004: Everton VS Brighton
Everton currently has 3 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, scored 13 goals and conceded 20 goals, ranking 16th in the Premier League with 16 points. In the last round, they were away at the Etihad Stadium to challenge Manchester City . Lampard put up a 541 defensive formation. At the same time, it rained moderately and the cold weather also helped the Toffees to some extent. Harland scored in the first half, but under strict defense, Everton not only blocked Blue Moon 's remaining 15 attempts in the game with only 26% of the ball possession rate, but also Jamaica forward Gray's curling kick in the corner of the penalty area in the second half helped Everton escape with a point. In terms of lineup, compared with the last game, the main midfielder Onana received a yellow card and was suspended for this game, and the defensive hardness in front of the penalty area will be lost. But more importantly, the Toffees are so lacking in offensive ability right now. The glass man Lewin finally recovered from his injury, but he was ineffective in the last game, as was Maupay who came off the bench, and top scorer Gordon is still doubtful. They have only scored 4 goals in 8 home games, who will be responsible for attacking the city?
Brighton's current record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, scoring 28 goals and conceding 24 goals, ranking 10th in the Premier League with 24 points. In the last round of the home game against Arsenal , they fell behind 0-3 after just over half-time, and finally lost 2-4. But judging from the course of the entire game, Spanish goalkeeper Sanchez cannot escape the blame for at least the last two goals conceded. But more importantly, winger San Zhanxun, who shined in the World Cup, performed well and showed good breakthrough awareness and shooting skills. Not only did he score the first goal, but his goal at the last moment was also ruled as offside by VAR . . The other goal was scored by Irish forward Evan Ferguson, who replaced Trossard. It is unimaginable that facing a strong team like Arsenal, they suffered such a complete defeat, but the Seagulls did not have a complete disadvantage in various offensive statistics, with a ball possession rate of 67% and more than double the number of passes, 597 to 286. It's a pity that the fence was not tightened at the beginning, otherwise it wouldn't be so bleak.
In the past five games between the two teams, Everton had 4 wins and 1 loss. However, they lost 2-3 at home last season. Gordon scored two goals, while for the Seagulls, Argentine midfielder McAllister scored twice and center back Boone scored. McAllister and another midfielder Caicedo will return in this game, and the strength of Seagulls has greatly increased. Since 2017, Brighton has always been the recipient when playing home and away games against Everton. Today, for the first time, it gave up a first-tier advantage, which can be regarded as a very active support. Of course, if Everton continues to correct its position as a weak team and counterattack steadily, there may still be a chance to score a point. However, the general trend of this game is to support Brighton to be at least undefeated and choose to win away from home between a win and a draw. Best scores: 0 to 1, 0 to 2, 1 to 2.
005: Arsenal VS Newcastle
Arsenal currently has 14 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scored 40 goals and conceded 14 goals, ranking first in the Premier League with 43 points, leading the second place Manchester City by 7 points. If they win again in this game, it will be a bit like a victory. But in fact, they defeated Brighton 4-2 in the last game. Although the offensive end was more prosperous, Saka opened the scoring, Odegaard had a goal and an assist, and Nketiah grabbed a follow-up shot. But let’s not say more. On the one hand, Brighton was beaten not long after the opening, and the defense performed well. It was a mess. On the other hand, the Gunners' own defense also exposed many problems, especially the lack of defense between center back Saliba and Gabriel . They were penetrated three times at the end of the second half (although the last goal was blown away by VAR). In fact, although Arsenal has won ten consecutive home games across the season, they only achieved a clean sheet in the 5-0 victory over Nottingham Forest . It was just that the overly luxurious offensive data covered up the loopholes in the defense. It is worth mentioning that since forward Saka and defender Saliba have already received 4 yellow cards, this game is likely to take a rest to prepare for their opponent Tottenham in the next round of North London Derby .
Newcastle's current record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss, scoring 32 goals and conceding 11 goals, ranking third in the Premier League with 34 points.It is not difficult to see from this set of data that the Magpies have lost the least number of games with Arsenal, and the 0.65 goals conceded per game is definitely the only one in the Premier League. Moreover, since the 1-2 loss to Liverpool on September 1 last year (still a thrilling victory), it has not lost for three months (10 wins, 5 draws), and only 5 goals were conceded during this period. Although they were tied 0-0 at home by the underdog Leeds United in the last round, it always felt a little less interesting if Ellington, Wood and Almiron were paired together. In this game, striker Wilson and dribble king Saint-Maximin both returned from injury and played as substitutes in the last round. They are in good condition and will most likely start directly in this game. This kind of forward configuration has both speed, breakthrough, and dexterous shooting skills. With the defense consolidated, they will have a lot of room to display.
In terms of past results, Arsenal is absolutely crushing Newcastle. The Magpies have not even won a draw at the Emirates Stadium in the past 10 years. However, the last time they met, Newcastle defeated the Gunners 2-0 at home. Returning to the home court this time, the initial concession was only two levels, and it has barely risen to the third level. Personally, I think Arsenal, which has won two consecutive games during the Christmas schedule, should be able to accept a 7-point result. The probability of a draw in this game is relatively high. Newcastle's top forwards are having fun away from home, and they may drag the Gunners into trouble. Best scores: 1 to 1, 2 to 2, 1 to 2.
006: Manchester United VS Bournemouth
I will not do too much analysis in this game. Manchester United currently has 10 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, and has entered the top four of the Premier League with 32 points. In the three main games after the World Cup, the Red Devils have a very upright attitude. They have kept clean sheets against Burnley, Nottingham and Wolves. They and Arsenal are the only two teams that are expected to win three consecutive Christmas games. Moreover, after Ten Hag dealt with the problem of C Ronaldo , it seems that he can let go of his hands and feet, and the forward configuration is no longer hesitant. Rashford made another contribution in the last round, helping the team win the Wolves 1-0 away game. Bournemouth currently has 4 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, ranking 15th with 16 points, only 2 points ahead of the relegation zone. After the World Cup, they suffered three consecutive defeats in the League Cup, and all of them were kept clean sheets. As the weakest defense in the Premier League, Bournemouth concedes an average of 2.12 goals per game, and the away average is as high as 3.25. Another background is that several Manchester United defenders have returned one after another, while Bournemouth's top scorer Billing and midfielder Tavernier and others are doubtful. One positive and one negative, I believe Manchester United can win at home. To be on the safe side, it is recommended to let two goals win/tie. Best scores: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1.
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