World Cup Group F, Croatia , Morocco and Belgium compete for two qualifying seats in the top 16. Croatia defeated Canada 4-1 in the last round. In addition to kicking out of the opponent, it also topped the list with a 4-point advantage and goal difference. Morocco beat Belgium 2-0 in the last round, and also accumulated 4 points and ranked second. Belgium holds 3 points and still has the dominance. As long as they defeat Croatia in the last round, they can advance.
(1) The situation after two rounds of the World Cup Group F
First place: Croatia (4 points; goal difference +3; goal 4 goals; conceded 1 goal)
Second place: Morocco (4 points; goal difference +2; goal 2 goals; conced 0 goals)
Third place: Belgium (3 points; goal difference -1; goal 1 goal 2 goals)
Fourth place: Canada (0 points; goal difference -4; goal 1 goal 5 goals)
(2) World Cup Group F matches in the past two rounds
Morocco 0-0 Croatia
Belgium 1-0 Canada
Belgium 0-2 Morocco
Croatia 4-1 Canada
(3) World Cup Group F matches in the third round
December 1 (Thursday) 11 pm: Croatia vs. Belgium, Canada vs. Morocco
(4) How to qualify for Croatia?
1. Win and qualify: Croatia will definitely qualify with 7 points. They have a great chance of finishing the small first place unless Morocco wins more than they do in the final round.
2. Qualifying for the draw: Croatia scored with 5 points. They also have the chance to win the first place in the group unless Morocco beats Canada.
3. Passive loss: Croatia's loss situation is passive. They have to hope that Morocco will lose too, so that they can compete with Morocco to win the second place and advance. If Morocco wins or draws, Croatia will be out.
(5) How to qualify for Morocco?
1. Win and qualify: Morocco will definitely qualify with 7 points to win. They have a greater chance of finishing the first place in the group, unless Croatia wins in the last round, their goal difference has a chance to fall second place than Croatia.
2. Grade second place advance: if Morocco draws, he will definitely qualify with 5 points.
3. Passive loss: Morocco's loss situation is passive, and hopes for another favorable result. The most advantageous thing is that Croatia beats Belgium, and Morocco will definitely advance to the next place. If another Belgium wins or draws, Morocco will compete for the second place with other teams.
(6) How to qualify in Belgium?
1. Quit the ball to win: Belgium will definitely qualify for the ball to win. They will be the first place in the group after having the chance, unless Morocco also wins.
2. Quit the tie: if Belgium draws, it is a great chance to get out unless Morocco loses.
3. Loss and out: Belgium will definitely be out of losing.
(7) The possibility of the last round of the World Cup Group F disassembly
[Scenario 1]: Croatia defeated Belgium, Canada defeated Morocco
Points: Croatia (7 points), Morocco (4 points), Belgium (3 points), Canada (3 points)
Conclusion: Croatia advanced with 7 points, and Morocco advanced with 4 points.
[Scenario 2]: Croatia beat Belgium, Canada tied Morocco
Points: Croatia (7 points), Morocco (5 points), Belgium (3 points), Canada (1 point)
Conclusion: Croatia advanced with 7 points first, and Morocco advanced with 5 points.
[Scenario 3]: Croatia defeats Belgium, Morocco defeats Canada
Points: Croatia (7 points), Morocco (7 points), Belgium (3 points), Canada (0 points)
Conclusion: Croatia and Morocco scored 7 points together, and advanced together, and decided on the first and second place with a goal difference. Currently, Croatia's goal difference is +3 and Morocco is +2. In other words, as long as Croatia wins in the last round or is equal to the gap that Morocco wins, " lattice " can advance to the first place.
The first name of case 3 is more complicated and it is difficult to list all possibilities.I can only give a few examples to illustrate:
Example 3A: Croatia wins Belgium 3 goals, Morocco wins Canada 3 goals
This is an example of the gap in Croatia's last round winning or even gap than that of Morocco. Croatia's goal difference will change from +3 to +6, Morocco's goal difference will change from +2 to +5, and Croatia will qualify for the first place with the best goal difference.
Example 3B: Croatia wins Belgium 2 goals, Morocco wins Canada 3 goals
This is an example of the gap in Morocco's last round winnings that is 1 goal more than Croatia. Croatia's goal difference will change from +3 to +5, Morocco's goal difference will change from +2 to +5. The goal difference between the two teams is the same, and the total goal difference must be scored according to the total goal. Currently, Croatia has 4 goals and Morocco has 2 goals. To give an extreme example, if Croatia wins 2-0 and Morocco wins 4-1, then the goals of the two teams will be equal to 6 goals; then the results of the match should be considered. Since Croatia and Morocco play 0-0 in the first round, no matter how close it is, fair competitive points must be calculated; if fair competitive points are the same, the first place must be decided by drawing lots.
Example 3C: Croatia wins Belgium 2 goals, Morocco wins Canada 4 goals
This is an example of the gap in Morocco's last round winnings of 2 goals or more than Croatia. Croatia's goal difference will change from +3 to +5, Morocco's goal difference will change from +2 to +6, and Morocco will qualify for the first place with the best goal difference.
