As we all know, I am not a ginger or a cent. Now the whole world understands that there will be no so-called "Three Constant Persons" in the future. With the long-term economic sluggishness and technological stagnation, Russia is no longer a player on the same level as China and

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first release | Taoranji (ID: taoranji2022)

released | Xuran Say (ID: xuranshuo)

comprehensive and three-dimensional chat,

The current Russian-Ukrainian conflict and Polish was bombed by missile .

01

On November 9, the Russian army in "Herson Prefecture" moved from the west bank of the Dnieper River to the east bank.

On November 14, Ukrainian President Zelens himself visited Khelson City.

Everyone knows that I am not a ginger or a cent. But we have to objectively admit that the Russian army is fighting very badly now. Before the fight against

, Russia was the second largest military power in the world and was ranked alongside China and the United States to be called the "Three Constant People".

Now the whole world understands that there will be no so-called "three regularities" in the future. With the long-term economic sluggishness and technological stagnation, Russia is no longer a player on the same level as China and the United States.

The Soviet Union once claimed to have pushed Europe in a few days, but today even the former franchise republic was unfair.

No matter how much we support Russia's anti-dominant power, we must admit that Russia is indeed very weak.

For a long time, China has always liked to praise Russia's toughness towards the West. This contains a psychology. Everyone thinks that our country is not strong enough towards the West, but this is actually a misunderstanding.

No Economic development , a country does not even have tough capital.

The so-called Russia is tough on the West, because its economy is not good and its military is also downward. He was forced into a corner by the West. Apart from the option of toughness, there is no choice! It's because he doesn't want to be tough.

But our country is different. New China has always been unafraid of war. Resisting U.S. aggressors in Korea Hammering the U.S. imperial invaders is a typical example.

Today China is a country in key economic transformation. If we are given a little time for peaceful development, we can undergo a fundamental reversal with the balance of power in the West.

It’s not that we are not as strong as Russia in normal times, but that we will choose to strive for if we can gain more time for breakthroughs in industrial development!

Just say that Russia will fight Ukraine this time. At first, many people thought that the Russian army's steel torrent did not happen at all. Instead, Ukraine successfully blocked the advancement of Russia's tank with the support of the NATO suicide drone.

Later, Russia wanted to fight back, and he had to find Iran to buy drone ...

What about Russia's own drone?

You see, this is the cost of Russia's economic, technological and social development for a long time.

Although the willpower of fighting a warrior is very important, this does not mean that technology is not important! Russia's economic size is not as good as Guangdong Province and Jiangsu Province. He has no money... If he has no money, the progress of technological research and development is low. If the technology is low, the iterative development of the war will not keep up.

Of course, although our country's economy is very good, it is! In terms of combat drones, the development is still very average! Must be average!

The drones we invented are all fire-fighting. It is fake to change to missiles with one click. In short, you all understand (refer to the picture below).

Throughout human history, the changes in the balance of power in every country are derived from the scientific and technological revolution.

Cold Weapon Age, my country's Qing Dynasty could still be considered a powerful country. Because the Qing Dynasty was closed to the country and did not keep up with the changes in a series of scientific and technological revolutions such as firearms and steam engines , it was immediately labeled as an semi-feudal semi-colonial country by Western colonists.

Later in the era of electronic technology, people thought that the United States would fall into a quagmire similar to Vietnam War , but unexpectedly, it was the US imperialist, who was like a "heavenly general", almost instantly. At that time, it was Iraq, which was known as the number one military power in the Middle East, at that time.

has passed another round of technological revolution. Now the popular technologies are: drones, AI artificial intelligence, robot dogs, Internet of Things and other technologies.

and other things have actually profoundly changed the traditional European war model after World War II and Cold War .

The future modern war must not be a fight for anyone.

This is just like the Mongolian cavalry of the Qing Dynasty had no numerical advantage in front of the Maxim machine gun.

How can one fight for consumption and maneuver with drones, robot dogs, unmanned tanks ?

Now the US military just wants to consume Russia, so there is no excessive amount of other black technologies to give Ukraine

, so it gives some suicide drones, which is enough for the Russian army to eat a pot.

If the United States really has full firepower, Russia can only use the nuclear bomb to deter the United States.

War is indeed a very important human willpower. It cannot be completely judged by weapons. This is an important experience of our party. but! The stagnation of economy and technology cannot be without a price. This is also a painful historical lesson of the Qing Dynasty in our country!

—It is wrong to ignore human willpower.

—It is also wrong to ignore weapons and equipment.

War is a comprehensive national competition!

