As everyone knows, the number one starting pitcher on the free market this year is the new Kocelyan Award winner Trevor Ball. However, if the general managers of each team want to strengthen their rotation, there may be another Cy Young strong vote to consider. According to multiple sources, the Tampa Bay Rays have contacted some teams and they will consider trading the 2018 U.S. League Young Award winner Blake Snell.
needs to be clear that Shining doesn't mean to sell Snell, the team just showed an open attitude-if you can come up with a package that satisfies us, then sell it. If not, Snell is useful for us to keep.
In 2019, Guangguang renewed the contract with this leftist for five years and 50 million in advance. Two years after the contract, there are currently three years of 39 million left, and the specific amount is 10.5 million, 12.5 million and 16 million respectively. Considering Snell's level and the peak age of 27, this is a very cheap contract, very suitable for small market teams like Rays. Then why should the light be so exuberant? Are there any flaws in
Snell?
First of all, he is a Cy Young pitcher, but it is meaningless to count Snell's glorious history or advantages here. The key is, why does Guangming want to trade him away? Does the team have any dissatisfaction or worry about Snell's strength? There is no perfect player for
. Snell has strengths and certainly his weaknesses. In the past two years, he has become a typical "five innings man". The last time he pitched in seven innings was at the beginning of the 2019 season. The longest number of innings he pitched in all playoffs this year was 5.2 innings, except for the American League In the final G2 reached 105 goals, the other up to 88 goals. Why is
like this? Snell's ball possession has always been a short board. He does not pursue the ball to the corners, but relies on the quality of the ball and the ball to lure the batter to chase the bad ball, such as a high-angle straight ball or a curve that falls to the outside corner. ball. If the ball is too outrageous or the opposing player picks the ball well, Snell will inevitably consume a lot of balls and release a lot of on bases. In the last three seasons, Snell has averaged a number of passes per 9 games. 3.2 to 3.4.
Another key is that Snell’s pressing power is difficult to last. When the number of balls reaches about 70, his ball speed will slow down as his physical strength decreases. A pitcher like him who wins by the quality of the ball, one or two The deterioration of ball control caused by the mile slowdown and lack of physical strength is fatal.
Snell faced the first, second, and third rounds of batters throughout his career. The attack index was .592/.711/.742, and this year's number was .668/.778/.783. . Even in the year he won the Cy Young Award, this data is .484/.532/.729, you must know that his self-reported rate of 1.89 won the American League.
So Snell is a good pitcher, but he must strictly limit the number of innings/balls he pitches to prevent him from facing the line order for the third time. If you use Snell very sparingly every time, he can contribute high-quality five rounds. As for whether you want to replace him in six rounds, it depends on the lead of the game. If there is only one point advantage, there is The good rescue pitcher is on. What does
Snell mean to light?
Rays is a typical small-market team, even if the stars are outstanding, it is harder to be famous as long as they play for the Rays. As the second Cy Young pitcher in team history, Snell is a rare brand of the team. He not only won the Cy Young Award, but also became an Internet celebrity player in this year's special season with a hand-held game talent tree. In particular, Snell won a lot of attention on behalf of Shine at the officially organized MLB Players E-sports Competition this year.
His contract is also very friendly to the team, only 50 million in five years, and top-notch, the most expensive fifth year is 16 million, and the first 34 million is allocated to four years. This year, the qualified quotation is about 18 million yuan, and Snell's contract price makes any general manager jealous.
Even if you want to sell Snell in the future, for example, like Ray’s last Celeron pitcher David Price, you can wait until the last year of the contract-now you understand the structure of Snell’s contract amount Is it mysterious? Shining can use him cheaply for four years, and then trade away when the fifth year is the most expensive (relatively speaking), in exchange for his favorite rookie. This kind of operation is very “shiny”, basicallyNot in a hurry to sell. What's more important is that the light that has just entered the World Series is in a competitive period. The team is still thinking about how to enhance its combat power. Of course, the core of the original lineup cannot be easily let go. What are the core considerations of
Ray’s recent actions?
has a misunderstanding that must be clarified: small-market teams are afraid of spending money and try not to spend money. Whether it is the most heroic team owner or the most stingy team owner, their goal is to make money. A better team record will help the team's box office, ratings, and sales of peripheral products to increase. It is a real income increase. Revenue minus cost is profit. How much cost is itself is not the key, but profit is the result pursued by the bosses.
