The war in Ukraine has been going on for almost a year. Will the war in Ukraine end in 2023?
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has lasted more than 10 months. By the end of the year, almost everyone who pays attention to this war will predict whether it will end next year.
Browse the media and many experts on the Internet have made predictions about this war. All aspects and almost every situation have been discussed. In a word, it is watertight. No matter what the trend of is in 2023, there will always be a suitable one.
I personally feel that such comprehensiveness can give readers a comprehensive understanding of the war. But precisely because it covers everything, for those who want to know the results, it says nothing.
I might as well make a bold prediction: this war will not stop next year, and after next year it will be the end of next year.
First of all, there is no possibility of negotiation between Russia and Ukraine. Their respective demands are too different and there is no basis for negotiation at all. Therefore, it is impossible to cease the war through negotiation at least next year. Because Russia's war reserves will last until next year, and with the blood transfusion of and NATO , it is impossible for the Ukrainian army to be wiped out next year, and there will be no problem in fighting for another year.
Secondly, neither Russia nor Ukraine can overwhelmingly defeat one side within the next year. Judging from the current war, it is a conventional war. Russia has a quantitative advantage and Ukraine has a qualitative advantage. Which one wins, quantity advantage or quality advantage, the trump card will not come out until the end. Judging from Russia's stance, the probability of nuclear war is also zero next year. Therefore, the war will not stop in 2023.
Third, although the Internet is badmouthing NATO's support for Ukraine, there are two countries that should pay attention. Britain's legal balancing policy and the United States' determination to dismember Russia.
Therefore, my most direct guess is that the conflict will not stop next year, but the war situation will definitely change. Ukraine will gain a comparative advantage in Russia's domestic conflicts and conflicts within the Russian military system, and will regain some of its territory. But it is impossible to include all of Crimea , because this way Putin cannot be explained to the country. The confrontation between the two sides will continue throughout 2023.
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