Something strange is happening right now, that is, the epidemic seems to have suddenly disappeared completely. There are almost no people around to discuss the epidemic, let alone people wearing masks.
Unlike before the liberalization, wearing a mask could not prevent infection. Now, even if you don’t wear a mask, you will not be infected. Shopping malls no longer require masks to be worn, and people’s lives are beginning to return to normal.
But does it really seem like the epidemic didn’t happen? On the contrary, people are dying from infection every day across the country, and there are a lot of them. Some people are afraid of restarting nucleic acid testing and are afraid of returning to their previous lives.
Nucleic acid testing has been started again
On January 24, Dongxiang District, Fuzhou, Jiangxi Province issued a notice that mentioned the topic of nucleic acid restart.
has a lot of notices, here are just a few.
First, on January 25, the fourth day of the first lunar month, and January 26, the fifth day of the first lunar month, from 8:30 to 11:30 in the morning and from 14:30 to 17:00 in the afternoon, residents in the entire district must undergo nucleic acid testing.
Second, this test is free, and the test method is a single person and a single tube.
Third, during the testing period, you need to wear a mask at all times.
At a quick glance, if you don’t look at the year, month and day, seems to have returned to the Spring Festival in 2022. Because almost no one around us is infected now, the epidemic seems to have disappeared without a trace. At the Spring Festival Gala, there were only a few people wearing masks. At this time, what is the point of everyone doing nucleic acid tests?
At the critical moment, the local staff gave the answer.
Relevant people explained that the reason why it is necessary to conduct nucleic acid tests for all employees, and it is still one person and one person, is to count the nucleic acid positive rate of the city's social population, and it is for statistical purposes, and it adopts a voluntary principle, so everyone does not need to worry.
Actually, , in my opinion, irregular nucleic acid testing is actually a good thing.
First, the epidemic has not really left us . There are still many confirmed patients and severely ill patients. Although the joy of the New Year has diluted the impact of the epidemic, it should be noted that in the current world, the number of new infections every day is still a terrifying number.
Taking Japan as an example, Japan reported on January 23 that on the 22nd, the number of new confirmed deaths from COVID-19 in Japan was 240, and the number of deaths in the entire month has exceeded 8,102.
This is the first time since the epidemic in Japan that the number of deaths in a single month has exceeded 8,000 , and it has set a new record for new deaths in Japan for 2 consecutive months.
In my opinion, we are currently a little optimistic about the epidemic. People no longer maintain social distance, no longer wear masks, and no longer mention the epidemic. This is a negative attitude and is dangerous, because my country's population is aging very seriously, and many elderly people are high-risk groups. Once the idea that "the new coronavirus is not serious" is formed, it is particularly dangerous.
Therefore, conducting nucleic acid tests from time to time will help increase people’s vigilance against the new crown virus.
Second, nucleic acid testing can accurately know the number of infected people, and make arrangements for the next action.
Taking the United States as an example, it is currently actively promoting the progress of nucleic acid testing, not only because nucleic acid testing can greatly control the spread of the epidemic, but also can identify the strains of people infected at the first time and make corresponding arrangements.
Based on these two points, I think that restarting nucleic acid and conducting tests from time to time is actually very beneficial to the next progress of the epidemic.
Will a new round of epidemic break out during the Spring Festival?
Nucleic acid testing has made many people worried. Experts have previously said that the second round of the epidemic will break out during the Spring Festival. Is it true?
In my opinion, there will definitely be a second round of the epidemic in . After all, Japan is already in its eighth round. Since our two countries are so close, the epidemic will not be treated "unfairly".
Based on this, I support that there will be a second or even a third round of epidemic outbreak, but it will not happen during the Spring Festival.
There are several reasons.
First, there will be antibodies after infection, and you will not be infected again in a short period of time
Academician Zhong Nanshan has previously said that after being infected once, the same strain will produce antibodies, which is "equivalent to taking another vaccine ."
A recent study led by WHO also showed that the antibodies in people who have been vaccinated and infected with the new coronavirus can protect these people from severe illness and reduce hospitalization.
research shows that the protection period is 12 months, and the probability of this "mixed immunity" reaches 97%, which means that 97% of the mixed vaccine population can achieve a protection period close to 12 months.
Therefore, judging from this, it is difficult for most people who have been infected and vaccinated to become infected during the Spring Festival in the Year of the Rabbit.
Second, the infection rate is very high in various places, forming herd immunity
At present, the infection rate in all parts of our country is very high, such as the infection rate previously announced by Henan. According to the survey, it is believed that the comprehensive infection rate in Henan has reached 89%. With such a large number of people infected, if vaccination is superimposed, a group immunity has been initially formed.
