December 3, the director of the U.S. National Intelligence Agency told the media that based on various intelligence sources, the pace of fighting in Ukraine will continue to slow down in the next few months, as both Russia and Ukraine will be exhausted, and both Ukrainian and Russian troops will seek modifications and supplies to prepare for the counterattack after the winter. Some American experts believe that the United States has the power to tell Ukraine that you can kill until you die, but the United States may not provide ammunition.
U.S. National Intelligence Director Avril Haynes said at the annual Reagan Defense Forum held in California: "We have seen the pace of conflict between the two sides have slowed down, and this trend is expected to be more obvious in the coming months. Both Ukrainian and Russian troops will use this time to seek modification and supplies to make accurate counterattacks after the winter But we have a lot of skepticism about whether the Russians are really ready to counterattack. I think Ukraine is more optimistic. "
But at the same time, Haynes admitted that the economy and infrastructure of Kiev have been hit hard, but Ukraine itself has no ability to save itself. Whether Ukraine has the ability to recover and launch a counterattack depends entirely on the ability of the United States and the West to defend Ukraine. At the same time, Haines said: "Russia seems to have quickly used up its reserves of precision guided weapons , which is really unusual. The United States found that Russia does not have the ability to produce what they need at this stage in the country, so it can only turn to other countries." But Putin 's political goals in Ukraine have not changed. But American political expert Patrick Buchanan is not so optimistic. He believes that winter is an ally of Russia. Without electricity, Ukrainian families, hospitals, offices or schools will have no light or heat. Without electricity, food cannot be preserved, heaters cannot work, and water cannot be extracted. Without electricity, light and heat, tens of thousands of Ukrainians supporting the army will face the danger of freezing to death in the dark this winter.
Although the United States claims that Ukraine has the right to negotiate in this war, Buchanan believes that Americans who support Ukraine are indispensable also need to express their opinions on the war. For the United States, the biggest interest in this Russian-Ukrainian war is not who ultimately controls Luhansk , Donetsk or Khlsson, but that the United States will not be involved in a military conflict, causing our war with Russia to escalate, and eventually evolve into an world war , or even a nuclear war .
He believes that in Eastern or Central Europe, there is nothing worthwhile to the United States and Russia a major war that could kill millions of Americans. Donbas and Crimea may be very important to Kiev and Moscow , but nothing on these lands can justify the United States' war with Russia, which has nuclear weapons . The recent S-300 surface-to-air missile launched by the Ukrainian army failed several kilometers within the territory of Polish , killing two Polish citizens, which was a bad sign.
Patrick Buchanan finally stated that given the indispensable contribution of the U.S. efforts to the Ukrainian war, the Americans do have the right to fight further than any potential gains for us. When telling Kiev: If Kiev is determined to continue fighting to die, please give yourself the benefit, but the United States may not be able or refuse to provide more ammunition. A big country should never allow small countries that have nothing to do with their vital interests to act recklessly and be dragged into unnecessary wars.
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