Now, the only countries in the world that are still investing heavily in R&D in terms of top technologies are China and the United States. It’s not that we are not hard, but that we have too many options besides taking action~

Once the industrial country of my country’s level of full industrial chain takes action, it may directly update human understanding of modern warfare!

02

After the Russian-Ukraine conflict began, Poland was the most active country. At the beginning, it said that there should be no border between Poland and Ukraine, and then it actively participated in the national governance of Ukraine.

has only one core reason, that is:

territory.

Ukraine was once part of Tsarist Russia and the Soviet Union. When the Soviet Union and Germany divided Poland, the Polish territory annexed by the Soviet Union was mainly included in the Soviet Union's "franchise republic Ukraine".

Not only does Russia want the eastern part of Ukraine, but Poland also wants the western part of Ukraine.

Originally, Poland saw Russia coming towards Ukraine with great momentum, and thought it would be a troublesome thing. I wanted to resist Russia by supporting Ukraine. As a result, starting from the bonus Man , Ukraine, which received NATO equipment, really launched a big counterattack. Now, even the Khlsong , which was included in the Russian referendum, has also gotten back a part of it.

In this case, Poland will feel: Damn, it turns out that the Russian army has already pulled this way! Ukraine is not very powerful either!

As of June 2022, Poland has provided Ukraine with a total value of more than US$1.6 billion. These include 240 tanks, 100 armored vehicles , missile systems, a large number of ammunition and rifles, and various other types of military supplies, such as bulletproof vest and helmets.

Poland He has been aiding Ukraine for so long, and he is the most aware of Ukraine's combat effectiveness.If Ukraine's combat effectiveness can compete with Russia, it is possible that Poland can take back the territory of western Ukraine!

So:

In July 2022, the Polish president called on stating that although Kiev and Warsaw are now jointly opposing Russia during the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Ukrainian government should recognize that Ukrainian nationalists massacred more than 100,000 Poles during World War II.

In August 2022, the Deputy Minister of the Polish Ministry of Culture and National Heritage said that the mass murder of Poles by Ukrainian nationalists during World War II is in line with the definition of genocide, and the Kiev government will sooner or later admit this.

Although Poland assists Ukraine in fighting Russia, Poland's moral war against Ukraine has never stopped. Ukraine's finances are definitely not enough to fight with Russia, and it needs Poland's support.

And Poland can use its support for Ukraine to force Zelensky to admit the historical crimes committed by Ukraine against Poland during the Soviet era. Once this is recognized, Poland will have a moral commanding height. It is also very reasonable to ask Ukraine to compensate some of the "homeland" in the west?

And this happened. Poland was just about to go to bed when the pillow came.

On the night of November 15, a missile explosion occurred in eastern Poland near the Ukrainian border, killing 2 people.

Ukraine initially said it was done by Russia, but in the end, Biden slapped the backhand! If you let you act, you will really treat yourself as a director! Is this bombed by Russia? Is it your Zelensky who has the final say in this plot?

The Polish government is also very pro-US. After seeing the attitude of the United States, Poland immediately said that there is currently no evidence to prove that the missile was launched from Russia, but "it is very likely to be launched by Ukrainian air defense forces."

On November 18, under the threat of strong public opinion, Ukraine was forced to admit that "maybe" its own missiles accidentally bombed Poland.

Then Poland began to protest. After all, Poland is indeed a dead commoner, but this matter is probably "ecstatic" in Poland...

Several members of the Polish parliament accused the government of not having good communication with the people about the missile incident, and asked the Ukrainian government to apologize and compensate the families of the victims, and quickly began to play the tragedy card internationally...

In this way, Poland has another place to control Ukraine, which can further embarrass Ukraine and allow Ukraine to open up more sovereignty to itself. According to Observer.com , Poland has previously begun to interfere in the Ukrainian Ministry of Finance.

In this way, Poland can slowly erode Ukrainian West in the future...

03

The irony of the Polish missile problem is that whether this missile was bombed by Russia or not, it must be bombed by Ukraine in the end.

Because Ukraine has no choice at all, the blame has been prepared for him long ago.

After the great defeat in Khlsong, Russia, Russia may have made preparations for negotiations with the United States in private. A typical signal is that in early November, brands such as Lancome , Ledeken, YSL Saint Laurent, George Armani , Kashi Kerastase have been ready to resume supply of goods to Russia.

These are big Western brands. Without a good political foundation, they will not be able to return to Russia. This shows that the United States and Russia are indeed preparing to make concessions to each other and negotiate.

Biden may default to Russia to take part of Ukrainian territory. Aid to Ukraine may also decline.

This does not mean that Biden has become a good person, but that midterm election has passed. Biden's election is unexpectedly good. After that, Biden may be ready to target our country (always ready), so he will tend to ease Europe.

