In today’s political circles, the most important thing is the general election of the head of state of each country. The emergence of a new head of state of a country will often affect the country’s domestic and foreign policies for several years or even more than a decade. .
This year, in September of 21, Russia held another "Duma election."
What is " Duma "?
The "Duma" is the lower house of the Federal Assembly of Russia. It is similar to the National People's Congress of China, but it is not exactly the same.
In the lower house of the Russian Federation Conference , there can be up to 450 deputies, and since the Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991, after the establishment of Russia, the seats of these 450 deputies have basically been "perennially full." Yes, as long as they are Russian citizens and they are over 21 years old, they can participate in the election of the Duma. The term of office of the Duma is four years. The term of the Duma deputies was extended to five years.
The current President of Russia, "Emperor Putin", defeated his opponent in one fell swoop in the 2011 Duma election, thus winning the position of President of Russia.
According to international practice, basically the highest head of state of a country generally has a term of no more than two years. Of course, the Queen of Britain and the "Mikado" of Japan are not included in this list, and these two countries have continued to this day. , Is still the implementation of the constitutional monarchy .
According to the situation in Russia, Putin has been in the position of President of Russia for ten years, that is, two terms. In other words, this year it should be "Putin the Great" retreating from the position of President of Russia. The time has come.
But things are fickle. As early as last year, Putin established a bill,And it was reviewed and approved by the Duma, that is, after the end of this term, Putin can be re-elected for two more terms. You must know that "Putin the Great" has been ruling the Russian government overtly for 20 years, and now such a bill Once passed, it is really "ten years after ten years, ten years after ten years, thirty years already." If this continues, combined with the will of the Russian people, Putin is likely to become a "lifetime president." ".
Not long ago, Russia’s Duma Conference this year was also held as scheduled. At this "Duma Conference", two "newcomers" were approved to join, but these two "newcomers" really made countless Russians The political "big men" can't sit still, who are these two newcomers? These are the current Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and Russian Defense Minister Shoigu .
And according to Russia’s previous “political unspoken rules” and the post-event statements of these two men, it seems that the positions of the Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Defense are not very important in the eyes of these two men. In other words, this Two people would rather abandon these two such important positions and join the Duma.
This move directly disturbed the sky over the political circles in Russia, because these two people are Putin’s "confidential generals". Now these two people would rather abandon the "powerful" of the Russian Foreign Minister and even the Minister of Defense. The position must also enter the Duma, which shows that Putin has a strong need to strengthen the control of the Duma.
After that, who will replace the positions of Russian Foreign Minister and Russian Defense Minister? .
At present, people are more optimistic about the person, that is, the former prime minister of Russia Medvedev .
Lavrov stepped down. Doesn’t that mean Medvedev will have a chance to come out again?
But if you analyze it carefully, you will find that this is not the case.
"King Car Interchange"
As we all know, Putin and Medvedev,The relationship between these two people can be said to be very good. Even before, some people said that these two people are just the Prime Minister and the President changing each other. This situation is really unusual in politics.
But the more so, the less likely it is that Medvedev will take over the position of Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lavrov.
Because first we can look at the relationship between Putin and Medvedev. These two people are actually fellows, both from St. Petersburg, Russia, and they have also been classmates.
But Medvedev was a politician who was "abstracted halfway". At the beginning, he was just a university teacher. But even so, after Medvedev entered the Russian political arena and contacted Putin, he still showed a high degree of politics with Putin. The degree of cooperation and political trust are just like the “replacement of the king’s car” as we said before.
There is no tacit understanding and trust between two people. Is it possible to do something like this? Therefore, both Medvedev and Putin can safely hand over their backs to each other politically.
However, last year, Medvedev resigned directly from the position of Prime Minister of Russia, and when he resigned, he acted very resolutely. This not only caused many people to speculate, is there a gap between Putin and Medvedev? Is the relationship between the two "broken"?
But later, Putin's series of operations revealed the mystery. It turned out that this was just a "smoke bomb" that two people cooperated with each other to release to the outside world.
After Medvedev left the Russian government, Putin announced his own series of "New Deals."
In this "Putin New Deal", Putin once again demonstrated his bold courage and directly established an organization called the Russian Security Council, and he served as chairman.
It can be seen from the name that this institution was established for Russia’s national security, and as Putin personally designed, personally announced its establishment, and personally chaired such a national security department, it is very likely that there will be some "cheap things". "The right.
This kind of power is undoubtedly very terrifying to every Russian.But immediately, there was another news that surprised everyone. The vice chairman of the Russian Security Council turned out to be Medvedev.
Who said that the relationship between two people is "broken", how can this degree of appointment be the relationship "broken".
Combined with Putin's strategic layout this time, it is definitely not a small picture, and it is very likely that it is "not a song, a blockbuster."
So as long as Medvedev re-enters the political arena of Russia, he will definitely not be just a foreign minister, or in the eyes of our ordinary people, a country’s foreign minister can already be said to be respectful and respectful. A high-powered "big official".
However, according to Putin and Medvedev's structure, the Minister of Foreign Affairs is really not a "high official".
So Medvedev will definitely play a more critical role in the subsequent "Putin New Deal", and not only care about the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defense, which have already been "handled" by Putin. Lived "three melons and two dates".
And there is another point worth noting, that is different from our country’s government. Our country’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of National Defense are both under the jurisdiction of the government, but they are different in Russia. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defense, although they are also administrative departments, also belong to the government of the Russian Federation.
