The Russian-Ukraine War is regarded as the most serious geopolitical event since the end of the Cold War and will become a landmark event in a century of changes. Although more than 200 days have passed, it is still difficult to decide the outcome. Recently, President Putin deliv

article: Hu Houfa

Russian-Ukrainian war is regarded as the most serious geopolitical event since the end of the Cold War , and will become a landmark event in a century of changes. Although more than 200 days have passed so far, it is still difficult to decide the outcome. No one can provide an answer to how long the war will last and how it will end. Recently, President Putin delivered a televised speech, announcing part of the mobilization order, and held a referendum on entering Russia in four states of Ukraine. Russia's launch of these two major actions has caused global shock, which means that the Russian-Ukrainian war will enter an important turning point.

The outside world is not sure about what the motives of Putin's big moves are, but at least it can prove the following two points: First, Russia has encountered great trouble in Ukraine, and the "special military operation" has not achieved its predetermined goal, and it has not yet had a "trick of tricks" to win; Second, Russia is unwilling to accept the current dilemma, and will not accept the practice of the United States and the West to consume Russia by supporting Ukraine, and it is very stance to fight to the end.

The passive situation on the battlefield shows that Putin's estimate of military operations is insufficient. First, it is not estimated that Ukraine's resistance will last for so long, and 's original idea of ​​"achieving the greatest strategic benefits at the minimum cost" has proved unrealistic; Second, it is not estimated that the United States and the West will be so strong in military and political support for Ukraine; third, it is not estimated that the United States and the West will be so strong in sanctions on Russia will be so strong; fourth, it is not estimated that Russia's traditional military advantages will be difficult to adapt to the new form of war supported by the United States.

President Putin delivered a televised speech, announcing part of the mobilization order.

If it is only based on Ukraine's military strength, Russia will win without a doubt. However, Russia is currently facing the entire NATO . The United States provoked the Russian-Ukraine war, which is actually a long-term strategy with far-sightedness. It is mainly based on two strategic considerations: one is to weaken Russia's national strength for a long time so that it cannot pose a threat to the US's global hegemony; the other is to stimulate Russia to continue to fight back by squeezing and threatening Russia's survival and security, so that Europe will always feel the security threat from Russia. Of course, the United States will not do it directly to go to war with Russia. For the United States, the ideal approach is to "sweep others' blood and seek your own interests", and provoking the Russian-Ukrainian war is the best choice.

In the international geographic pattern, Ukraine is originally insignificant, but as a strategic tool of the United States, it can leverage the geographic pattern of Europe. The United States set up a powder keg in Europe, making Europe feel that Russia is their threat, and thus begs forever for the protection of the United States. As long as the United States can maintain its hegemony in Europe, even if Ukraine is beaten, the United States will not suffer any losses. By provoking the Russian-Ukraine war, the United States successfully turned Europe and Russia into a pair of mortal enemies. Sowing "deep hatred" between Russia and Europe means placing a powder barrel in Europe.

By provoking the Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States successfully turned Europe and Russia into a pair of mortal enemies.

The United States has provided a large number of weapons to Ukraine, but these weapons are not very aggressive. There are no fighter , no tank , and no missile above medium-range. It can be seen that the United States does not want the Russian-Ukraine war to turn into a highly intense war. In the United States' strategic planning, the United States needs Russia to continue to play the role of provocateurs in Europe. Only in this way can the United States unite Europe around itself, and Europe can also regard the United States as a protector and accept the leadership of the United States.

Some people say that the United States attempts to destroy Russia with the help of Ukraine, but this is not in line with the United States' long-term strategy. The United States still has room for handling the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States does not actually want the war to get out of control. During the Cold War, the United States firmly controlled Europe through its confrontation with the former Soviet Union. After the end of the Cold War, the Soviet Union collapsed. Europe could have reconciled with Russia, making Europe the most stable and economically developed region in the world, but such Europe is not in the interests of the United States.Therefore, after the Cold War, the United States continued to build Russia into an opponent in Europe, thus allowing Europe to continue to be closely tied with the United States.