[Scenario 4]: Croatia tied Belgium, Canada beat Morocco
Points: Croatia (5 points), Morocco (4 points), Belgium (4 points), Canada (3 points)
Conclusion: Croatia advanced with 5 points, Belgium and Morocco scored 4 points together, and they must be qualified as the second place with a goal difference. Currently, Morocco has a goal difference of +2 while Belgium has -1. Due to the draw in Belgium, the goal difference will remain -1, so if Morocco loses by a 2-goal gap in the last round, Morocco will still advance.
case 4A: Canada wins Morocco 2 goals or less
Belgium draws so the goal difference remains -1. Morocco loses 2 goals or less, the goal difference will change from +2 to 0 or +1. Morocco's goal difference is still above Belgium, so it is qualified to rank second with the best goal difference.
Situation 4B: Canada wins Morocco 3 goals
Belgium draws so the goal difference remains -1. After Morocco loses 3 goals, the goal difference will change from +2 to -1. The goal difference between the two teams is tied, and the total goal score is high or lower. Currently, Morocco scores 2 goals and Belgium has 1 goal. To give an extreme case, if Morocco loses 0-3 and Belgium draws 1-1, the goals of the two teams will be tied with 2 goals, and the scores need to be scored according to the score of the match. Since Morocco beats Belgium 2-0 in the last round, Morocco advances in this case.
Situation 4C: Canada wins Morocco 4 goals or more
Belgium draws so the goal difference remains -1. If Morocco loses 4 goals or more, the goal difference will change from +2 to the maximum -2, which is definitely a Belgian difference, so Belgium will advance with a better goal difference.
[Scenario 5]: Croatia tied Belgium, Canada tied Morocco
Points: Croatia (5 points), Morocco (5 points), Belgium (4 points), Canada (1 point)
Conclusion: Croatia and Morocco jointly advanced with 5 points, and the two teams must decide the first and second place with goal difference. Due to the two draws, the goal difference between the four teams remained unchanged, and Croatia advanced with a goal difference of +3 to Morocco, with a goal difference of +2.
[Scenario 6]: Croatia tied Belgium, Morocco beat Canada
Points: Morocco (7 points), Croatia (5 points), Belgium (4 points), Canada (0 points)
Conclusion: Morocco advanced with 7 points, Croatia qualified with 5 points, and Belgium was eliminated with 4 points.
[Scenario 7]: Belgium defeats Croatia, Canada defeats Morocco
Points: Belgium (6 points), Croatia (4 points), Morocco (4 points), Canada (3 points)
Conclusion: Belgium advanced with 6 points first, Croatia and Morocco scored 4 points together, and the qualification for the second place must be determined by goal difference. Currently, Croatia has a goal difference of +3 and Morocco has a goal of +2.In other words, if Croatia loses less or is equal to Morocco, the one who advances will be Croatia.
The sub-rank qualification of case 7 is more complicated, a bit like case 3, and it is difficult to list all possibilities. I can only give a few examples to illustrate:
Example 7A: Belgium wins 2 goals in Croatia, Canada wins 2 goals in Morocco
This is an example of the gap in Croatia's defeat or being equal than Morocco. Croatia's goal difference will change from +3 to +1, Morocco will change from +2 to 0, and Croatia will qualify for the second place with the better goal difference.
Example 7B: Belgium wins 2 goals in Croatia, Canada wins 1 goal in Morocco
This is an example of the gap in Croatia's defeat that is 1 goal more than Morocco. Croatia's goal difference will change from +3 to +1, and Morocco will change from +2 to +1. The goal difference between the two sides will be equal, and the total goal difference will be scored by the total goal. Currently, Croatia has 4 goals and Morocco has 2 goals. To give an extreme situation, if Croatia loses 0-2 and Morocco loses 2-3, the goals of the two teams will be equal to 4 goals, and the score must be based on the score of the match. Since Croatia and Morocco play 0-0 in the first round, no matter how close it is, fair competitive points must be calculated; if fair competitive points are the same, the first place must be decided by drawing lots.
Example 7C: Belgium wins 3 goals in Croatia, Canada wins 1 goal in Morocco
This is an example of the gap in Croatia's defeat that is 2 goals or more than Morocco. Croatia's goal difference will change from +3 to 0, Morocco will change from +2 to +1, and Morocco will qualify for the second place with the better goal difference.
[Scenario 8]: Belgium defeated Croatia, Canada tied Morocco
Points: Belgium (6 points), Morocco (5 points), Croatia (4 points), Canada (1 point)
Conclusion: Belgium advanced with 6 points, Morocco advanced with 5 points, and Croatia was eliminated with 4 points.
[Scenario 9]: Belgium defeats Croatia, Morocco defeats Canada
Points: Morocco (7 points), Belgium (6 points), Croatia (4 points), Canada (0 points)
Conclusion: Morocco advanced with 7 points, Belgium qualifies with 6 points, and Croatia was eliminated with 4 points.
