The population that Ukraine can control is only 31 million. But get rid of those who are not physically fit, those who cannot serve in the military, those who work in factory power systems and key departments, etc.

1

Ukraine has exhausted its human resources and can only rely on women

Ukraine has a total population of only more than 41 million, but after removing the Crimean Peninsula and the referendum on the four-state Russian-controlled areas. The population that Ukraine can control is only 31 million.

There are only about 7 million males aged 16 to 50 in Ukraine. But remove those who are not physically fit, those who cannot serve in the military, those who work in factory power systems and key departments, etc. The number of people who can actually be drafted will not exceed 2 million.

Now, Ukraine has conscripted more than 1 million people to join the Ukrainian army and police departments. , Ukraine has very few human resources that can continue to be recruited. Moreover, the remaining adult men are all leftovers from the past seven or eight rounds of conscription, and their basic quality is relatively low.

After the Russian army increased its troops by 700,000 in two consecutive rounds, Ukraine must continue to increase its troops for confrontation. For this reason, Ukraine will face the dilemma of the Soviet Union in 1943, with insufficient male resources.

The Ukrainian army must not only remain on the front line against the 700,000 Russian troops, but also deploy a large number of troops in the area bordering Belarus, and deploy a large number of armed forces in deep areas in the interior to prevent the Russian army from suddenly turning its guns and launching a large-scale offensive from the north. Therefore, a large number of soldiers and police forces were required.

2

The Ukrainian army can mobilize up to 1.5 million people, and the Russian army can mobilize 5 million

According to the highest proportion of recruiting 5% of the total population into the army, Ukraine can only mobilize up to 1.5 million people. Russia's population is more than four times that of Ukraine, and it can mobilize more than 5 million people.

Therefore, after Putin announced the mobilization of 137,000 contract soldiers and 300,000 mobilization troops, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that it would expand the number of Russian regular troops from 1.2 million to 1.5 million. The total strength of the entire Russian armed forces, the regular army, the National Guard and the Internal Guard, will reach 2.03 million.

According to the " Guardian " report, the Ukrainian military intelligence department claimed that Russia will continue to mobilize as many as 500,000 new soldiers in the second round. How many people does Ukraine need to recruit to fight against such a huge force?

If Ukraine cannot achieve decisive results on the battlefield before exhausting its manpower pool, then Zelensky will definitely not be able to withstand it.

Ukraine is most likely to learn what the Soviet Union did in 1943, recruiting a large number of women to factories to replace men , recruiting a large number of women to serve as air defense troops, transport troops, police and auxiliary work, freeing up more male soldiers to go to the front line.

3

Why are there so few men in Ukraine?

In the last century, from the 1920s to the 1940s, the number of men of the third generation in Ukraine was very small. Almost all Ukrainian men born in the 1920s joined the Soviet army. Among the four famous Ukrainian front armies of the Soviet army, Ukrainians can account for up to 30-40%. In the Patriotic War , there were heavy casualties, with only one out of ten.

Ukrainians born in the 1930s were caught up in the Great Famine, and their mortality rate was very high. In the 1940s, World War II ended, Ukraine was in a mess, and the birth rate was even lower.

Moreover, in the new century, young people are keen to go to Western Europe , or their lives are stressful. Ukraine is still a very aging country.

After the war started, a large number of Ukrainians fled to other European countries. The number of people crossing the border with Ukraine since February 24, 2022 is 12 million. At the same time, 5.3 million people have returned to Ukraine in recent months. But it still cannot make up for the lack of human resources in Ukraine.

3

If the Ukrainian army loses 200,000 people, it will inevitably lead to failure.

As long as the number of Ukrainian soldiers killed reaches more than 200,000, the total casualties will be around 800,000. At this ratio, the Ukrainian army will inevitably be defeated. Even if one life is exchanged for one life, the Ukrainian army cannot bear the death of 200,000 people, but the Russian army can bear the death of 200,000 people.

As long as 200,000 Ukrainian troops die, the death rate will reach 20% of the total military and police strength, and the total number of casualties will reach 80% of the total military strength and police strength. Basically, as an army, it will lose its combat effectiveness.

On the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, if the Ukrainian army wants to win, it must continue to achieve a record of few casualties for itself and high casualties for the Russian army. Ukraine will basically be defeated in a one-to-one exchange of lives. can only win with a loss ratio of 1 to 4 or even 1 to 5.

Let’s see how efficiently the Ukrainian army destroyed the Russian army’s heavy weapons . The Russian army lost too many heavy weapons and could not replenish them in time. The combat effectiveness of the Russian army will decline. Only in this case can the Ukrainian army have the opportunity to achieve a high casualty ratio.