After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the United States and Western countries have imposed severe economic sanctions on Russia, but it has not been able to change the strategic purpose of Putin to send troops to Ukraine . Putin's goal is very clear, that is, to solve the sovereignty issues in the Crimea and Donbas regions, Ukraine neutralization, demilitarization, denazization and denuclearization. Among them, demilitarization and de-Nazization can be achieved to a large extent by the Russian army, and the focus is on the eastern Ukrainian region. The remaining goals need to be negotiated with the Ukrainian government to achieve. To put it bluntly, Russia's military actions are to "promote negotiations through fighting" and "promote peace through fighting". Because there is no fighting, there is no negotiation, and there is no peace without fighting. Only by completely breaking the fantasy of the Zelensky government's "holding the United States to respect itself" can Ukraine agree to resolve the problem through negotiations with Russia.
In fact, the United States' intention is also obvious, that is, to use Ukraine to tangle with Russia, weaken and consume Russia's strength, and try to drag down Putin's government. However, the Biden administration's strategic ambitions do not stop there, but while seeking to drag down Russia, it is planning to use tactics against Russia to deal with China. Although the United States has continuously instigated Western countries to continue to provide military aid to Ukraine, it has always refused to participate in the war for the Ukrainian army. The reason is very simple. The foreign policy formulated by the United States has always been backed by military power. If the United States knew that it could not win, it would not go into battle in person, because the United States could no longer afford the second defeat of Afghanistan . Therefore, after repeated weighing, although the United States intervened in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it was not involved in the conflict, and its intervention was mainly based on providing military aid and intelligence support.
Recently, the American Foreign Policy magazine published an article titled "There is not much time to help defend Taiwan". The core meaning is that with the rapid increase in China's economic strength and national defense strength, and the continuous decline of the United States' comprehensive national strength, Washington uses military means to deter China, forcing the mainland to give up the process of cross-strait reunification, and there is not much time left for "assisting defense to defend Taiwan". Although the Biden administration is still advancing the Indo-Pacific strategy of , it is facing the dilemma of being unable to do anything. The West is also attacking China and Russia, and Europe does not have the ability to deal with Russia alone, which makes the United States unable to withdraw from its core strength to deal with China.
It is worth noting that for the US decision-makers, their own economic and social problems are far more urgent than dealing with China. The current considerable pressure from the Biden administration comes from responding to inflation, economic recession, and the impact of the epidemic, and working to ensure that the November Congressional midterm election is won. Of course, the Biden administration is also well aware that in order to safeguard US hegemony, it is necessary to first resolve various domestic contradictions and crises, but the priority is that one should be on the Taiwan stage. Therefore, in order to divert the attention of the domestic people and boost the election situation, the Biden administration has continuously made extreme actions, not only intensively dispatched warships to trespass on the Taiwan Strait and promoted arms sales to Taiwan many times, but also arranged US House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi to enter Taiwan, and Biden even threatened to "send troops to protect Taiwan", intensify the contradiction between "independence" between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, and try to take the opportunity to seek political self-interest.
Recently, the commander of the US Seventh Fleet, Carl Thomas , said that the Chinese Navy is the largest navy in the world. China already has 360 ships , while the US Navy has only 290. But then he comforted himself that the US military has advanced ships, including a powerful aircraft carrier fleet, and according to tonnage, the United States still maintains the world's number one throne. But he also admitted that the construction speed of Chinese ships is quite amazing, while the United States does not have so many shipyards to build warships, and it is impossible to compete with China's speed of shipbuilding. Thomas, commander of the US Seventh Fleet, is right. The total tonnage of US warships is indeed among the best, but the balance of power between China and the United States is dynamic. It is precisely because the balance of power between China and the United States has been shrinking that the US has used all means to manipulate Taiwan-related issues, restrain and suppress mainland China, and delay the historical process of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.But China's advantage lies in that our military power can be concentrated to a point, while the United States needs to take care of the interests of various regions around the world, which makes the US military struggling and exhausted to deal with it. More importantly, Taiwan is China's Taiwan, which is a historical and legal fact, and is also a broad consensus of the international community. With the continuous strengthening of China's comprehensive national strength, the United States' "abandoning Taiwan" has become a foregone conclusion, and the time point can be basically determined. Judging from the current development trend, China will surpass the United States to become the world's largest economy by 2027. By then, China's naval and air force strength and strategic support forces will also reach a new balance point with the United States.
If nothing unexpected happens, with the rise of China, the United States' military advantages in the Taiwan Strait and even the second island chain of will be completely lost in the next five years. By then, no matter how arrogant the American politicians are, the US military will not dare to fight head-on with the People's Liberation Army, because the United States no longer has the ability to defeat China, so naturally it will not "assist in defense of Taiwan." For China, while maintaining the bottom line of sovereignty and security, it is best not to conflict with the United States on the Taiwan issue now. Until the balance of power changes to the absolute advantage of the competition with the United States, it is not too late to resolve the Taiwan issue in one fell swoop. You should know that the United States only believes in strength. When China's strength surpasses the United States, cross-strait reunification can completely achieve "a defeated man without fighting."