The United States' strategy toward Russia and Europe has always been in line with each other before and after the Cold War. After the end of the Cold War, Russia has always wanted to integrate into the Western system, but the United States did not accept it. Back then, both Gorbachev and Yeltsin tried their best to "curry up" with the United States and the West and express their strong desire to fall into the arms of the United States. Even in the Putin era, Russia did not give up its hope of integrating into the West, but all this was rejected by the United States, who always implemented strategic squeeze and containment on Russia. This disappointed Russia's political elites. After realizing that their dream of integrating into the West was shattered, Russia had to start countering the suppression of the West. The contradiction between Russia and the United States and Russia and Europe continued to intensify, and the relationship between the two sides was in opposition.

The state of mutual hostility between Russia and Europe means that Russia and Europe will be in a military confrontation for a long time, and Russia's resource advantages, Europe's manufacturing and technological advantages will be forever strangled by the United States. The launch of a "special military operation" against Ukraine is actually a major counterattack by Russia against the United States' "encirclement strategy" since the Cold War.

U.S.'s strategy toward Russia and Europe has always been in line with each other before and after the Cold War.

Putin launched a military operation against Ukraine, with his position to "fight against the United States against the water " and completely eradicate the scourge of the United States dominating the world. If Putin's strategic ambitions are realized, Europe will certainly be the beneficiary. In Russia's view, Europe should stand with Russia, hold high the banner of "strategic autonomy" and get rid of or at least reduce the United States' control over Europe. However, Europe not only did not support Russia's actions, but instead was even more serious than the United States in anti-Russia actions. The United States and Europe were in aligned and used the Russian-Ukrainian war to siege Russia to death.

The United States and the West continuously transported weapons to Ukraine, trying to drag down Russia in the form of proxy wars. Putin knew this very well. Putin seems to have made up his mind to fight the United States to the end. After all, the battlefield is not in its own country. Russia can drag on whether it can be seized or how much Ukrainian territory can be seized. In this world, there are not many countries rich in energy and food, and Russia has sufficient "life-saving" materials, so it can withstand various sanctions from the United States and the West. This is the confidence that Putin vows to compete with the United States to the end.

In addition to the military attack on Ukraine, Russia has firmly grasped Europe's "weakness" economically and significantly reduced its energy exports to Europe, especially cutting off the supply of natural gas to Europe. Since , the rise of the European economy has been closely linked to the cheap supply of Russian resources. After the Cold War, a European economic pattern was basically formed based on Russia's abundant energy resources and European manufacturing and high-tech as growth drivers. For a long time, Europeans have enjoyed Russia's cheap energy but "don't know how to be blessed."

Russia's trick hit Europe's weakness. In Europe, prices soared, currencies depreciated sharply, living expenses soared, production costs increased exponentially, and enterprises moved one after another. Faced with the upcoming winter warming, European politicians were at a loss, and the people complained, and the European economy was in extreme difficulties. Some experts predict that if the current situation continues, European advanced manufacturing will be defeated. If Europe and the United States are dragging down Russia, isn’t Russia’s counterattack also dragging down Europe?

For a long time, Europeans have enjoyed Russia's cheap energy but "don't know how to be blessed."

The current strategic deadlock in Europe shows that the geopolitical pattern of Europe after World War II has solidified the strategic thinking of European political elites. For them, the United States is Europe's only backer. Although they are willing to establish good relations with Russia and take advantage of Russia's resource advantages, the premise is that Russia must play the role of "obedience" in front of the United States and Europe and must not have the right to speak. But as a powerful empire in history, Russia naturally would not accept this "humiliation".

Due to historical reasons, the concept of dependence on the United States and exclusion of Russia has penetrated into the "political bone marrow" of European establishment elites. This is exactly the political destiny of Europe and the fundamental reason why the United States has easily manipulated Europe's geopolitical landscape for a long time. As long as this situation does not change, Europe's strategic misfortune will be difficult to get rid of. Putin finally allowed European voters to experience the consequences of "complete separation from Russia" through the Russian-Ukrainian war.

However, European people do not fully accept the extreme practice of sanctions against Russia turning into "self-harm". Recently, the populist and extreme right forces have emerged in Europe. In Sweden , Italy, Hungary and other countries, populist and right-wing parties have been pushed to the political stage by voters and even taken power. In France and Germany, the support won by right-wing parties has also risen sharply. These political parties have one thing in common, namely opposing sanctions against Russia. The political storm that has taken place in Europe has attracted global attention because it will have a huge impact not only on Europe, but also on the world, especially on the United States. But there is no hope for whether it can fundamentally reverse Europe's geographical destiny.