Regarding international events and the Russian-Ukrainian war, we are not experts, we do not have so much theoretical knowledge and information, but we only make judgments based on rational, logical and relatively reliable news. Fortunately, no matter how complex and complicated the position, theory, or human nature is, any existence always follows cause and effect. Think about it logically, and you may see through something.
continues to chat. In yesterday's article, we talked about the situation of the war for a week, and basically judged that Russian has implemented a large-scale military deep and demilitarized encirclement in a planned and step-by-step manner for the purpose of neutralizing Ukraine and demilitarizing Ukraine, or has surrounded the main force of the Ukrainian army in the middle and lower reaches of the Dnieper River , and continuously compressed the encirclement. Then the heavy army group entered, surrounding strategic points such as Kiev and the Ukrainian army assembly point, blocking the direction of the retreat of the main force in the eastern Ukrainian west.
If the surrounded Ukrainian army cannot retreat west of Kiev, with support from eastern Poland and Slovakia, and establish a defense line to confront the Russian army, basically there will be no defense.
1. When will the war be the first
.2 million Ukrainian main force is attacked in the north and east. To the south, we have to go to Azov Sea and Black Sea to feed fish (the Russian army landed on Odessa on February 24, and announced the complete blockade of the Azov Sea Channel on March 2). There are enemy planes in the sky, and there is a hundred thousand Russian heavy troops blocking the west. It is really a bit like there is no way to heaven and no way to enter the ground.
Of course, some people will say that 200,000 people are not 200,000 pigs. They can break out of the encirclement and fight to the end. Moreover, there is support from the United States and Europe.
I feel that it is not optimistic: First, 200,000 people are divided and surrounded, without enough firepower to support it. Once it comes out of the solid defense point, the road to escape may be a road of no return. Don’t forget the tragic situation of the Jabalicewou Army breaking through the dead road section in 15 years. Then can it not come out? Relying on fortification defense or street fighting, it will delay changes in the international situation. I said it was hopeful but difficult to copy the First Chechen War. First of all, the eastern part is generally pro-Russia, without the support of the masses, how can we play guerrilla warfare ? Secondly, there is no food, no drink, no ammunition, and the people do not give them steamed buns, and the supplies in the west cannot be passed, so they are hungry. The third strength is limited, and the Ukrainian army has poor field combat capabilities. urban warfare is probably even worse. Facing urban warfare experts such as Wudong Militia and Chechen Special Forces, who are cats and who are rats? So, eating food in a week and going hungry for a week is why I judge that it may be a node in two weeks. Except for a small number of people who fled to the west before the Russian army tightened the fence, the firefighting ended naturally as soon as the 200,000 main force collapsed.
Who can swim in the ocean of the people
2. Is Zelensky the one who plays with Putin ? Don't mess with
from possible results, let's go back to the starting point of the event again.
is aiming for the goal of militarization, so the Russian army did not point the finger at Zelensky, the Western darling, and the media's sweetheart. Instead, the 200,000 Ukrainian army. Once these main forces were destroyed, the military force would naturally disappear. Even if there are people, Ukraine's industry is mainly concentrated in the east, without weapons, and its military power is greatly reduced. Of course, these can only be temporarily demilitarized, and we will not show the long-term effect first.
Let’s take a look at neutralization. What is neutralization? Neutral between who and who? Thinking of this, many problems will be solved - Ukraine is neutral, one side is Russia, and the other side can only be NATO , which expands eastward and rides Russia's neck to shit out five times! In other words, this battle is a battle between two major clubs. One of them only yells but does not take action, but one of the youngsters on the edge is beaten up; then the other club is to hit you, and to let the actors and presidents cry to the boss with blood on their faces. Unfortunately, the boss could only coax this miserable little brother while holding a meeting to accuse the others of not being moral. Everyone looked back and saw if this was the case. It was Putin's open plot again, and another bright card.
Everything is for the community, what's wrong with me
Therefore, the Russian army has never cared about the gains and losses of a city and a place, and has not flatly promoted the occupation of territory. It is just interspersed and surrounded the main force of the Ukrainian army. After the siege, it will be completely eliminated, and it will also be a 200,000 yuan price. It depends on whether you sit at the negotiating table.
Therefore, the Russian army will inevitably take tough measures against the Nazis and national fanatics in the Ukrainian army, and will beat Ukraine to fear and militarize it from the perspective of consciousness. Don’t think that the Russian army is ruthless in the early stage. That is to the people in the east, and it is even more because it is unnecessary. But remember that polar bear did not grow up by eating vegetarian food.
