"Emergency Rescue" box office prediction
This week is directed by Lin Chaoxian, starring Peng Yuyan, Wang Yanlin, Xin Zhilei, Lan Yingying, Wang Yutian, Xu Yang, and co-starring in the upcoming domestic film "Li Mincheng, Liu Yichun" emergency rescue action Released. The film is based on real maritime rescue incidents, created by the original crews of "Operation Red Sea" and "Operation Mekong ", showing the heroic and fearless image of Chinese superhero rescuers at sea. The story tells the story of the ace Secret Service member Gao Qian (played by Peng Yuyan) and his good brother Zhao Cheng (played by Wang Yanlin) and other rescuers facing the challenge of a major disaster and performing thrilling maritime rescue missions together. In this box office forecast, we will focus on this work and analyze the film through a combination of big data analysis, questionnaire surveys and the opinions of the jury, and strive to accurately predict its final box office results.
at the box office of similar movies
compared to the movie "Emergency Rescue" similar action movies, the box office results are generally relatively good, the average box office of 2.0301 billion, and the median box office of 1.292.5 billion. Among the 10 selected works, 7 out of the box office broke the one billion mark. "Wolf Warriors 2" Yiqi Juechen won over 5.6 billion box office, and director Lin Chaoxian's previous film "Operation Red Sea" also won over 3.6 billion box office Rear. Within the subject matter, phenomenon-level masterpieces are frequently produced, and their relative performance is relatively stable. Box office results are generally superior under the condition of ensuring quality. Last year, the similar film "Heroes of Fire" based on fire fighters won many awards and exceeded 1.7 billion box office. The momentum is exceptionally strong, opening a good situation for the development of the genre film. Affected by the epidemic this year, the market environment is bad, but good films will not be buried. The "Emergency Rescue" with considerable potential for explosions will most likely overcome difficulties, highlight the advantages of genre films and reap good box office results.
The main box office appeal
"Emergency Rescue" directed by Lin Chaoxian, its success in the genre film left a deep impression on the audience, and the box office appeal is increasing day by day. In terms of personal data, the average box office reached 544.7 million, and the median box office was 112.5 million. After the great success of Operation Mekong and Operation Red Sea, the "Emergency Rescue" with new types, new themes and new experiences arrived as scheduled. He insisted on minimizing special effects shots, and most of the scenes were actually shot, making the visual experience of the film very different from the disaster film full of CG. What he brought us was the original hardcore experience. The lead star Peng Yuyan has not many personal films in recent years, but his popularity has always been high. The image of a tough guy is deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. As he grows older, he becomes more mature and handsome. Its representative works have an average box office of 620.2 million and a median box office of 632 million, which has strong box office appeal. After "The Evil Does Not Suppress Zheng" and "The Story of Wukong", its big screen activity has dropped significantly, making many movie fans eagerly waiting. In this return, many viewers must have come to the male gods in their hearts, accumulating new works and accumulating them, which is unavoidable.
Producer strength
Tencent Pictures was established on September 17, 2015 and is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Tencent. The company is positioned as an open content platform that focuses on high-quality film and television works under the new cultural and creative ecology. Its business layout covers the fields of creation, publicity, IP copyright, and IP authorization. It has eight creation teams, a large business center and a professional platform support line. At present, he has participated in the production and distribution of more than 35 films, and the global box office has exceeded 51.7 billion yuan. Although Tencent Pictures has not been established for a long time, with sufficient capital strength, rich corporate management experience, and a large number of cutting-edge talents to occupy a place in the industry, the upward trend is extremely significant. "Eight Hundred", "The Wandering Earth", "My Motherland and Me" and other hits are frequently released. This time "Emergency Rescue" is also a leader in genre films. , High-efficiency, can fully escort the work.
