Hello everyone, welcome to this episode!
As the US midterm election approaches, the Biden administration not only does not show a calm response, but seems to be even more "suspended". Now the United States has many problems, which can be said to be "pressing the gourd". The US military has once again "disgraced". The large-scale production cuts of oil-producing countries have posed a "difficulty" to Biden. Moreover, due to Biden's negative remarks on Pakistan nuclear weapons, Pakistan is a nationwide denial of Biden. Behind these one by one, there are signs of the decline of US hegemony and warnings brought by the US sanctions against other countries. Let's take a look at it in detail.
First of all, the United States admits that it cannot keep up with Ukraine's demand for advanced weapons. As we all know, Ukraine is now fighting a "agent war". In other words, the United States and Europe must use various weapons to "transfusion" to support it, especially the United States. According to Reuters , since February, the total amount of security assistance provided by the United States to Ukraine has exceeded US$17.5 billion. Not long ago, the US Department of Defense announced that it would provide Ukraine with US$725 million in military aid, including ammunition and military vehicles.
is obvious. In terms of taking the lead in "emerging", the United States is still the "main force". Compared with the United States, many European countries have already "deficient potential". France and Germany, in particular, seem more eager to reach a quick solution through negotiations. Moreover, data shows that in recent months, the aid of six European countries to Ukraine has plummeted, and even in July, no new bilateral military aid commitments were provided to Ukraine. Koffman, director of the Russian research program at the U.S. Naval Analysis Center, pointed out directly that European aid may have reached its limit, which will force Ukraine to "ammunition diet."
However, just when Ukraine puts "hope" on the United States, the United States actually heard news that it would suspend the delivery of high-end weapons. Has the United States' military aid to Ukraine also "exhausted its family's fortune"? According to China News Service, US Secretary of Defense Austin publicly stated that the United States and its Western allies have difficulty keeping up with Ukraine's demand for advanced weapons. It is worth noting that it is very rare for the United States to admit so bluntly that it is impossible to meet Ukraine's weapons needs. The international community is very concerned about this. Now this signal is interpreted in two meanings.
First type: US military inventory is decreasing and cannot continue to supply Ukraine. Since the United States provided military aid to Ukraine, reports have emerged about the risk reduction of the U.S. high-end weapons reserves. Some experts admitted that the United States may now reach or be very close to its supply capacity limit. Sources even told the media that Austin's remarks show that the initial wave of providing high-end weapons such as the "Haimas" multi-barrel rocket launcher system, the "javelin" anti-tank missile , and the M777 howitzer to Ukraine has ended.
Kansian, a senior consultant at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in the U.S. government's arms procurement, also believes that in some cases the United States may meet Ukraine's weapons needs by providing "low-end alternatives", which may also mean that the United States does not have much to offer.
The second interpretation: White House is worried that the escalation of the situation may lead to a military conflict between the United States and Russia. The report pointed out that some people believe that this is the Biden administration's intention to slow down the delivery of weapons to Ukraine due to concerns about falling into a direct conflict with Russia. A U.S. Congressional aide has told the media that "they are worried about the escalation of the situation." In fact, the US’s concerns are not unreasonable. Russia has warned the United States many times on this issue. Previously, Russian Ambassador to the United States Antonov had made it clear that the United States and its allies continued to send weapons to Kiev , which was almost "touching the red line."
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov also expressed his hope that the United States and its allies will realize the danger of escalating out of control and warn Russia that it may be forced to counter, "including aberrant measures."Perhaps it is because of the repeated warnings from Russia that the United States intends to "converge". In short, no matter what the reason is, the United States actively admits that it is difficult to meet Ukraine's demand for advanced weapons may be a good sign for easing the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Without the support of US weapons, Ukraine's arrogance may be greatly reduced.
And on the other hand, the United States has recently sent similar signals to Russia, such as reiterating many times that it will not send troops to Ukraine. Not long ago, US President Biden also said that he is open to the Ukrainian crisis in the United States and Russia, and he does not rule out the possibility of meeting with Russian President Putin at the G20 summit in Bali in November. From this point of view, the development of US-Russia relations is also full of infinite possibilities. As for whether the United States will make concessions or "down" in the future, let us continue to pay attention to the direction of the situation in Russia and Ukraine.
So the second news, let’s talk about the US military once again “turned over”. According to media reports, the US military has a veritable "overturned" this time. The website of the US Naval Society said that because an ACV amphibious wheeled armored vehicle "overturned" during maritime training near Camp Pendleton, California, the US Marine Corps immediately ordered the suspension of water activities of such advanced amphibious vehicles in open waters, and only allowed training on land and protected waters. As for why "again"? If you remember correctly, American amphibious tanks have been banned due to various "overturned" accidents over the past year.