Who is the most cruel cub in the city war
Victory requires blood to water
and other Ukrainian soldiers will be surrendered, or they may wail to the community in the encirclement. Do you think this boss is in charge or not?
Let’s raise our perspective and look at this game from the game between NATO and Russia:
1. The historical grudges between NATO and Russia, Ukraine’s important geopolitical value to Russia, there are many articles, so I won’t talk about it here;
2. At the beginning of this year, the United States rate hike is about to be, and it has been clamoring that Russia will invade Ukraine; no matter whether Russia really has this intention (I think the plan to invade Ukraine has long been locked in Putin’s safe, which is not surprising at all. It would be strange if a country has no military plan to deal with key areas), but strangely, the United States has been urging Ukraine to instigate Ukraine to attack Ukraine - isn’t the most reasonable way to shrink its defense under the huge military threat? As a result, the main force of the Wu army asked people to make dumplings. Ukraine is the main purpose of . The United States and is to create panic to promote the return of the US dollar, and to make a noise in Europe and disgust Putin. Ukraine is his tool to touch the car and break his arms and legs. But Putin was able to chat casually, and he took advantage of the window of the US imperial family's own troubles and sent troops to abruptly. No wonder everyone said whether the United States and Russia have agreed to play a double act. I am so bad that old man is so bad, I miss the 200,000 people;
Ozawa, Damao wants to beat you, give you 200 million US dollars of arms, and the aircraft carrier has also arrived in the Mediterranean. Don’t be afraid of
3. As long as the Russian army is deployed, ordinary people who are a little brain know that Ukraine will definitely be defeated. So how can NATO, a professional military group, not know? But NATO said one more time: Xiao Wu, we all support you, but we will not go up and fight. Don’t say that Ukraine is not a member of NATO. NATO cannot directly send troops to Ukraine. Can’t it be possible to strengthen long-range attack weapons in Eastern Europe? Isn't it possible to deploy a fleet in the Black Sea? One directly threatens Moscow , the other directly deters Crimea , providing support to the Ukrainian army in the south, and there are more similar tricks. What's the result? There is nothing. In the middle of that year, the counterattack of Vietnam was arranged to defend against the Soviet Union in the north, and even if the war went smoothly, he quickly returned to the army in consideration of the north. After Putin started the war, more than 60% of the main force were left to defend within the territory. As a result, he saw that nothing was wrong, so he went in without whistling.
4, and then there is financial war and sanctions war. If you don’t watch American dramas, listen to you singing, and play games with you, this is lively, and I don’t see much effect at the moment; and a few younger brothers who want to make a fuss also want to draw their swords (on February 27, EU made the decision to transport deadly weapons to the Ukrainian military), and Russia pulled out his gun (on February 27, Putin announced that Russia’s strategic deterrent force has entered a special combat readiness state), and the younger brother immediately became timid again. On the other side, the messenger is still fanning the flames and calling on volunteers to fight in Ukraine. Well, NATO can organize a legion to join the war in the Volunteer Army , but these troops can't pass the Russian army's blockade if they are lightly equipped, and they don't have much use (of course, it's okay to stabilize Ukraine, and Russia doesn't care much about it). If they are heavy, they may call Russian nuclear strike against . Not to mention anything else, if a nuclear blockade belt is deployed in Ukraine, it will take the lives of other European countries.
It seems that Russia's oil and gas has not been blocked.
5. Of course, financial warfare is still useful, at least it can cause Russia to be injured within a period of time; the stinger and javelin missile also pose a threat to Russian aircraft and armored vehicles , but using this individual weapon is a life-threatening person, and if Russia surrounds and does not fight, how much effect can short-range missiles play?
From this point of view, NATO generally has not many powerful moves, while Russia takes every step forward and responds in a timely and effective manner.Why is NATO, which has stronger overall strength, unable to go to the table and become so civilized and gentle? Overall, the boss is just busy holding the public property of the club into his arms, and the club boss is trying to start a new job, which affects the external factors. Suddenly I remembered a movie, Lao Toozi's "Shadow", who did the game? Whose game did it? Who is the tool? But the difference is that this time, the white clothes crossed Jiang Jiang but failed, and instead asked the one from Jiang to call him.
So what agreement will this war end? Where is the balance between NATO and Putin? Let's talk about it next time.
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