Over the same period market popularity
this week's new film "Emergency Rescue" " Wonder Woman 1984"" film sequence and audience expectation index lead the market, and the box office champion is bound to be determined from the two. The former focuses on action and disaster themes, with the golden partner Lin Chaoxian and Peng Yuyan as the team continuing to write a new journey of domestic genre movies. The latter focuses on comics and fantasy, and has a strong fan base. In addition to the fact that there are not many imported blockbusters this year, this time will surely fill the vacancy in the American comics market this year. The two are currently on par and the competition is fierce. As for the old films, "The Bathing King" has a good reputation, and the advantages of the theme help it to stay in third place. The remaining works are relatively less competitive, and they basically cannot pose a threat to the new works. There will be a number of blockbuster films coming next Christmas next week. Whether "Emergency Rescue" can effectively grasp the rapid progress of the first weekend window period will largely determine its subsequent box office trend. If the opponent is not weak, whether the opponent can win the first round of word of mouth Will be exceptionally critical.
big data prediction results
This prediction is based on the basic data, historical data and peripheral information of the film and television works, and is calculated using a machine learning model. The model focuses on factors such as the past market performance of the production team, the degree of matching between the type of subject matter and the current movie viewing trend, and the timing of the release, combined with the weighting of multi-dimensional parameters such as the box office of the same film, the box office appeal of the main creator, the strength of the producer, and the market popularity of the same period. Complete the big data evaluation of the film. finally got the estimated box office of 620 million-640 million yuan from the big data of the research film "Emergency Rescue" in this issue.
Questionnaire Setting:
This questionnaire survey mainly starts from the perspective of box office forecasts, with the audience of college students as the research object, and the target film is selected as "Emergency Rescue" released on December 18. The questionnaire adopts the form of optional voting, which can be divided into three parts according to the specific content of the selected topic: the first part is the basic personal information, the portrait of the respondent is determined, and the basic category of the overall data is divided; the second part is for the respondents to the same subject The intuition of the film and the initial impression of the survey works, comprehensive market predictions, and expected values are collected; the third part is to understand the interviewees’ psychological expectations of the works’ box office performance through the respondents’ selection of the box office prediction interval. As an important reference index for comprehensive analysis of the box office forecast of the film. In the movie "Emergency Rescue", we selected college students of different age groups to achieve a diversity of samples. And according to different interviewees, adjust the questionnaire title settings appropriately, collect data in the way that the interviewees are better at thinking in their respective fields, and ensure the authenticity and effectiveness of the questionnaire return.
questionnaire recovery
The ratio of men to women in this survey is about three to seven, and there are more women than men. Among them, the number of graduate students accounted for nearly 70% of the total number, and the overall academic qualifications were relatively high. From the perspective of structural portraits, it basically covers the current mainstream youth viewing groups, and has a slight rise in age. Respondents range from freshmen and sophomores to graduate students with certain experience. The diversity of sample sampling is fully reflected, and the 100% coverage of college students is also effective for the accuracy of this survey. Show.
Respondents’ portraits
obtained respondents’ opinions on genre films, and we set up a survey of their preference for such actions and disaster films. Among them, more than 65% of the respondents expressed interest and love for this type of film, and the data is performing well. Regarding the way to watch genres, nearly 70% of the respondents believe that it is best to watch them in theaters, with the largest proportion. In addition, as to whether domestic action and disaster movies have reached the Hollywood level, over 80% of the students said that they can see great progress in domestic genre movies, but there is still a gap between them and mature Hollywood industrialized movies. On the whole, college students have high expectations for such films, and they are very inclusive, and they have a high willingness to watch works through theaters. They are a new force in the contribution of genre films to the box office.
Respondents' views on genre films
When the respondents were asked about their views on the research film "Emergency Rescue", the results of the students were more scattered. More than 30% of the interviewees paid tribute to the film the mostWaiting, the number of people accounted for the highest proportion; each of more than 25% of the interviewees most expected the performance of actor Peng Yuyan and director Lin Chaoxian, and the number of the two was almost the same; more than 15% of the interviewees expected the restoration of the real scene, and the number fell slightly . In terms of actors, Peng Yuyan has the highest personal expectations, accounting for up to 70%, and the remaining three leading actors account for an average of about 10% each. Regarding the willingness to watch movies, more than 90% of the respondents said that they would consider watching. The overall higher willingness to watch movies is another good news for the higher box office. Through this survey, the focus of the college student community on the film is not only focused on Peng Yuyan, but also on the plot, setting, director and other aspects, which exceeds expectations.
