Chinese Super League has finished its 15th round. Based on the size of 16 participating teams in previous seasons, the first half of the league has been completed. In the 2022 season, the Chinese Super League has expanded to 18 teams, with a total of 34 rounds throughout the season. Therefore, there are only 2 rounds left before the end of the first half of the league. According to the schedule, the 16th round is from September 3rd to 5th, and the 17th round is The first round of competition is September 9th-10th.
As we all know, the Chinese Super League has a "rule": any team that wins the half-season championship of the Chinese Super League can basically win the season championship. For example, in these 7 seasons from 2011 to 2017, Guangzhou team (Guangzhou Evergrande) won the league half-season championship 7 times and the Chinese Super League season championship 7 times.
This season, the performance of the 18 Chinese Super League teams was unexpected. The leader of the league turned out to be the "promoted team" Wuhan Sanzhen, with 14 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, remaining unbeaten, currently with 43 points, ranking first in the standings; the defending champion Shandong Taishan has 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 39 points. , ranked second; the traditional relegation team Henan Songshan Longmen is temporarily ranked third, with 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 30 points. These three teams currently have more than 30 points in the league.
The points difference between the three teams is that Wuhan Three Towns have 4 points more than Shandong Taishan and 13 points more than Henan Songshan Longmen; while Shandong Taishan has 9 points more than Henan Songshan Longmen, which means that even in the 16th round In the two games of the 17th round, Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Taishan 2 teams all lost. Henan Songshan Longmen won 2 games and scored 6 points, and it is impossible to become the league half-time champion. The championship will be between Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Taishan 2 generated between teams.
This year's championship team and relegation team are particularly obvious. The 14th place Dalian has 12 points, and the 13th Cangzhou Lions have 11 points. The bottom three teams in the relegation zone are Guangzhou team with 10 points, Guangzhou City, and Hebei team. Both are 3 points.
Except for the Hebei team, which continues to be coached by Korean coach Kim Jong-fu , the Guangzhou team changed coaches after losing 1-2 to Chengdu Rongcheng. Zheng Zhi returned with 3 games, 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss. Liu Zhiyu Changed to head coach of the reserve team; Guangzhou City Club changed coaches twice. Foreign coach Van Gast dismissed get out of class after leading the team for 10 rounds. Zhaojunzhe led the team to a 5-game losing streak, scoring 3 goals and conceding 13 goals. Currently, The club officially announced the hiring of Li Weifeng as the head coach of the first team.
In fact, currently Shanghai Shenhua (5th with 26 points) Shanghai Harbor (6th with 24 points) Zhejiang (8th with 23 points), Changchun Yatai (10th with 19 points) Shenzhen (13th with 16 points) 6 teams including Dalian native (14th place with 12 points) only played 14 games.
According to the arrangement of Football Association , the 12th round of make-up matches of the Chinese Super League will be held on August 31, Shanghai Shenhua VS Shandong Taishan, Cangzhou Lions VS Shanghai Harbor on September 1, Zhejiang VS Guangzhou, Changchun Yatai VS Chengdu Chengdu, Dalian native VS Shenzhen; Judging from the points situation, including Meizhou Hakka, which currently ranks fourth in the standings with 26 points, they cannot stop Sanzhen or Taishan from winning the half-way championship.
The opponents of Wuhan Three Towns in the 16th and 17th rounds were Changchun Yatai and Cangzhou Lions; as the 16th round of Taishan was held in advance on August 12, Hao Wei led the team to a 2-0 victory over the Cangzhou Lions. Currently, the first opponent is Shenhua in the make-up match, and the second opponent is Shenzhen.
Judging from the data, Wuhan Three Towns is the team with the most goals and the strongest attack power among the 18 teams in the Chinese Super League. It scored 51 goals in 15 games, averaging 3.4 goals per game. It can be said that it was the team in the glory days of Guangzhou Evergrande. "Minimum consumption"; Conceded 9 goals, it is the team with the fewest goals conceded and the strongest defense in the Super League, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per game.
Changchun Yatai has 4 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses, scoring 25 goals, ranking 4th in the Chinese Super League in attack power, mainly relying on Junior Negron (7 goals), Tan Long, Eric (each 5 goals) and 3 players; conceded 22 goals, the defensive level is in the middle, tied with Guoan for sixth in the fewest goals conceded; averaging 1.46 goals conceded per game.
