The US midterm election has entered the sprint stage, and Democrats are under great pressure because the "anti-MAGA alliance" that brought Biden into White House was not a solid piece of cake. Some of this huge voter group capable of casting 81 million votes have decided to vote for Republican . What are
MAGA and anti-MAGA
What is the "anti-MAGA alliance" that both Trump and Biden are facing political difficulties? First of all, it must be clear that this is just a nominal "alliance" and does not have a unified organization or leadership.
(Trump put forward the slogan "Make America Great Again")
"MAGA" refers to "Make America Great Again" (Make America Great Again) , this is the campaign slogan that Trump shouted when he defeated Hillary Clinton , and his supporters will also raise the "MAGA" banner in public events.
As the name suggests, "anti-MAGA" voters refer to voters who oppose Trump in the 2020 election and vote for Biden, not against the Republican Party. This includes a large number of Democratic fans, many independent voters, and even some Republicans who oppose Trump. They cast 81 million votes for Biden in 2020, successfully pulling Trump off the road to re-election. The reason is that Trump's performance during his tenure harmed their interests.
So, when the United States faces a series of difficulties such as severe inflation and poor social security, Biden's supporters among the "anti-MAGA" voters began to feel disappointed with Biden and left; some people were not believers of the Democratic Party, and now that Trump has stepped down, these Republicans will naturally "return" to the Republican Party in this year's midterm elections. In this way, some of the people in the "anti-MAGA" chose to vote for the Republican Party.
(White women hold slogans against Trump)
Because of the huge size of "anti-MAGA" voters, when they no longer fully support Biden and the Democratic Party, the number of votes begins to split, which means that it is more difficult for the Democratic Party to win the midterm elections.
Democratic Party has too many political amateurs, at least losing to the House of Representatives
In 2018, due to the support of "anti-MAGA" voters, there were more than a dozen political amateurs who had no political experience among the Democratic Party elected. They came from all walks of life, such as Salice, who was once a mixed martial arts fighter, and Elaine, who once served in the army. But when some voters in the "anti-MAGA" no longer support these new political figures, it means that the Democrats may lose more than a dozen seats, and it will be much more difficult for the Republicans to control the House of Representatives.
Biden went astray, and the Democrats could not count on abortion rights to prolong their lives
Faced with the current dilemma, the Democrats focused on the "abortion rights" and tried to rely on abortion rights to extend the party's "lifetime" in the House of Representatives. Biden reiterated the "Russell Wade case" and promised to give American women the right to have abortion, hoping to slow down the rate of Democratic support rating loss, but this is just putting the cart before the horse. The core problem Biden has to face has never been an abortion problem. ABC News/ A poll conducted by the Washington Post showed that only 62% of respondents believed that abortion rights were the number one concern. Compared with this proportion, economic problems and inflation were significantly more concerned by voters, with the data reaching 84% and 76% respectively.
In summary, voters are more concerned about economic issues, while the Democratic Party focuses on abortion rights.
(The issue of "abortion rights" once triggered protests)
"anti-MAGA" differentiation
Compared with the Democratic Party's wrong election focus, the Republican Party's focus is more in line with the voters' ideas. House Republicans made it clear last month that economic issues, criminal behavior, etc. are the priorities. The Republican Party also emphasized that under the rule of the Democratic Party, US inflation data continues to soar, murder rates in 12 cities hit new highs, and gasoline prices are also soaring. The difference in focus between the two parties directly leads to the differentiation of "anti-MAGA".
Four years ago, the Democrats won a big victory in the suburban junction, but due to energy and inflation issues, these people living far from cities lack oil and money, and now they are turning back to the Republican Party. Some highly educated male voters who oppose Trump have also changed their minds. Some of the "anti-MAGA" voters are non-partisan female voters. They voted wildly for the Democratic Party, but now their support for the Democratic Party has gradually declined due to concerns about the crime rate, and their support for the Republican Party has increased by 18 percentage points.
(US President Biden)
In addition, due to the deceased re-designation of the congressional districts, the new Democratic political figures who were pushed to power by "anti-MAGA" voters had to introduce themselves to more new voters, which made the Democratic Party even worse.
The Democratic Party may not fail in all respects
Although there are many difficulties, the Democratic Party may not fail in all respects.
On the one hand, the Democratic Party is using a series of means to win over young and female voters, such as Biden's previous "full pardon" and abortion rights. And in the Democratic Party’s own basic platform, the young people are also relatively active.
On the other hand, although Trump has stepped down, Trumpism has not subsided and is still continuing to affect the midterm elections. Especially during the primary election period, more and more Republicans turned to Trumpism, but Trump's influence also brought some counter-effects. Among independent voters, 60% of people have negative views on Trump, which means Trump may also affect Republican results in the midterm elections.
(Former US President Trump)
Overall, the final result of the midterm election is still full of variables. On one hand, there are the Democratic Party with deviated focus, and on the other hand, there are the Republican Party with "Trumpization". We will wait and see who can attract voters better.
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