But this is absolutely bad news for Zelensky.

Because it was Zelensky who said he would bring Ukraine to NATO, Russia started a special military operation. At the beginning, Zelensky not only said that he wanted to join NATO, but also planned to get Crimea back.

If the conflict between Russia and Ukraine stops like this and let Russia and the United States "make peace", then Zelensky cannot explain to the country! There are so many Nazi believers in Ukraine now. Don’t look at these people who still listen to Zelensky’s leadership. That’s because they need Zelensky to perform a bitter scene in the West to get assistance.

Once these Ukrainian Nazis find out that Zelensky is really ready to listen to the United States and give up taking back the territory, then these people may immediately turn from the gun to Russia and turn into a gun to Zelensky! It just so happened that Zelensky was still Jewish ...

So this time Poland was bombed by missiles. According to Western media reports, Zelensky quickly blamed Russia for this, saying that this was a "Russian missile attack on collective security" and a "major escalation" of the conflict, and said that NATO needs to take "actions" against this "attack on collective security."

This is not a trivial matter!

Because Poland is a member of NATO. Under the NATO Agreement's "Collective Defense Principle", if a NATO member state is attacked, other NATO member states will consider the act to be an attack on all member states and will take actions that they consider necessary to assist the member states under attack.

Assuming that the missile is really Russian, this means that the world war is about to happen !

If NATO admits defeat, the US's reputation for protecting its force will go bankrupt completely, which is a price that the US cannot bear. Therefore, at that time, the United States will leave and face a two-choice choice, either fighting a world war or admitting that the US system is bankrupt, and Europe may have defense independence.

This is why Biden slapped Ukraine in the first time. Who is the director? Could it be that you, Zelensky, want to "devour your son-in-law"? !

Many people may have a misunderstanding, that is, the United States wants to kill Russia.

This is actually wrong.

The United States does not want to kill any country in the world. It just wants to turn the whole world into the "human battery" of the United States and continuously harvest economic benefits for the United States.

If the United States wants to control Europe, it has to rely on NATO. The Russian threat theory is a very important factor in the establishment of NATO. So the United States is happy to create crises to stimulate Russia, but the United States will not want to kill Russia.

The United States is the successor of the British system. A very important factor in the British system is "Shit Stumbling Stick Culture".

For example, on the European continent, the UK does not support any country. It is just that once it is discovered that there are powerful countries rising on the European continent, the UK will support other countries to strengthen their strength, form mutual checks and balances on the European continent, and ensure that Europe can never be unified.

Similarly, the relationship between Russia and EU is always in conflict. It is difficult for the Eurasian continent to integrate the economy, so the United States will always have the opportunity to take advantage of the situation to control and harvest all parties.

Many public intellectuals hope that Ukraine will defeat Russia, but it is actually impossible, because if Ukraine alone can defeat Russia, then NATO's existence would be too embarrassing...

means that so many NATO countries are going to defend against a Russia that cannot beat Ukraine?

So in the American script, it is necessary to stimulate Russia to conflict with Europe, but it is also necessary to ensure that Russia's national strength is maintained at a sufficient threat to Europe.

Part of Ukraine's territory will most likely be controlled by the United States by default by Russia.

But after all, the United States does not really want Russia to integrate the Slavic state and then complete national rejuvenation. So he also supported Ukraine to consume Russia and beat Ukraine to pieces. In this way, even if Russia eats part of Ukrainian territory, it will not really become stronger in national rejuvenation.

to allow Russia to control part of Ukrainian territory, but the United States needs to create the existence of "Russian threat theory".

A half-dead Russia continues to maintain a threat to Europe, so that the United States can control the EU. On the one hand, the United States is "anti-Russia", but it absolutely does not support "anti-Russia" thoroughly. So when Ukraine was preparing to further kill Russia, which was unable to fight, the United States stopped it.

This also makes us realize the importance of maintaining unity and having a strong motherland. Some things that seem to be okay are actually complex connections.

It seems that economic development, scientific and technological progress have nothing to do with the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but in fact it has a close relationship.

Today, Russia has no cards to play against the United States except for nuclear bombs, so it was gradually led by the United States to passive in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Today, my country is a complete industrial chain country with a complete range of industries and is the second largest technology innovation country in the world except the United States. The development of a completely independent system, keeping up with the technology of the times, is a very important basis for my country's resistance to the hegemony of the United States. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has proved that there is no country in the world except our country, and it has the ability to be completely independent in this regard.

In the future, only Sino-US relations remain! There is a saying that goes well with

Three-body , which is in line with the situation we meet today, that is to move forward! go ahead! go ahead! Our technology must keep moving forward!

There is nothing we can do except win!


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