A few days ago, after Ukrainian launched a counterattack in the direction of Donbas , I once talked about whether Ukraine first ate Ijium , or whether the Russian army in the rest and recuperation could quickly complete the state transition, squeeze the Ukrainian assault troops from both sides, and repeat the Ardennes Battle .
After a few days, the answer came out. The Russian army was unable to form enough counterattack force, nor did they organize to stand waiting for assistance, and gave up Kupiansk, followed by Ijium, Barakreya, and Finalman. The Russian army has achieved results in the second phase of the Russian-Ukrainian War, and in the past three or five days, it was pushed back all the way by the Ukrainian army. Moreover, the retreating road was also controlled by the Ukrainian army. A large number of Russian troops gave up their equipment and left the road and scattered through the forest. This was not like an organized transaction covering the retreat. In addition, the Ukrainian army seized a large number of equipment and ammunition left by the Russian army this time, which greatly increased the strength of the Ukrainian army. Therefore, some Russian media also believed that Russia lost the battle in Donbas.
The key is that the area re-controlled by the Ukrainian army is very wide and deep, and it basically flattened the front line, and the risk of being surrounded by the Russian army's counterattack and encirclement of the rear road was also lifted.
The media also have different explanations for this battle. Some media said that this is the Russian army that consumes Europe in order to delay the war and let Ukraine taste some sweetness, but it is enough to delay the war and stabilize the front and not launch large offensive actions. There is no need to hand over the area of thousands of square kilometers. This sweetness is too great.
In addition, an article from a major Beijing newspaper said that no matter who wins or loses in this battle, the United States is the biggest loser and loses miserably. However, when I read the comment section of this article, readers seem to think this statement is a bit unfathomable. I guess the author of this article was also disrupted by the battle situation, but he always had to write something to complete the task.
Of course, there are still media that analyze problems from a professional perspective. Although the opinions are different, they are not just shouting slogans, and can also provide some analysis angles. It now seems that the Russian army may be too underestimating the enemy in this direction, which leads to the wrong judgment of the Ukrainian army's combat capabilities and strength reserves. It is believed that the Ukrainian army launched a large-scale attack on , Kelsson, and it is not easy for other places to make big moves. Therefore, some time ago, there have been rumors that the Ukrainian army would fight back in Kharkov . I am afraid that the Russian decision-making department will rule out the possibility first, so it did not prepare the troops for combat in advance. This should be the fundamental reason for the smooth attack of the Ukrainian army.
However, some media also raised some doubts. Although the Russian army retreated in a hurry, they found that there was something wrong and they gave up their positions. So how many were withdrawn? If a large amount of equipment and territory are lost, but the personnel can jump out of the encirclement and go around the rear of the Russian army, then the Russian army can still reorganize the troops, and there may be more than one round to fight in this battle. When World War II , the Soviet army suffered a great loss in Kiev and Kharkov. Now it depends on whether the Russian army can bear the losses this time.
The issue we need to pay attention to most is not a military issue, but whether Russia can maintain psychological stability in the army and the rear in politics. The army needs morale, especially to prevent this battle from arousing and spreading the mood of failure. In addition, Russia's domestic anti- Putin power will also use this topic to question Putin and his staff's capabilities.
Then the Russian army simply said that it took the initiative to mobilize Ijium and Barakreya's troops to Donetsk , and could not convince the public.
Therefore, what Putin needs to do most at present is to take advantage of the fact that the Ukrainian army has not yet established a stable foothold, the supply line has become longer, reorganize its military forces and regain some areas, or give a major blow to the Ukrainian army. It must have results and must make the Ukrainian army unstable in Donba and stabilize the hearts of the people in the country. Moreover, if the Ukrainian army lived too easily in Donbas and could withdraw troops to go south, not only Khlsson would also be under great pressure again, and it would be difficult for the Russian army from Mariupol to the Crimea region.
This time the Russian army doesn't play big, but it won't work.
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