First of all, it is clear that the overestimated players follow the following principles:
1. The level of competition displayed is much lower than the tactical status
2. The statistics displayed are much lower than expected
3. Being a core player The team’s record is much lower than expected
4. Non-core players are not included in the scope of discussion
5. Leader players of the team during the reconstruction period are not included in the scope of discussion
Similarly, the underestimated players follow the following Principles:
1. The core players of the teams that are not optimistic have an excellent record
2. The core players whose statistics are higher than expected
3. The core players whose game effects (high-level data) are higher than expected.
The most easily overrated player NO.3: Damian Lillard
Lee coach is one of my favorite players, but as a current player Veteran football fans who have played for more than 20 years still have to look at the game with a realistic attitude. The rookie coach Billups inherited from Larry Brown. It is undeniable that Larry Brown is a famous NBA coach, but the era of emphasizing inside defense is no longer. Chauncey has only been a Clippers assistant for half a year. Experience, it is clear that none of the Trailblazers are close to the playing field role of Leonard or even Paul George. Use Lillard as Iverson? Obviously not... Iverson's main means of scoring in the environment of the early 21st century is to break through the basket and use speed to throw off the defender's mid-range shot. Lillard is good at long shots after multiple picks and rolls. On the other hand, the Blazers let go of the bench scorers Kanter and Anthony ,The deal came with Larry Nance and the space-based No. 5 Zeller, this configuration is really a sweat for the future of the Blazers. That is to say, it is convenient for Ladd to show the same firepower as Curry last season, but for the highly energetic coach, it is difficult to accept the playoffs. Maybe next season will be Lee’s last season in Portland
prediction: unable to lead the team to the playoffs
NO.2: Joeln Peid
The Great is one of the best five positions in active service. Last season's performance was even close to the MVP. If it weren't for a health problem in the middle, Jokic might not have won so easily in the end. Embiid still ranks fifth in the league in MVP odds this season. Embiid’s competitive state last season was excellent enough. He ranked fourth in the league in scoring per game, first in scoring efficiency, and second in field efficiency. Both positive and negative values and replaceable values are in the top 5 of the league. The level of MVP level. But the editor still put him on the overrated list, the reason is the instability of the team. Ben Simmons is almost certain to part ways with the digital team (the main reason for not leaving the team now is that the sb team manager's asking price is outrageous). At present, it is reported that it is possible to make a deal with Ben Simmons as the main body to exchange the Rockets' Wall, or Ben Simmons as the main body to exchange the Lone Ranger Porjinis. But no matter which of these two-match trades can be achieved, one of these two is a strong offensive and weak backcourt player, and the other is a space-based fifth position. There will be no defensive help for Embiid, but will be Share the right to shoot. Embiid's technical characteristics are very obvious: the offensive end largely relies on footsteps to shake off defenders who move slowly, or to get the ball from the low post, and rely on flexible footsteps to get free throws. However, this season the league has changed the rules and proactively contacts the defenders. Shooting fouls will no longer be whistled.This means that Embiid, the killer of the insider's big killer, may no longer be practical. On the other hand, although Ben Simmons has a single offensive method, his defensive ability is indeed at the DPOY level. How much other players in the Digital Team lacking an organizer with excellent defensive ability can help Embiid? Putting a big question mark... In addition, Embiid averaged only 31 minutes per game last season, which is much lower than the average of other team leaders. This also means that Embiid’s defensive physical effort is not enough to make Does he play more high-intensity game time?
prediction: The focus is more on the defensive end, and data and efficiency are compressed. The average dropped to 23+10 per game, and health problems may occur. The team ranks 6-8 in the East.
