text | Zhang Youhua
In response to the election defeats of Wang Hongwei and Wu Yinong, two organizations released closed polls on December 28. First, the TVBS poll clearly pointed out that Wang Hongwei won 49% against Wu Yinong's 37%, implying that Wang Hongwei should be elected as the new "legislator" in the "legislator" by-elections in Zhongshan and Beisongshan District. Another election assessment commissioned by Wu Yinong from the Democratic Progressive Party Polling Center showed that Wu Yinong was slightly defeated by Wang Hongwei with 41.5% and 44.3%. Both wins and losses were within the margin of error, suggesting that Wu Yinong may break through the tight encirclement and be unexpectedly elected.
These two vastly different polls show that the polls conducted by the DPP may be affected by institutional effects and have a large deviation. Compared with the previous TVBS poll, Wang Hongwei's winning rate jumped from 8% to 15%, suggesting that Wang Hongwei has put aside Wu's entanglement in the polls in Zhongshan District and Beisong District and is heading towards victory . Therefore, the DPP's polls are obviously a large-scale internal propaganda, the purpose is to stimulate the green camp base so that Wu Yinong's loss will not be too ugly. Wang Hongwei not only wants to get out of the blue camp, but also wants to crush Wu Yinong with a high winning rate to show his campaign momentum and teach the DPP a lesson.
Based on past experience, the DPP often releases fake polls to stabilize military morale when the election situation is critical. When candidates such as Chen Shizhong, Zheng Yunpeng, Shen Huihong, and Cai Xiong were unsatisfactory in the election, the Democratic Progressive Party mobilized green media to publish fake polls in an attempt to flip the election with a muddled strategy. It was later proven that the polls conducted by the green media were completely deceiving voters. However, since today, the DPP and the green media have not apologized to the society. Instead, they have become more and more courageous to close the country. On the eve of the closure, they also released false information to cheer for candidates from the same party. This shows that the DPP is indeed a party that chooses any means to win. is similar to this bad style, which was the case when Tsai Ing-wen was in power. If Lai Qingde is elected as the party chairman or Tsai Gui Lai follows, the DPP will undoubtedly be trying to win the election.
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