Today's military observation "talk about war" You will hear: [U.S. non-commissioned officers began to command the Ukrainian army, and war in eastern Ukraine is about to break out], [ An explosion occurred at an air base in Syria , why the reasons reported by Western media are very different from the official statement of Syria]. The two military commentators we invited today are Professor Cheng Hanping, military expert and Professor Han Xudong, military expert. They will give you a detailed explanation of the following issues. Please click on the top audio to listen!
[Background Introduction] Recently, the situation in eastern Ukraine was extremely tense, and all signs showed that war might be imminent, showing that the leader of the "Donetsk People's Republic" who declared independence in eastern Ukraine was killed. Before that, a group of senior non-commissioned officers from the US and Canadian troops secretly sneaked into eastern Ukraine and formed the so-called "Eastern" joint strategic team as commanders in the Ukrainian government army. Along with them were also a large number of foreign mercenaries. Ukrainian leader Poroshenko announced the termination of the Treaty on Friendship and Cooperation between Russia and Ukraine. Just when Russia is currently devoted to Syria, will these dangerous actions by Ukraine and Western countries rekindle the war? Let's pay attention to the situation here.
First of all, we see that Zaharchenko, the leader of the "Donetsk Republic" in eastern Ukraine, was assassinated 3 days ago, and the situation in the border areas between eastern Ukraine and Russia suddenly became tense. The militia in eastern Ukraine launched 16 attacks on the Ukrainian government forces, which seemed a bit retaliatory. The Ukrainian army's armored troops entered combat readiness almost immediately after Zaharchenko's assassination. So, judging from the attack and death of the leader of the Donetsk Republic and the reaction of the Ukrainian army, what is the connection between them?
The connection here is very close. On September 1, the leader of the " Donetsk Republic", the country's leader of the " Donetsk Republic", died in an explosion in a coffee shop in Donetsk. Let's take a look at the statements of all parties. Russia made it very clear. It said that the purpose of attacking Zakharchenko was to undermine the ceasefire agreement in eastern Russia, and it will affect the Normandy model of France, Germany, Russia and Ukraine discussing the situation in Ukraine. This is what the Russian side said.
What is Ukrainian saying? Ukraine said that this matter has nothing to do with Ukraine. The reason why Zakharchenko was beaten to death was because of internal problems between the civilian armed forces, which was the result of an internal strife, and it also said that the black hand behind this matter was Russia .
And the Eastern Armed Forces believed that this was the act of the Ukrainian government. It was definitely not accidental that so many attacks were launched this time. This is to believe that the Ukrainian government is the black hand behind it, so the Eastern Armed Forces must retaliate. Basulin, the current deputy commander of the Eastern Armed Forces Command, warned that his troops had been raised to a state of alert and were prepared for the development of the situation. If the Ukrainian government launches an attack on it, they will launch a counterattack. In fact, I think it is no longer a counterattack, but an initiative to launch an attack. The militia armed forces of the eastern armed forces have launched a counterattack against the Ukrainian government forces. It is reasonable for the Ukrainian government forces to increase their vigilance. Therefore, it is interconnected here. In other words, in the eyes of the eastern armed forces, it seems that Ukraine has harmed our leader, so I must retaliate. Ukraine believes that this is not what I did, but your internal strife. Then you have to retaliate against me, and I will accompany you to the end. In this case, Russia stood up and believed that Ukraine's approach was a provocation and would definitely pay the price, so this means that the situation in Ukraine will still move towards a complex situation in the next step.Originally, France, Germany, Russia and Ukraine were preparing to discuss the situation in Ukraine. What does an accident mean at such a critical moment? Russia announced that the consultation would be stopped immediately and postponed indefinitely, which means that the future discussions and consultations on resolving the situation in Ukraine have been still in the womb, which means that the situation in Ukraine may become a new explosive point in the next step.
The most surprising thing is that a group of senior non-commissioned officers from the US military and Canadian troops were determined to sneak into eastern Ukraine with a group of foreign mercenaries and began to command the Ukrainian army. Why were senior non-commissioned officers sent? Why did Canada join in? After the U.S. military appeared so close to the front line for the first time after the ceasefire agreement in eastern Ukraine? Is it necessary to prepare to take action?
I think this problem should be analyzed from the following aspects:
First of all, the presence of US military and Canadian soldiers in the Eastern Ukraine region, indicating that the United States and Canada have increased their efforts to promote Ukraine to join NATO.
The second is to prevent the Eastern Ukraine from taking independent measures before Ukraine joins NATO, weakening Ukraine's overall strength and causing NATO to suffer losses when Ukraine joins NATO. This is one aspect.
