volumes are green.
is not only today, but in the previous few weeks, a white horse was smashed every day; including today, all leading white horses are green.
If the market wants to bottom out, and if it wants to rise after bottom out, it must be done one thing, which is despair; let us be disappointed over and over again, and ultimately despair is the perfect state; if we only want to run when we see the rise, it means that it is a good thing. If we want to buy when we see the rise, it means that the strength of the market is not yet strong.
The continuous collapse of the blue-chip stock represents not only the panic at the retail level, but has spread to institutions.
is all large companies with high liquidity and high market value, and are companies with heavy positions in institutions. If institutions want to cash out faster and reduce losses, the first thing they need to do is to reduce their position by reducing their holdings of blue-chip stocks.
Therefore, the continuous collapse of white horse stocks and the overall closing of negative stocks means that to a certain extent, institutions are also beginning to panic. As the most core force in the market, institutions have begun to passively or actively reduce positions, which means that the bottom is coming soon!
3. The technical adjustment of the market index is also coming to an end. I won’t go into the section
. Whether it is the previous evening review or the daily afternoon review, I have shared in detail the senior’s current division of waves. From the perspective of the daily line level of the
big cycle, it is currently in a wave C sell-off, and wave C is the last wave in the entire eight-wave cycle. As long as the wave C ends, a new wave of market will begin; from the 5-minute level of the
small cycle, it is the division of the first half of the article. It is currently in the B wave segment, and the rise of wave C will begin before the festival, and the risk of the index before the festival is minimal!
In addition, there is good news, that is, at the 30-minute level, the bottom signal has already taken shape, which means that the C wave is likely to be coming to an end!
So what is our strategy?
Fund operations tend to be medium and long-term, so we can ignore the opportunity for ultra-short-term arbitrage mentioned in the article;
seniors have already started to wait for the buying point since they reduced their positions last week. The recent buying point is to wait for the obvious bottoming signal of the C wave after the holiday!
The specific buying operation senior will also be updated in real time, so you can give seniors some attention!
s seniors will share their views on the market and their personal buying and selling strategies every day at 11:30s and every night at 6:30s! Be sure to pay attention to seniors!
If you think the work is helpful and makes sense, I hope you can like and collect it!
Finally, today's fund portfolio, no operation!
