In recent times, former German Chancellor Merkel seems to be active again. I don’t know if it is out of dissatisfaction with the current situation in Europe or concerns about Germany’s prospects.
On October 6th local time, Merkel once again mentioned his views on the Russian-Ukraine conflict at the anniversary of the founding of the "South Deutsche ".
She said that February 24 will be a far-reaching turning point, "While we protect Ukraine's territorial integrity and sovereignty, we must never give up our views on the future."
Merkel believes that "Russia invasion of Ukraine" is certainly incorrect, but under any international framework, Europe's peace and future development must include Russia.
So from Merkel's words, it is not difficult to find his clever handling suggestions and a keen sense of political smell.
But some people have made an appeal for peace to Russia, and naturally some people have made an appeal for radical Russia.
On October 6th local time, Ukrainian President Zelensky said in a video speech that the international community and military alliance led by the United States should take the initiative to strike the Russian nuclear weapon .
The implication is to encourage NATO to go to war against Russia. Faced with this call, Russia is naturally extremely dissatisfied. Russian President's press secretary Peskov said that this would lead to an unpredictable world disaster.
Faced with these two completely opposite calls, the practice given by EU seems to have expressed its choice.
On October 6th local time, European Commission claimed that the EU has approved the eighth round of sanctions plan against Russia, and the specific sanctions measures will take effect soon.
There is no doubt that the EU has expressed to the outside world its practical actions that it will continue to be enemies with Russia, regardless of the warning given by Merkel.
. In the face of EU choices, Russia also responded mercilessly. On October 6, local time, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova said that Russia will choose to export oil to countries that are friendly to it.
In addition, Zakharova also condemned the US and the West's sanctions on Russia contrary to the principle of market economy . They did this just to weaken Russia.
I have to say that the EU is still strong and Russia is still tough. So on the surface, this round of sanctions is no different from the previous few times, but what I want to say is that the EU may suffer a big loss this time, because OPEC chose to reduce production.
Since October 5, OPEC+ has claimed that starting from November, members of the organization will reduce their daily output by 2 million barrels of crude oil.
As soon as the news came out, it immediately triggered an uproar in international public opinion. Many media pointed their finger at Biden and the United States, believing that this was a huge blow to the Biden administration.
is right. On the one hand, this OPEC+ production cut will significantly reduce the actual returns of the United States - because the international oil prices will definitely maintain the original trend and will not significantly reduce international oil prices by then because of the sanctions against Russia.
On the other hand, it will be a huge blow to the prestige of the US government under Biden, because in July this year, Biden personally flew to Middle East , begging countries in the Middle East to increase their oil production.
has a good result. Not only will the production not increase, but it will also reduce it further. is obviously a confession to the world that the United States can no longer affect the choice of the Middle East.
However, what I want to say is that this OPEC+ production cut has also had a huge impact on the EU, for two reasons:
first, and the EU's sanctions were aborted as soon as it was released. We must know that the core of the eighth round of sanctions is to limit Russia's oil export prices.
is better now. Global oil production cuts have caused oil supply to be in short supply, and its prices will only continue to rise. Therefore, the EU's demand to limit Russian oil prices is broken without breaking.
Second, the EU's energy crisis further intensified.The situation caused by this oil production cut is that international oil prices will soar, further exacerbating the EU's energy crisis.
Yes, rising oil prices are a global problem, but this news has the greatest impact on the EU, because they lack it, and there is no natural gas . If the oil price goes up again, can the EU people still agree?
So, what should be the most worrying about this time OPEC's production cut is the EU.
In short, international games are so changing. As the saying goes, "You have your Zhang Liang plan, I have my ladder to cross the wall." Now that the EU is caught off guard, the oil production cut is enough, it depends on how the EU chooses.
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