However, the direct person in charge of the ministers of these two departments is the President of Russia. In other words, what needs to be done by these two departments in Russia can bypass the government of the Russian Federation and directly draft a draft to the President of Russia.
And the ministers of these two departments, as long as the Russian president disagrees, it is difficult to take office smoothly. Shoigu and Lavrov before Russia are a very good example.
The two of them can be said to be Putin's "right man", and even the upper position of the two people is "pulled up" by Putin with one hand.
"Self-breaking arm"?
Let’s take a look at the Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov first.
Lavrov in 2004,Putin was "fancy", and he became Minister of Foreign Affairs in one hand, and it has been 17 years until this year. During these 17 years, it doesn't matter whether Putin is the president of Russia or not, no matter what the "Duma Conference" is. Under consideration, the position of Lavrov’s Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia has always been stable.
And internationally, as long as Lavrov makes a speech, he will definitely support Russia and Putin. If you dare to say a bad thing about Russia and Putin, Lavrov immediately "crossed his eyebrows" to him. He will never show him a half-hearted look again, and all of this is supported by Putin's secret behind the scenes. Putin really appreciates Lavrov's tough attitude in diplomacy.
However, Lavrov is not just a "reckless man" who can only "reckless" to the outside world. In the past 17 years, he has indeed allowed Russia to be diplomatic without being taken advantage of by other countries.
Just like in 2008, Russia and Georgia broke out in war. The two sides fought hard because of the problem of South Ossetia .
At that time, the United States wanted to "mix and blend" as soon as possible. In the name of the United Nations, it pressured Russia to stop the fire first.
At that time, it was the Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov who faced the United States and rejected all the unreasonable demands of the United States with sharp words, allowing Russia to still guarantee absolute authority in South Ossetia.
At the same time, in response to the US spy infiltration of Russia, Lavrov also directly used tough methods to keep it out of Russia.
It can be said that in the eyes of those Western capitalist countries, especially the United States, Lavrov is really hateful.
The Minister of National Defense Shoigu is even more of a "three-dynasty veteran." Since the 1990s, the Minister of National Defense Shoigu has been a figure not to be underestimated in Russian politics. If you count this year, Igu has been in the political arena of Russia for more than 30 years. He has experienced the Soviet era and Yeltsin’s reign.Until today's Putin rule.
In 1999, the first year Putin was elected President of Russia for the first time, Putin reorganized the Russian rescue team into the National Emergency Committee, and the first chairman at that time was Shoigu. From then on, Putin Shoigu has always been "favored."
In 2012, Putin directly appointed Shoigu as Russia's defense minister.
This move was a lot of pressure at the time, because the Russian Minister of Defense has always been held by a professional military background, and Shoigu’s background was only the captain of the Russian rescue team. It caused dissatisfaction among many people at that time, and Shoigu was also unconvinced.
Some people even say: "The Russian army is going to attack our enemy, it is going to beat people, not to save people."
But, faced with such a situation Under pressure, Putin still rejected all the opinions and appointed Shoigu as Russia’s Minister of Defense, and Shoigu did not live up to Putin’s expectations. In the first year of becoming Russia’s Minister of Defense, Putin worked within the Russian army. The implementation of reforms has directly raised Russia’s defense capabilities by several steps.
Coupled with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov’s hard-line diplomatic attitude and the means of the President "Putin the Great", soon, in the eyes of other countries, Russia has become the "behemoth that stands in the north and does not dare to provoke it at will." "NS.
It can be seen from here that Lavrov and Shoigu are indeed Putin’s "old team", but this is the old team, but they still resigned and recognized their position and chose to "turn to the Duma." ".
In this way, on the bright side, it seems a little worthless. It seems that Putin is "severing his arms", but Putin is not an unwise person. Every action he does is very meaningful.
"All in control"
One of the most obvious reasons is that after Putin's large-scale reform of Russian politics last year, the power of the Russian Duma Parliament was greatly strengthened.
before,The power of the Russian President is higher than that of the Duma Assembly, and even has the right to dissolve the Duma Assembly. However, after Putin's New Deal, the power of the Duma Assembly has been greatly strengthened.
According to the provisions of the new constitution revised by Putin, the Duma Parliament even has the right to decide whether or not the Russian Prime Minister will stay or leave. In this way, the importance of the power of the Duma Parliament is naturally self-evident.
Therefore, Putin must let people he trusts control the Duma Parliament. Although in the Duma Parliament, his own " United Russia Party" occupies the majority seat, but for others The party should not be too relaxed. Among the people under their own hands, no one is more suitable than Shoigu and Lavrov. These two people are in the political circles of Russia and the people of Russia. Quite prestigious.
And the most important issue is the physical health of these two people. Lavrov has reached 71 years old, and Shoigu’s age is 66 years old.
It can be said that these two people are already very rare "old men" in the past, and it would be unrealistic to let these two old men "work their lives" with their painstaking efforts.
That’s why Putin sent Shoigu and Lavrov to the Duma parliament, so that these two people can play the "surplus heat" and guarantee themselves in a state similar to "retirement" Power.
In fact, looking closely at the current situation in Russia, it can be said that Putin’s "New Deal" and other "conspiracy" are gradually being implemented. The overall situation of Russia is still "in full control" by Putin. Among the officials, there are also many people who are worthy of important tasks. The positions of Russian Foreign Minister and Minister of Defense will definitely be handed over by Putin to people who can rest assured. As for the follow-up development of Russia, we need to observe further.
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