introduction: In today's market, there was no opening and counterattack, but an intraday reversal trend. The results were in line with expectations. At the same time, it also fell into the category of "emotional counterattack". Therefore, today's trend was in line with expectations. Of course , some news has a greater impact on the rise and fall of the industry during the day. In other words, in addition to the expectations of the mid-term report, the current market is also driven by policies, and we believe it will continue to be reflected this week!
index shrinks and reverses, with obvious differentiation. Is it just an "emotional counterattack"?
Several major indexes have achieved intraday reversal trends. However, we have seen obvious differentiation. As mentioned earlier, market sentiment is concentrated on GEM , so every emotional reaction will lead to the rise and fall of GEM. Increase, for example today, the GEM Zhongyang counterattacked, while the Shanghai Stock Index was barely able to close in the red. Looking at the time-sharing chart of
, the Shanghai Stock Index fluctuated downwards after the opening, bottomed out around 10.25 minutes, and then began to fluctuate and counterattack. After rising slightly in the afternoon, it entered a process of shock and decline. In late trading of , followed suit and held on to the red line. We see 10.25 The selling orders before the minute were very intensive, and the same was true during the afternoon shock and decline. Some funds intervened in the late trading, but the overall trend was weak.
GEM opened high and moved low . Before 10.25 minutes, the intraday bottomed out and was completed. After that, there was a straight upward trend. In the second half of early trading, it fluctuated and surged higher. In the afternoon, it opened straight up again. Although it fell back later, it counterattacked again at the same time. However, it did not reach a new high during the day, and fell back again in late trading. After 14.30 minutes, it remained at a high intraday level and fluctuated. The long-short game is still obvious, but the counterattack process is heavy-duty.
Looking at the style again, except for the decline in the value of and in the market, the other style indexes rose during the day. The growth of the market was exactly opposite to the value of the market. The growth recorded a middle yang, but the value recorded a middle yin. This alone is enough to explain. Today's market is mainly based on the track, of course, it is also accompanied by some traditional industries.
A reversal within a day is usually accompanied by the emergence of some news, or some news begins to ferment. In other words, today's A-share market is obviously driven by policies, especially in the growth style, but we still think this is " "Emotional counterattack", the greater the controversy, the greater the repetition and volatility. Also because of the style, the index has diverged...
has three major positive stimulations and a comprehensive counterattack on the track. What do you think?
html The industry changes within 0 days are relatively obvious. The industries that led the gains before 10.25 points have changed significantly since then. The first ones to rise are real estate and building materials, which belong to the main line of low valuation. At the same time, the media has quickly surged; the second is electrical equipment. , environmental protection, communications, public utilities and mechanical equipment.This involves the policy drivers mentioned above. The first is the media. The game concept performed very well after the launch, because 67 game version numbers will be issued in July, and the positive effect is obvious; secondly, it is the power equipment, both photovoltaic Building integration (BIPV), and photovoltaic highways. Of course, what we see is actually a comprehensive counterattack by major new energy concepts. This is reflected in the news. There is a plan to build new public institutional buildings and new factories by 2025. The rooftop photovoltaic coverage rate will strive to reach 50%.â Therefore, the benefits of the new energy industry chain are overwhelming.
Of course, we have also seen the emergence of good news about old infrastructure. "By 2030, prefabricated buildings will account for 40% of new urban buildings in that year." Therefore, the new urbanization concept also performs well. In other words, We have seen some low valuation main lines and high prosperity main lines both strengthening.
In other words, todayâs leading industries are almost all affected by the news. The three major benefits mentioned above have stimulated many sub-industries. Of course, we have also seen that the Kirin battery concept has been promoted by Ningwang alone. Leading the gains in the two markets, however, titanium dioxide and vanadium battery , which were strong in the early stage, led the decline. We also saw big finance and some tracks (electronics, military industry) leading the decline. Therefore, why is the Shanghai Stock Index weak? Because banks led the decline and dragged down the Shanghai stock index...
fell below one trillion again. Institutions "withdrew while fighting and then withdrew again", and the probability of "inducing bulls" increased?
1, the total turnover of the two cities was 942.3 billion, continuing to shrink and falling below one trillion for two consecutive days.
2, pork flowed out 400 million, semiconductors flowed out 200 million, photovoltaics flowed in 1.4 billion, Ningde concept flowed in 900 million, real estate development flowed in 400 million, and electricity flowed in 300 million.
3, the main capital outflow was 4.4 billion, 9.4 billion was outflowed before 10.33 minutes, and 3.4 billion was inflowed before 13.10 minutes. The wide fluctuation was obvious. This is a typical "withdrawal, fighting and then withdrawal".
4, foreign capital outflow was nearly 6.9 billion, Shanghai Stock Connect outflow was 3.784 billion, Shenzhen Stock Connect outflow was 3.09 billion, and the outflow gradually accelerated this week.
has fallen below RMB 1 trillion in transactions for two consecutive days, and the shrinkage and reversal can easily form a "bully inducement" situation, because the funds actually do not support the formation of a reversal. Note that after three consecutive days of decline, 's financing balance has almost no change. , we make a bold guess that today's financing balance has increased. If the guess is valid, the probability of "inducing more" will be established...
Technically, the Shanghai Stock Index stepped back to the core support of the daily line, and the phenomenon of shock is already there. It is relatively normal. Subjectively speaking, the shrinking doji has a chance to stabilize and counterattack. At the same time, the weekly level of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has also reached the core point of breaking through and stepping back. If the shrinking continues, the trading sentiment will accelerate to cool down and start a turbulent period. The probability will increase. The
GEM daily line just returned to the lower edge of the February range yesterday, which is also the effect of a breakthrough and a retracement. The advantage is that the phenomenon of volume and price deviating from has been eliminated by the three consecutive days of decline. However, today's The counterattack is still shrinking, but there is not a lot of selling pressure, which means that in the process of stock game, shrinking is not a sign of stabilization.
In summary, we have seen the trend of index V-shaped reversal of . However, the reversal of shrinkage is accompanied by increased selling pressure. This only shows that the movement of position adjustment is still obvious, but it has not accelerated. It means that there was almost no selling pressure during the early shrinkage, but now the shrinkage is accompanied by obvious selling pressure, and the sentiment has changed. There is nothing wrong with
shrinking and counterattacking, but if it wants to continue, the phenomenon of the long-short game must be reversed, or there must be no sustained selling pressure. Today's counterattack does not meet the standards. Therefore, subjectively, we guess that today's "emotional "Counterattack" has a heavier "luring more" component. Sometimes "slow is faster". You can move your eyes away from the high-standard track. Beware of the exponential acceleration. kills ...
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