Premier League : Manchester United VS Nottingham Forest
Game time: 2022-12-28 04:00
Manchester United was relatively turbulent at the beginning of the season, and even lingered in the middle of the standings for a long time. However, as the league progressed, the team's state gradually recovered, and it quickly climbed to fifth place in the standings. With two games in hand, it is only 4 points behind Tottenham. After Tottenham's away draw this round, Manchester United also has the opportunity to further chase points. Manchester United has performed relatively well at home this season. So far, they have achieved 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 6 home games. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 4 goals. Their defense is excellent but their offensive ability does not match the image of a wealthy club.
Nottingham Forest is a newly promoted team in the Premier League this season. The team's overall competitiveness is very limited. It is currently only ranked second from the bottom in the standings. With one game less, it is in the relegation zone with a difference of 2 points. It is also one of the favorites for relegation this season. The team's offensive capabilities are very limited. They have only scored 11 goals in 15 games so far, ranking second from last in the league, and their defensive performance is poor. At present, they have only achieved 2 draws and 5 losses in 7 away games. They scored 1 goal and conceded 19 goals. There is almost no away goal scoring ability at all.
According to the above fundamental analysis, this game is a competition between the traditional giants of the league and the downstream relegation teams. There is a huge gap in the comprehensive strength and market image of the two sides. The current difference in the standings is as much as 13 points. The last time the two sides played against each other was 22 years ago, so the reference value is not great. However, based on the performance of both sides this season, Manchester United's home victory is a high probability event. Considering the offensive and defensive performance of both sides, it is expected that the total goals in this game will not exceed 3 goals.
direction recommendation: handicap/negative, 2-1, 2-0.
English Championship : Burnley VS Birmingham
Game time: 2022-12-28 04:00
Although Burnley is temporarily first in the standings, it is only 3 points ahead of the team behind it and still scores to defend the top spot. The team has a strong intention to score. In the past 10 games in all competitions, they have won 8 games, and have scored 3 consecutive points in the league. The current competitive state is still good. So far in the league, they still maintain a continuous scoring streak at home, and their home strength is the strongest in the Championship. At present, 46 goals have been scored in the league, and the striker strength is the strongest in the British Championship. So far this season, the team has scored a total of 31 goals, the most in the Championship. The team has strong teamwork ability. This season, the average ball possession rate per game is as high as 64%, the passing success rate is as high as 84%, and the field control ability is the second best in the British Championship. Robles, a player in the last round of the league, unfortunately got red and will be suspended this time.
Birmingham is currently ranked 8th in the standings, 2 points behind the top six, and the team has a strong intention to score. They have only lost 2 times against Burnley in the past 10 times. During this period, they have won 4 games and have a superior record in the competition. They have only lost 2 times in the past 8 away games, and successfully won the game 4 times during this period. The away team is very good. The league has conceded only 22 goals so far, and the team's defensive quality is the second-best in the Championship. In the last round of the league, they won Reading, successfully stopped the decline and rebounded, and the team's state has been improved to a certain extent. Midfielders Gardner, Dean and Pracheta are still out due to personal reasons, and the team's strength is not complete. This season, the average ball possession rate per game is only 42%, and the passing success rate is only 68%, both of which are at the bottom of the British Championship.
Burnley has been on a meteoric rise in the English Championship this season. Not only does it lead the standings, it also maintains consecutive scoring results at home, showing a very good state. Burnley has currently won 7 consecutive games at home, and its home strength is very good. Overall, I personally think Burnley is expected to win all three points.
direction recommendation: Handicap win/tie, 3-1, 3-2.
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