is approaching
At 2 p.m. EST on Tuesday, 27th, a public observation warning issued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) showed that Ian was increasing his power when entering the southeast coast of the Gulf of Mexico. On the southeast coast of the Gulf of Mexico, Sarasota, the southern city of Tampa Bay, Florida, the highest wind speed was 120 miles per hour.
NHC previously said that on Tuesday morning local time, Ian had strengthened to a Category 3 hurricane. Before landing in the Pinar del Rio province in northern Cuba, the maximum sustained wind speed was 200 kilometers per hour. The NHC predicts that after crossing west of the Cuban capital, Havana, and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, Ian's wind speed will further strengthen, reaching a Category 4 hurricane before approaching the west coast of Florida.
Ian is expected to continue to increase wind speed throughout the day on Wednesday, possibly sweeping the west coast of Florida at 125 miles per hour, and entering Patan Bay could bring surges up to 7 feet high to the local area and bring heavy rain to the southeastern United States. Chuck Watson, a geophysicist and disaster risk simulation expert at Enki Research, a research institute that estimates that if the current forecast is maintained, Ian's damage and economic losses to the above-mentioned U.S. regions could reach $45 billion to $70 billion.
According to statistics from NOAA (NOAA), if the loss reaches $70 billion, Ian will be the sixth most expensive hurricane in U.S. history. As shown in the figure below, the NHC released at 5 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, the highest wave overestimation results that Hurricane Ian may bring to the Florida coast.
According to CCTV, on Monday local time, US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Xavier Becerra announced that Florida has entered a state of public health emergency to deal with the hurricane. Becerra said Ian's approach to Florida could have an impact on the health of local residents. HHS is coordinating closely with state and local health authorities and federal partners, ready to provide additional public health and medical support.
On Tuesday, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said that a certain degree of evacuation affected about 2.5 million people in the state. After that, U.S. President Biden said he has approved Florida's declaration of federal emergency and the state's application for federal emergency assistance. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has deployed 700 people to the state, Governor DeSantis has dispatched 25,000 National Guard in the state, and other states are expected to deploy 2,000 people.
In terms of economic impact, Ian may exacerbate food inflation as it directly hits important orange and fertilizer producing areas.
media pointed out that western Cuba swept across Ian on Tuesday was the tobacco industry center. Local Cuban media said that Ian has caused 850,000 people to be out of power in the province of Pinar del Rio, the westernmost province of Cuba, and the local government has evacuated 40,000 people from the coastal areas. Donald Keeney, a meteorologist at Maxar Technologies Inc., a company with space technology, estimates that at least 75% of Orange Gardens in Florida are at risk. Analyst Alexis Maxwell said that fertilizer production company Mosaic Co. is also at risk at an important phosphate fertilizer production plant in the eastern part of the state.
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