Today, there are still a few industries that are rising sharply, and resource stocks are accelerating. This is the most profitable stage and the most challenging stage.
The market has been tempting the public. Sell it quickly. The rise is too scary. Losing after gaining is far more painful than having nothing. This is human nature. Therefore, holding lucrative stocks is hundreds of times harder than holding them tightly.
I will not predict the top, anyway, the coal index does not break the 5-day moving average, and the position remains unchanged.
Actually, the market in the past two years is even more extreme than the big bull market in 2007. For example, the coal index has not fallen below the 5-day moving average since August 23. You know, Shanxi Coking Coal has emerged as a super bull in 2006-2007, but it does not rise unilaterally along the 5-day moving average. It is common for it to fall below the 5-day moving average during the rise.
So, for this coal market, it is okay to break below the 5-day moving average and take profit, so that your account has a small drawdown and can quickly lock in profits. However, the probability that a fall below the 5-day moving average is a false signal is also very high, and the stock price may fluctuate for a few days and then start to break upward. At this time, it is best to buy it back to prevent running out.
For example, ST Huayu, on August 31, we issued a note on the standby number "Speculation Proverbs" at noon, saying that after the continuous rise, the volume of the sky is a take-profit signal, so you can come out and watch. . Now, after nearly half a month of shock, Huayu has resumed its upward trend. This may be a possibility for the future trend of the coal index.
Another example is COSCO Shipping Holdings. We have done two waves on this stock. The most recent wave was when it fell below the 10-day moving average on July 9. After falling below,It did not oscillate within a narrow range like ST Huayu, but a sharp drop. Then it oscillates sideways, and has recently begun to break through, which may be a buying point for a new wave of market conditions.
This may be another possibility for the future trend of the coal index.
Of course, there is another possibility, that is, the coal index fell below the 5-day moving average and then collapsed. However, we sold below the moving average, isn't it just to prevent this possibility? Even if it is a small probability, we must guard against it.
All the possibilities in the future are clear and all have been dealt with. What are you afraid of?
Finally, let’s talk a few words about a thunderstorm incident on a financial platform.
For this kind of financial product that invests the principal and then fixes the interest, it seems that the risk is low, but the hidden risk is actually very high. You can take interest many times, but as long as you explode once, you will almost lose everything. What's more, after many people have received interest for several years, they will trust more and more in their hearts, and then continue to increase their principal investment until the thunder explodes.
What is low risk?
must be controlled by ourselves, knowing how much we will lose at most. Rather than building risk control on the basis of believing in a certain company or a well-known person. Believing in authority is actually the laziness of the masses.
In contrast, stocks are low-risk because I have strict risk control. For example, if you lose a 10% stop loss, if you feel that this loss is a little too much, I will take the initiative to reduce the position.
Only if you are not afraid of death, you are worthy of life; only if you are not afraid of risk, you are worthy of income.Because you are not afraid of risks and dare to face risks directly, you will be able to respond to the "wrong". Those who are afraid of risks, bury their heads in the soil, and turn a blind eye to risks, will suffer a big loss sooner or later.
Some stable work, as well. You are afraid of being unemployed, find a stable job, hold a low salary, and have not made much progress in your ability for many years. Once this stable job is gone, the price you will pay will be much greater than those of those who are struggling in society.
How can there be any real stability, when the seemingly stable thing is broken, the lethality is the greatest. Similarly, there is no permanent shock. After the lasting shock is broken, the trend is huge.
Let’s talk here today, good night~
Author: Bu Yi Shusheng From the media: Compound Life
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