The difference between large-market and small-market teams is that large-market teams can afford higher costs and earn greater income, while small-market teams are not as good as large-market teams because of the lower limit of the market, even if the team record is greatly improved , Income increase cannot exceed market saturation. Therefore, small-market teams cannot afford too high costs, but the good results brought about by a moderate investment also help maximize the team's profits. For a team known for saving money like
, it is definitely not about not spending money, but finding ways to spend money efficiently. For a player like Snell, the light should be held firmly. Although he has some flaws, how many Cy Young pitchers are there on the market? How much price does it cost to purchase their services? Light used a thousand dollars to buy Snell to work for them. If this ten million were spent on other people, would it have the same effect?
So, is Shining showing that his intention to trade Snell is contradictory? Not really. The guiding ideology for the team to spend money efficiently will not change, but the definition of "high efficiency" will change. The new crown epidemic has dealt a great blow to the entire major leagues. This year, all teams have lost 3 billion in total. As far as the accounts of each team have not been announced, Shine certainly cannot escape the loss.
After the season, Ray gave up Charlie Morton’s 15 million team option, the Cleveland Indians gave up Brad Hand’s 10 million option, and the St. Louis Cardinals gave up Kelton King’s 12.5 million option. Team options. The amount of these options is not expensive at all in normal years, but now everyone has no surplus. What was originally affordable may not be available now.
A few days ago, Ray had appointed outfielder Hunter Renfer, a typical blind cannon fielder who had only reached the second year of salary arbitration. Because the team did not disclose the inside story, the outside world has no way of knowing the real purpose of Ray's operation. Like Snell, a cheap and easy-to-use player like Renfer should be an asset that the team strives to keep, and he can trade away without having to in the future. But it is unavoidable that there are also considerations of saving salary expenditures, even if giving up on him may be a deficit record for the team in the long run.
The entire market environment is like this. Even if Shine doesn't want to leave Snell, it is not logical to consider sending him away now, and it becomes understandable because of the passage of time.
Where can Snell go?
A senior executive of the American League team said a very honest sentence: "I guess they think it is the best time to enter the market." A senior executive of the National League team commented: "He can bring great returns. "And a source close to Snell said that the person concerned had heard the rumors, and he himself very much hopes to stay in Tampa Bay.
In the free market this year, in addition to Ball and Morton, there are also starting pitchers such as Tanaka, Jack O'Doritz, and Te Juan Walker. However, left shots are relatively scarce, and the more competitive players are only injured. James Paxton and veteran JA Harp are in great danger. Z2z
might be interested in Snell’s teams including the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners. In particular, Jerry Diporto, the general manager of Sailor, is a trading madman and an old business partner with Shine. Since he took over in September 2015, he has made ten transactions with Shine. Sailor’s farm is currently in the forefront of the major leagues, and should be able to show some interesting colors.
And Snell is a Seattle native. He would be very happy to return to his hometown team to play. From the perspective of the light, sending his heroes to a place he likes is a distraction from the team. Scattered.
Is there any other choice for that light? In fact, the most rumored team trade in these years is the center fielder Kevin Kilmeier. heOn the defensive end, the performance of the golden glove level continued, but the attacking aspect was only the last level of the best. His contract has two years left with 23.5 million, which is a bit too expensive for the Rays, and some wealthier teams may be suitable.
Rays has already replaced the center fielder Manuel Margot and can send Kilmeier away, so that the team can save eight-figure space at once. Tongxiang Jiazhi's contract of 7 million a year is also an option that can be considered for operation.
repeats one last time, Shining is not sure to sell Snell, the team still has a realistic demand for him. It's just that now they will have to consider the possibility of early shots. If the return from the trade can't match the team's continued use of his earnings, Shine certainly should not be sold. Conversely, if the trade can enrich the team's farm and optimize the lineup structure, whether it is Cy Young pitcher or MVP, qualified team management should be determined to take action.