The most tragic thing is that in July 2020, an AAV amphibious assault vehicle of the US Marine Corps suddenly entered the water and sank during the exercise, resulting in the death of 8 Marine Corps soldiers and 1 sailor. After investigation, it was found that the direct cause of the accident was a leak in the vehicle. And what is the reason for this recent "fallback" remains to be investigated. It has to be said that as a pioneer of the US military's foreign interference and the claim to carry out the new concept of "expeditionary advanced base combat" mission in the Western Pacific region, the US Marine Corps performed so poorly several times, which is really not a good sign. As we all know, the reason why the United States can "dominate" around the world is due to the hegemony of the US dollar and military hegemony. However, in recent years, the US military has frequently encountered accidents, and the Biden administration has indeed paid attention to it.
The third bad news in the United States is "forced" to release oil reserves again. According to foreign media reports, the Biden administration in the United States plans to release another 10 million to 15 million barrels of oil from its strategic reserves to balance the market and prevent further sharp rises in global oil prices. So the question is, why did Biden choose to release oil reserves again at this node? Public opinion believes that this move is in response to the decision of "OPEC+" to cut production by 2 million barrels per day to stabilize domestic oil prices in the United States.
Not long ago, "OPEC+" composed of Saudi and non-OPEC oil-producing countries such as Saudi , and "OPEC+" composed of non-OPEC oil-producing countries such as Russia and Venezuela jointly announced a reduction of 2 million barrels of oil per day. As soon as the news came out, it immediately shocked the United States. CN News Network even claimed that the "OPEC+" decision to cut production caused "spasm and panic" in the White House. At the same time, the Biden administration was so angry that it threatened to retaliate.
You should know that the US midterm election is approaching, and if oil prices rise at this time, it will endanger the Democratic Party's election situation and make Biden's situation worse. Therefore, the announcement of the release of oil reserves at this time is undoubtedly a way to be forced and "desperate". It is worth noting that in the two years since Biden took office, the United States has released about 260 million barrels of strategic oil reserves. Data from the U.S. Department of Energy shows that as of early October, the U.S. strategic oil reserves were about 408.6 million barrels, a record low since 1984. You should know that strategic oil reserves is a crude oil reserve maintained by the US Department of Energy and originally intended for emergency situations. If a "severe energy supply disruption" is believed to have occurred that threaten the economy or U.S. national security, the U.S. president has the right to release oil reserves from that reserve.
However, since Biden took office, the United States has released its strategic oil reserves one after another. On the one hand, it shows that the United States has "no choice" and on the other hand, it shows that the United States has no choice but to encircle Russia and incite the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The Biden administration should pay attention that this crazy approach will not only not achieve its goal, but may also be backfired.
Finally, let’s talk about it, Biden angered Pakistan. According to media reports, US President Biden recently made such remarks, saying that Pakistan may be "one of the most dangerous countries in the world" because the country has " nuclear weapon without any cohesion." After the news reached Pakistan, it immediately attracted a lot of "criminalism". The current Pakistani Prime Minister and several former Prime Ministers fired tough counterattacks.
For example, Pakistani Prime Minister Sharif directly refuted Biden's negative remarks and denounced Biden's words as "in fact incorrect and misleading." Former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan criticized in a sarcastic tone, saying, "Unlike the United States participated in wars around the world, when did Pakistan invade other countries, especially after the nuclear possession?" In addition, Pakistan also summoned the US ambassador to Pakistan for this, which shows how angry the country is about this matter.
Some people believe that Biden's remarks have seriously frustrated US-Pakistan relations. Although White House press secretary tried to put out the fire, saying that Biden meant that "a safe and prosperous Pakistan is crucial to the interests of the United States", Pakistan's dissatisfaction was still very obvious. In fact, anyone with a discerning eye can see that Biden's remarks will not help maintain international peace and stability at all, and will only increase concerns and confrontation and aggravate tensions. So why does the United States still do this? Simply put, the purpose of the United States is to spread insecurity by exaggerating threats or even creating threats, which will help it form cliques and drag the world into group politics, alliance confrontations and even military conflicts that it is good at.
But everything has two sides. The US government's move is tantamount to "playing with fire". No country is willing to let the United States put "hat" on it, and most countries need peace rather than disputes. If the United States does not understand this principle, then playing with fire will inevitably "immove yourself." This episode ends here, see you next time!
