Unconsciously, the finals have been played in 4 games, and the Suns and Bucks battled 2-2. The finals became a best-of-3 system, with the remaining 3 games, with the Suns playing two at home and the Bucks playing at home. The battle of Tianwangshan between the two sides will be held at the home court of the sun.
The championship is full of suspense, and the FMVP is getting clearer. After the first 4 games of the finals, let's take a look at the data of several stars who have the opportunity to compete for FMVP.
Paul averaged 21 points, 3 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game, shooting 53% from the field and 44.4% from three-point range; Booker averaged 27.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 4 assists per game, shooting 45.5% from the field and 30% from three-point range. Antetokounmpo averaged 32.3 points, 14 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 1.8 steals and 1.5 blocks per game, with a shooting percentage of 60.5%; Middleton averaged 24.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game, with a shooting rate of 42.7% and a three-point shooting rate of 36.4%.
It can be seen from the data that the data of Antetokounmpo is in a separate file. In addition, in terms of stability, Antetokounmpo is also on his own. In 4 games, Antetokounmpo had a stable performance. The longest game was G1. He also made 6 of 11 shots and scored 20 points, 17 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals and 1 block. G2 and G3 scored 42 points, 12 rebounds, 4 assists and 41 points, 13 rebounds and 6 assists, respectively.
Paul, Booker, Middleton all have hip-pulling competitions. Paul had 10 points on 5-of-13 shooting in G4, Booker had 10 on 3-of-14 shooting in G3, and Middleton had 11 on 5-of-16 shooting in G2.
It can be said that if the FMVP is not awarded to the players of the championship team by default, then Antetokounmpo won this season's FMVP, there is almost no suspense. There is only one reason why Antetokounmpo will miss the FMVP, that is, the Suns won the championship. If the Bucks win the championship, there will be no suspense in the Antetokounmpo FMVP.
Booker's poor performance in Game 3 of the Finals saw him fall behind Paul in the Finals MVP rankings.Although the G4 Suns lost, the FMVP probability of Booker and Paul had a 180° reversal. G4 Booker incarnate Kobe scored 42 points, Paul scored only 10 points in a downturn and had 6 turnovers, making the balance of FMVP significantly tilted towards Booker.
Unless Paul's performance in the next game can far exceed Booker, it will be a high probability that Booker will win this season's FMVP. Of course, regardless of Paul and Booker, the prerequisite for them to get the FMVP is that the Suns win the championship.
Although the big score was tied 2-2, according to the model prediction of the well-known data website FiveThirtyEight, the probability of the Suns winning the championship is still 60%, and the Bucks are only 40%. One more home field advantage is the biggest reliance of the sun.
In this year's playoffs, both teams can be said to be home dragons. In the previous game, the Suns only lost 2 home games, the first round G2 loss to the Lakers and the Western Conference finals G5 loss to the Clippers. The Bucks lost only one home game, and the Eastern Conference finals G1 lost to the Eagles.
The battle of Tianwangshan and the tiebreaker (if any) are played in the home field of the sun, which may be the reason why the model predicts that the sun has a higher probability of winning the championship.
But the Suns need to be aware that the Bucks have won on the road in every round as they rush out of the East. In the first round, they won two home games for the Heat, and in the second round of the tiebreaker, they captured the Nets' home field. The Eastern Conference finals G3 won at the Eagles' home. Of course, in the process of rushing out of the West, the Suns also won every round of away games. In the first round, G4 and G6 won at the home of the Lakers. In the second round, they captured the home of the Nuggets twice. In the Western Conference finals, G4 and G6 won at the home of the Clippers.
The home game is naturally the biggest reliance for the two teams to win, but both of them also have the strength to win on the road. The finals are the most exciting time.
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