Respondents’ views on the survey works
college student predictions
This "Emergency Rescue" box office forecast questionnaire was carefully and effectively filled out by the backstage investigators of many colleges and universities. Through the analysis of the return of the questionnaire, respondents have higher expectations for the film, and the box office of the college student respondents is estimated to be about 560-580 million yuan.
college student box office prediction interval
Lin Chaoxian + main theme = 3 billion? The
movie "Emergency Rescue" still upholds the lifelike and shocking scenes of Lin Chaoxian's work. The normal state of China's salvage work and the bit of life when completing the rescue mission are also vivid. The new perspectives and themes are re-created on the basis of real events. The story is closer to ordinary people's lives, and has a sense of reality and practical significance. When the audience watched the sea rescue team on the big screen saving their lives and saving their lives, they were able to see the meaning of "China Rescue" from the first hand, as well as when ordinary people face daily dangers. How to face it. From rigid police films with dark black colors to military themes with international perspective and super special effects, Lin Chaoxian can reach a higher level in many aspects such as word of mouth and box office every time he shoots a new film. However, if the box office of a new film is judged solely based on past results, it is inevitable to be arbitrary. In the face of the current downturn in the film and television market, schedule adjustments and other unfavorable factors, Lin Chaoxian's gold medal team wants to continue the box office myth of 3 billion + is very unlikely. Towards the end of the New Year, action and adventure themes are generally less popular with the audience than family comedies. The quality of the work is one aspect, and the advantages of themes can also play a key role in special periods. The cool action scenes set off the explosive rescue operation. The old partner Peng Yuyan continued to contribute hormones. When the crisis comes and the mission is stimulated, only real heroes can do this. personally predicts that this is a high-quality genre film, with a box office score of the upper-middle level of its kind, but it is basically hopeless to reach a box office volume of several billions at the moment. I hope that the work will bring more surprises after the release.
Director Lin Chaoxian and the three starring stars
Super Daddy Z7z
The role of Gao Qian in "Emergency Rescue" is the first time that Peng Yuyan has officially played the role of "father". His son is clever and big, which is a big challenge for Peng Yuyan. Accustomed to being alone and heroic, the appearance of a new father and super dad is also worth looking forward to. "Hero, you want to come back." Accompanied by this line, there are two backs of one big and one small. This is an agreement between Gao Qian and his son Congcong, and it is also a microcosm of the daily life of the rescuer. Relying on the support of his son to successfully get out of confusion, this is a true portrayal of the real "superhero" China salvaging people. They carry out rescue missions all year round, and their family is their source of motivation. The works of not only show the heroic side of salvaging people as real "superheroes", but also show their daily lives as ordinary people. Peng Yuyan has always presented to everyone a tough guy image. It is reported that he did his own work during the shooting. He is an extremely dedicated and strong willpower actor. He can master a skill every time he plays a work, shooting, fighting, racing, diving and other skills have reached professional standards. This is the fourth cooperation between Peng Yuyan and Lin Chaoxian.A film, this pair of partners can be said to be a guarantee of high box office and high quality. From the initial attempt of "Operation Mekong" to the breakthrough of the theme of "Emergency Rescue", they have witnessed the growth of the two. personally look forward to this new film very much, Peng Yuyan's appeal is obvious to all, and the box office potential is great. However, in the face of the full schedule at the end of the year, the works are under tremendous competitive pressure, and the final results are variable.
Eddie ornaments Gao Qian
WAFF
"emergency"
ten thousand predict box office: 580 000 000 -6.0 one hundred million
"emergency" posters
