text︱ Zhang Youhua
The final playoffs of Taiwan’s “nine-in-one” local elections are Chiayi Mayor’s election. According to the polls of TVBS, the current KMT mayor, Huang Minhui, won over Tsai Ing-ren’s aide Li Junqi with 59:22, and the final result will be voted on December 18. From this poll, we can see that Tsai Ing-wen completely miscalculated. Her original idea was to continue this playoff game, because the DPP election was pretty good, and then she would fight Huang Minhui by the way the whole party beat one person and must regain Chiayi City.
In the past, the elections in Chiayi City have always been green than blue, green is about 52, blue is about 46, and there is a gap of 6 in the middle, so as long as the green camp proposes a candidate, it is easy to choose the mayor of Chiayi. Because in the past, the chairman of the DPP had a selfish intention and hoped that he would control Chiayi City himself. But this time the DPP nominated Li Junqi to run for election, the son of Chen Shui-bian's "national teacher" Professor Li Hongxi. Under Tsai Ing-wen's promotion, he won both battles and was elected as a "legislator" in Chiayi City. As soon as he lost the primary poll to county and city councillor Wang Meihui, he safely withdrew from Chiayi politics and came to Taipei to develop, and was the deputy secretary-general who was used by Tsai Ing-wen as a supplement. In this Chiayi City election,
Originally, the DPP wanted to promote Wang Meihui, but Wang Meihui had just been elected as a "legislator" and was about to run for mayor again. Then the party chairman Tsai Ing-wen didn't want this person. When she didn't want this person, she directly recruited Li Junqi to run for the mayor of Chiayi. In fact, the polls have always been low because Li Junqiu served as a "legislator" in this place for two terms, but he did not do a good job in voter services and then developed in northern Taiwan for a long time, so Chiayi City has no feelings for him.
Because of this Chiayi City election, Tsai Ing-wen originally promised that Li Junqi would lead the imperial squad and she would assist in the election. Unexpectedly, after the Democratic Progressive Party was defeated, a series of problems occurred within the party, including whether the cabinet should be reorganized. Therefore, Tsai Ing-wen couldn't go, so she sent Lai Ching-te to go. So far, Lai Ching-te has been to Chiayi twice. TVBS polls prove that the DPP has been defeated, rather than saving another person from the whole party.
There are only two districts in Chiayi, namely the East District and the West District. West District is relatively close to Chiayi County and is a relatively prosperous place. The East District is relatively backward. The basic base of the DPP's votes is almost in the West District. In the East District, he completely tied with the Kuomintang's basic base. As long as the basic market is replaced, the DPP will definitely win. It is about 10 days before the extension of the voting on December 18. This poll of 59:22 fully demonstrates that the basic foundation of the DPP has basically collapsed in Chiayi City.
So in this case, if Tsai Ing-wen goes to the imperial army to fight in person, she will definitely be scolded to death by voters and the basic foundation of the DPP. This is the fundamental reason why Tsai Ing-wen is not allowed to elect the Chiayi auxiliary. Although the Kuomintang won in this extended match, this is only the first game, and there is also the second game, the battle between Wang Hongwei and Wu Yinong. If the Kuomintang wins all of them, there will be a better show in 2023 in the future.
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