In fact, many people living in cities may not know that the current infection rate in rural areas is also very alarming, not even lower than that in cities. The huge number of infected people has formed a huge population of antibodies. There is no "opportunity" for the virus . Even if some people are infected, it will not form a "pandemic" trend. Almost all the people who can be infected by
are infected, and there are not many people left. So it is really difficult to form a pandemic when immunity and can protect it.
In fact, the spread of the virus also requires a quantitative change. If the number of people who are infected does not reach the initial level, the virus will gradually "stop spreading."
Third, foreign strains will not spread on a large scale in the short term.
The reason why some people are worried about the spread of the epidemic during the Spring Festival is because after the country reopens on January 8, they are afraid that foreign epidemics will spread to China.
It is true that there are some relatively popular strains in many countries today, such as the "crazy" XBB.1.5 mentioned before, which is a strain that infects quickly.
A latest study in New York stated that it took 26 days for BQ.1 to reach 30% infection rate from the discovery of the new strain in the United States, while it only took 17 days for XBB.1.5.
Although these strains do spread very quickly, and they are not very "cold" to the existing immunity , which means that our immune system has no resistance to these strains, but it takes time for the virus to become popular.
In fact, the virus has always evolved into different strains. After many strains were named by experts, they gradually disappeared. was caused by no one being infected and no one was spreading it. Therefore, whether the virus could eventually flow into our country and whether it could cause a pandemic are two different things. Even if
does flow into our country and cause a pandemic, I believe it will not be during the Spring Festival, or possibly in the spring.
Will there be a wider range of nucleic acid testing in our country in the future?
With the introduction of local nucleic acid testing, many people may be worried about whether there will be large-scale nucleic acid testing in their area in the future.
But I want to say that the possibility of exists, and it has been mentioned a long time ago.
On January 8 this year, Lei Zhenglong, director of the Bureau of Disease Control and Prevention, stated that my country's "Law on the Prevention and Control of Infectious Diseases" has relevant provisions. When necessary, people's governments at or above the county level can take emergency epidemic containment measures at the peak stage of the spread of infectious diseases.
The emergency epidemic control measures here include restricting the movement of people. For example, large-scale gatherings were not allowed before, reducing some unnecessary gatherings, etc., and also include nucleic acid testing.
nucleic acid testing is an accurate method that can clearly grasp the positive data. It can not only know how many people are infected, but also the infected strain.
Therefore, I think there will be many places in the future that will carry out centralized large-scale nucleic acid testing for the epidemic, in order to further conduct a survey of infected patients in the region and prepare for follow-up work.
First, it can prepare for the advancement of the vaccine.
People who have recovered from the infection are not allowed to be vaccinated in a short period of time, and the vaccine has a shelf life. If the vaccine is not used within a short period of time, it will cause waste.
After the national nucleic acid test, we can clearly know how many people are infected and how many people are not infected. In this way, vaccination will also be supported by data and will not cause unnecessary waste.
Second, it can provide guidance for critical illness beds.
Nucleic acid is generally a real-name system. In the future, the nucleic acid can be used to find out the information of the infected person, such as home address and age. Once an infection is found in a high-risk group, combined with the cases, it can be known whether the patient has the possibility of mixed underlying diseases.
counts such people and provides data support for the provision of critical hospital beds, so that the number of hospital beds can be arranged as soon as possible, and medical care can be provided to patients as much as possible to prevent resource congestion.
Third, the virus strain can be clearly screened.
Before the virus strain becomes popular, nucleic acid testing can be carried out on a large scale, and it is a single-person, single-tube method, which can quickly confirm the virus strain.
The current popular strains in my country are different from those abroad, especially in the United States. conducts nucleic acid tests from time to time, which can quickly screen out other strains. If necessary, some countermeasures can be taken to stagger the outbreak time and provide medical conditions for hospitals.
Based on this, I think there may be areas that carry out large-scale nucleic acid testing in the future, but please rest assured that future nucleic acid testing must be voluntary and scientific.
written at the end
In fact, people in many areas are looking forward to the arrival of nucleic acid testing. This will provide accurate data on the number of infected people, and at the same time provide data support for the subsequent anti-epidemic measures. This is a good thing, a practical fact, and something worth promoting.
It is true that we will not completely defeat the epidemic in a short time, but I believe that with the continuous adjustment of strategies, it is necessary for us to defeat the epidemic in the future.
This Spring Festival, everyone can be completely relieved. During the entire epidemic period, there will be no large-scale epidemic, because we not only have the experience of defeating the epidemic, but also have the confidence to defeat the epidemic.
comparison I believe that if there is only one country in the world that can defeat the new crown epidemic, it will definitely be China!
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