In the early days of Russia's war against Ukraine, no one who criticized the Russian army would have thought that they could be like this. Russia's annual military expenditure has begun to reach about ten times that of Ukraine, and from the paper data alone, the Russian army has an overwhelming advantage over Ukraine. However, since the outbreak of the war, Russia's strategic goals have not been achieved.
In the first phase of the war, the Russian army tried to occupy the Ukrainian capital Kiev and the second largest city Kharkov , but they all failed. After the war entered the second phase, the Russian army wanted to completely capture the Donetsk Oblast and Lugansk Oblast regions. But so far, Russia has only controlled about 60% of the territory of Donetsk Oblast. In addition, Ukraine's recent series of counterattacks have also entered Luhansk Prefecture.
In early September, the Ukrainian army launched a large-scale counterattack near Kharkov, which caught the Russian army in front of them off guard. The Russian local troops stationed in the local area and the 20th Guards Army were defeated in one fell swoop. Russia has completely abandoned the front line near Kharkov and used most of its power to attack the Donbas region.
Not long ago, Russian President Putin issued a partial mobilization order. It is expected that 300,000 reserve troops will be recruited to the battlefield. However, before these Russian troops were put into the battlefield, the Ukrainian army gave Russia a "gift" with a large counterattack.
. The latest news is that the Ukrainian army has liberated Liman, a strategic city. The Russian army spent a long time and paid a very heavy loss of personnel and equipment before taking it down. As a result, the local area was recovered by Ukraine shortly after Russia planned the so-called "referendum". The Ukrainian army concentrated about 20,000 elite troops in the local area and encircled about 5,000 Russian troops deployed in Liman. The local Russian army, who knew that they could not stand at all, braved Ukrainian artillery bombardment or even direct firepower from the direction of Kirovsik, and lost most of its technical equipment. The results of the Liman Battle show that the Ukrainian army's equipment, intelligence and command system have made great progress with the support of NATO , which makes them enough to concentrate superior forces on the front line of the battlefield to defeat their opponents. The Russian army was unable to support friendly forces in time even on the front line, and in addition, they were unable to complete timely replenish technical weapons.
This move shows that to some extent, some of Putin's mobilization orders were very timely, because more than seven months have passed in the war. Although the elite Ukrainian army has consumed a huge amount of energy, the Russian army has always had about ten armies on the front line, and its own losses are also very heavy, and the front line is particularly long, so this kind of situation is caused by the Ukrainian army's pain points.
The Ukrainian battle to liberate Liman further consolidated their strategic advantages since the victory of the Kharkov counterattack. Next, the Russian army will further shrink its forces to the Krimina-North Donetsk line. However, before the Russian army could not replenish more soldiers on the battlefield, it was also quite difficult for them to stick to this front, because compared with the previous period, the length of the front line has not been greatly reduced, nor has a strong natural barrier or terrain advantage, which means that the Russian army cannot increase the density of troops, and the battlefield space left to Ukraine is quite large. The Ukrainian army can completely use its flexible combat mobility to lead the Russian army's nose and then lure the Russian army to expose its weaknesses.
Next, if the Russian army wants to regain the initiative in the battlefield, there are basically only two opportunities left: either defend the current front and wait for winter to come, and stop seeing the Liman Battle, where "friendly troops remain as if they are in trouble", and then the defensive forces are scrambling to escape in a panic. Either it is to quickly mobilize 300,000 people to the battlefield before their own front is completely defeated. Once the Russian front has sufficient military density, it is still very difficult for the Ukrainian army to counterattack.