NO.1: Westbrook
Westbrook has all the conditions that a successful player should have: paranoid personality; self-disciplined professional spirit; The attitude of focusing on the court and training instead of working outside the court...As a triple-double in NBA history, he has reserved a seat in the Hall of Fame, but Westbrook has not yet had a championship ring. This is for NBA players. It is undoubtedly a pity. After the end of last season, Westbrook chose to join the Los Angeles Lakers. Also joining the Lakers were Anthony, Howard, Ariza, Bezmore, Jordan and Rondo_ Span26span and other veterans look star-studded, but is the lineup match enough? If nothing else is discussed, Westbrook and James have overlapping positions. How to arrange tactics? With James’ status and utilitarianism,It is impossible for him to give up the starter to Westbrook. Westbrook is also an attacker with the ball, how to distribute the organizational power? There are several situations that may be caused by this: 1. Westbrook has adjusted his tactics from a point guard to a shooting guard, responsible for outside defense and catching and shooting (the defense is acceptable, but Westbrook’s shooting skills are almost at the bottom of the league) 2. Westbrook Play the rotation lineup and play the role of last season's Schroder. 3. James returned to the small forward from the point guard and was responsible for perimeter defense and flanking offense. Westbrook continued to be responsible for organizing the offense.
The answer is obvious. The offensive abilities of the two are relatively mediocre. Situations 1 and 3 are almost impossible. The remaining result is that Westbrook will lead the rotation. Westbrook ranked 34th among the top 100 stars of the new season announced by Sports Illustrated just now, but I am afraid that the tactical status, playing time, and the number of shots will decline, and it may be difficult to achieve expectations.
estimate: data compression is severe, averaging 18+6+6 per game.
The most underestimated player NO.3: Lonzo Ball
The player who has not yet redeemed his talent, he is the best player in 2017. He has never made the playoffs. In the first year, Russell was standing next to him, James was standing next to him in the second year, and Ingram was standing next to him in the third year. span26span, Zion stood beside him in the fourth year. It wasn't until this year, in the first year of his rookie contract, that he met LaVine, who was both offensive and defensive. Whether LaVine's offensive comprehensiveness can activate Qiu Ge's organizational skills will soon be verified. Even if it is as strong as Jordan, Pippen is needed to truly exert the power of the triangle offense. Can the talented young man like Gou Ge be an offensive fulcrum next to LaVine?
estimate: The data has improved significantly and entered the playoffs for the first time. Estimated data 18+5+9
NO.2: Domantas Sabonis
Xiao Sa is good enough,But his upper limit is not only that. In the top 100 players of the new season just announced by the US media ESPN/Sports Illustrated, Sa has not entered the top 30. His data is eye-catching enough, 20+12+6, but he failed to lead the team into the playoffs. But the arrival of Carlisle this season may change all of this. If you look at the lineup of Saskatchewan + Bron Gordon + Lever, this configuration is not much better than the Nuggets' Jokic + Murray + Porter. Sao Sa is the fifth position closest to 's teacher . The subtle difference is that Sao Sa's efficiency is slightly lower and his defensive contribution is greater. Even if the alphabet brother of met Budenholzer , he changed from a star to a superstar. It is hard to guarantee that Sabonis will not become the next Jokic after he meets Kashuai.
prediction: data improvement, averaging 24+10+8 per game, and leading the team to the playoffs, have a chance to compete in three teams.
NO.1: Kyle Lowry
Once a small steel cannon, now a veteran. It seems that the outside world has forgotten that he led the team to win the championship two years ago. Lowry's role is not only in terms of current statistics, averaging 17+7 per game is not impressive, but as the league's most proficient backcourt player, Lowry has his unique advantages. After joining the Heat, his characteristics will be magnified again. Role 1: Liberation of the organization of Butler . Butler’s team will organize offenses, but the direct impact of organizing offenses is that the offensive efficiency has become very low. Butler’s technical characteristics are closer to Jordan than James. Spoel insists on using Butler as James, which has been given last season. With the result, maybe Lowry will keep Spoel’s handsome position. Role 2: In the defensive end of the Heat team like forest masters like a fish in water. Lowry’s best year has Leonard by his side. After Leonard is gone, Siakam is difficult to be a leader.Now in the Heat, in addition to Butler who has a defensive role similar to Leonard, there is also Adebayor, who has been selected as a second defense for two consecutive years, plus Lowry's defensive ability against the combo guard. , The Heat's new season can be expected.
Estimate: Enter the playoffs with the top four in the Eastern Conference, with a personal data of 18+9.
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