The Cangzhou Lions have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, scoring 11 goals and conceding 23 goals, with an average of 0.73 goals per game and an average of 1.53 goals conceded per game. The attack power and defensive level may only be met by the Sanzhen team. It’s about losing less and winning more.
Shandong Taishan scored 33 goals in the first 15 rounds, averaging 2.2 goals per game, ranking second in the Chinese Super League in offensive power, conceding 10 goals, ranking second in the Chinese Super League in few goals conceded, and having strong offense and defense, Hao Director Wei has renewed his contract. The team mainly relies on 4 people including Cresan (8 goals) Moises (5 goals) Fellaini, Kim Kyung-do (4 goals each). Among these 4 goals, and accounted for 63.6% of the total goals scored.
Taishan VS Shenhua, the latter scored 20 goals and conceded 13 goals in 14 games. Relatively speaking, its attack power is average and its defense is good, ranking fifth. Shenzhen team has 5 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 17 goals. 28 goals, an average of 1.13 goals per game, and 1.86 goals conceded. The attack power is not strong and the defense is poor. From this point of view, Taishan has a high probability of winning 2 games and getting 6 points and 45 points.
There is a high probability that the three towns of Wuhan will win two games and get another 6 points. If this is the case, after the half-way of the league, the three towns will have a score of 49 points and become the half-way champions of the league; if the three towns of Wuhan lose all 2 games, Taishan will win 2 games. 2 wins, then, the league half-time champion is Taishan team with 45 points.
If the three towns win 1 of the 2 games and accumulate at least 46 points, then the half-time champion is the three towns; if the three towns draw two games and the points reach 45 points, Taishan will also have 45 points after winning 2 games. At this time, according to The "Method for Determining Rankings of the Chinese Super League in the 2022 Season" stipulates that if there is a tie in points, during the league, the teams with the same points will first compare the goal difference rankings.
Currently, the three towns of Wuhan have a goal difference of 42, and Shandong Taishan has a goal difference of 23. In the 16th and 17th rounds, the goal difference between the two teams will not change much. With 45 points tied, Wuhan is also the half-time champion. Three towns.
Actually, from another perspective, Taishan has 4 points less than the three towns. This means that the Taishan team has tied in 1 of the 2 games and only scored 1 point. Then, regardless of the results of the two games between the three towns in Wuhan, wins, draws and loses. How about ? The half-time league championship has nothing to do with the Taishan team.
It is worth mentioning that Shenzhen Jianlibao in 2004, Dalian Shide in 2005, Shandong Luneng in 2006 and 2010, and 2007 Five teams, including Changchun Yatai in 2009 and Beijing Guoan in 2009, plus the Guangzhou team (Guangzhou Evergrande) in the 2011-2017 season, eventually won the league season championship after becoming the league's half-time champion. .
Due to the impact of the epidemic, the competition system format will be implemented in the 2020 and 2021 seasons. 16 teams or divisions will be divided into two stages, or after the two stages, they will play in the championship group and the relegation group. There is basically no half. Cheng Champion, Jiangsu Suning disbanded after winning the 2020 Chinese Super League championship.
Shandong Taishan won the 2021 season championship and only played 22 rounds. After all, there were 16 teams in the past and the schedule was 30 rounds.
However, nothing is absolute.
In the 2008 season, Shaanxi Zhongxin won the championship at the halfway stage, but was eventually reversed by and Luneng . In the 2018 season, after the league was halfway through, the top three teams were Guoan with 32 points, Luneng with 31 points, and SIPG with 230 points. , at the end of the season, SIPG became the new king of the Chinese Super League with 68 points, Guangzhou ranked second and third with 63 points, Luneng ranked second and third with 58 points, and Guoan ranked fourth with 53 points.
In the 2019 season, Guoan once again became the half-time champion with 39 points. Evergrande and SIPG both had 37 points, ranking second and third with a difference of 2 points. At the end of the season, Guangzhou (Evergrande) scored 72 points Winning the season championship, Guoan scored 70 points and SIPG finished second and third with 66 points.
According to statistics, before Guangzhou (Evergrande) won seven consecutive championships, the team that won the half-way championship in the Chinese Super League had an astonishing 92.9% chance of eventually winning the league championship. At the end of the half-way of the league, Shandong Taishan team has a high probability of being the runner-up. Therefore, the probability of defending the championship at the end of the season is less than 20%.
