=== Technical aspect ===
I prefer to use the average stock price as a measure for observing the market, because it is more consistent with the real returns of ordinary retail investors.
The lowest price on April 27 was 18.43 yuan. Since this wave of rebound, on August 16, the third day after the central bank's unexpected interest rate cut was 200 billion yuan, A shares reached the highest point of this rare V-shaped rebound of 25.21 yuan. After that, it fell back to the closing of 21.83 yuan last Friday, and half of the rebound in this round of rebound was 21.82 yuan, and the closing price was exactly 1 cent above it. The magic of the
index is not only able to perceive the bottom position of the major changes that have not been encountered in a century a year in advance, but also its key point movements can always accurately conform to various magical segmentation ratios, such as 1/3, 1/2, golden segmentation, etc.
Let’s look at the transaction volume, it basically belongs to the land volume in the past two years.
Look at the weighted stocks again, the decline is greater than that of small-cap stocks. Their position has reached the weekly level of second bottoming out of .
If we only come from the perspective of technical graphics, starting next Monday, A-shares will enter an important key point, which has accumulated considerable rebound momentum.
=== Message surface ===
If we look at it from the fundamentals, I think it is necessary to calm down and analyze the Russian-Ukrainian war. If it were me, what Putin wants most is not to upgrade and expand, but to end the conflict as soon as possible. is only enough to cope with the current occupied areas because of the mobilization of 300,000 yuan. The rumored 1 million is logical, I think. This 1 million is prepared for NATO and the United States, and should not be used by Putin to actively pursue the escalation and expansion of the war.
The referendum on Russia's four regions ended on September 27. The next round of invoices and the completion of Russia's internal legislative procedures, and the final result happened to be in China's long holiday.
battlefield determines Putin's road prospects, but it has not yet been seen that Russia has made any major improvements in intelligence warfare, so that the road ahead will become narrower and narrower. No matter how much troops it invests, it will continue to consume, and the country will inevitably face increasingly strong pressure. conventional war against has a bad prospect.
The deterrence of nuclear weapons lies in strategy, that is, one city and one country are erased. If used to deal with small troops, the effect will be limited. It doesn't stop a piecemeal harassing attack.
If the war between Russia and Ukraine continues to be unfavorable, Putin will definitely be unstable. Putin cannot collapse, Russia cannot collapse. It has been reported that due to pipeline maintenance, Russia interrupted the supply of natural gas to China's eastern line. reminds us that it is better to rely on ourselves than to rely on others. We also need to make various emergency plans for major emergencies.
Iran Due to the headscarf problem, the familiar smell of color revolution has emerged, and the United States will definitely intervene in secret. The key to this is to stabilize the situation as soon as possible.
The United States, NATO and EU , in the face of the escalation and expansion of the Russian-Ukraine war, they must respond, and must race against time to rush ahead of the fait accompli.
The fundamentals of the period are clear, and they are basically in the long holiday period in China.
=== Strategy ===
That is, after the technical low point appears, a week later, a key node in the news will be ushered in, and you need to suffer another risk impact, and you cannot trade during the market closure during the long holiday.
is the low point worth buying at the bottom of , which is another difficult choice, but often, the greater the negative news at the low point, the market is often in reverse, and the market falls by 1/2, and it indicates weakness. Where to go? Think about it again.
[Struggle]
Focus on liquidity observation, sometimes feeling it, and not as a basis for investment!