Another aspect is why do we send senior non-commissioned officers into the East Ukraine region? In fact, this senior non-commissioned officer is like what we understand as a soldier, not an officer. Through this kind of senior non-commissioned officers, it can enable these foreign mercenaries and local troops in the East Ukraine to be guided in some specific tactical actions. created some small actions in the East Ukraine before Ukraine joined NATO. In addition, we should also see that some foreign military forces entering the Eastern Ukraine region appear in the form of foreign mercenaries, and these foreign mercenaries can be said to be used as cannon fodder. The United States, Canada and Ukraine are well aware that if some military actions are taken in the Eastern Ukraine region, they will inevitably be devastatingly hit by Russian armed forces. These foreign mercenaries actually act as cannon fodder for Ukraine, Canada or Canada. Therefore, we should have such a range. With the acceleration of Ukraine's process of joining NATO, there is a high possibility of military turmoil in the eastern Ukraine.
[Background introduction] News from Xinhua News Agency , the Mezeh Air Force Base near , the capital of Syria, , Damascus , has been exploding many times in recent days. Western and Israeli media have reported that this is an attack on Syria by Israel, but official Syrian officials said that an explosion occurred in the arsenal here because of a short circuit in electrical appliances, which has nothing to do with the Israeli air strike. Why are there two completely different statements about the explosion of an arsenal? Is it Syria covering up the facts, or is it Western media creating trouble? Let's pay attention together.
The location of this Mezeh Air Force Base in Syria is right next to Damascus, the capital of Syria. So is this base important? What are the main deployments? Also, why electrical short circuits cause an explosion in the arsenal. Let me introduce it first.
This time, the explosion occurred at the Mezehe Air Force Base. It is very strange. First of all, let’s take a look at what this base is for? It is located in the old town of Damascus in the Syrian capital, and is an air force base in the western region. The base of has very great strategic value. Some people say it is equivalent to a private airport of Bashar President. If Bashar wants to visit abroad, he will take off from this airport, so its strategic value is very important. When the Idlib province war was about to start, the initial base was very tightly guarded and no unrelated personnel could penetrate it. It was mainly guarded by the elite Republic Guard.The Syrian opposition and some terrorist organizations cannot penetrate this airport at all. At the beginning of this year, the Israeli Air Force dispatched F35 stealth fighter jets to attack Mezeh Air Base. So what is the situation this time? Let’s take a look. The Syrian official has a statement, which believes that this is not caused by Israeli air strikes, but that the short circuit of the wires in the ammunition depot of the base caused an explosion. This is the Syrian official statement. Israel has no representation, but it is actually the same as Israel's previous actions. Whether it is what he did or not he did, he always remains silent.
At present, Israel has successfully made Syria and Russia agree to it with one condition, that is, to keep the Iran-backed armed groups 80 kilometers away from the Israeli border, and this goal has been achieved. So from the comprehensive analysis of the situation, why are there different opinions? Why does a wire short circuit occur? We analyze that under the current high-pressure situation, if this is done by Israel, it may be a warning. If it is not done by Israel, it is purely an accident, such as a fault caused by electric wires, then we feel that the Bashar government's military control is not a monolithic part, and there are still many hidden dangers. We will not reach a conclusion for the time being. I personally think that the possibility of short-circuiting of wires is relatively high, because I just analyzed that Israel has reached a tacit understanding with Russia, Iraq and Syria, and keeping armed organizations that pose a threat to it away from the border. In this context, Israel does not seem to have much need to launch an attack. And everyone knows that since a big battle is coming, if Israel wades into this muddy water, it does not conform to Israel's usual practices and characteristics. Otherwise, Israel may cause fire, so I think the possibility of short-circuiting of wires seems to be greater.
After the explosion of the arsenal at this air force base, Israeli media, Arab news agency and Western media reported that this was a retaliatory attack launched by Israel on this place. So what is the origin of this view? What are their evidence and positions? Let me introduce it to us.
In fact, the reports and analysis of Israeli media, Arab news agency and Western media still make sense. Why do you say this? At present, Israel wants to intervene in the Syrian civil war. At present, the United States and Russia are fighting fiercely on the Ukraine issue. Everyone knows that Ukraine has terminated its friendly treaty with Russia and it will no longer renew it, which means that the next step of Ukraine's joining NATO will accelerate. In the face of this situation, the United States must beware of Russia's tampering with the East Ukraine region. Therefore, the United States and Canada have sent military personnel in disguise to East Ukraine to take various actions so that when Ukraine joins NATO, there will be no other changes in East Ukraine, that is, the East Ukraine region can join NATO together with the entire Ukraine. In this case, we can see that the United States has taken such a situation of offensive on the Ukraine issue. At the same time, we also see that Russia has recently held the largest military exercise in the Mediterranean region in several years. In fact, this military exercise held by Russia in the Mediterranean is corresponding to the United States' actions in Ukraine, which means that Russia has also adopted this offensive stance on the Syria issue, with the aim of restraining the United States' offensive stance on the Ukraine issue.
But we should also see that the United States has taken an offensive position on the Ukraine issue, and on the Syria issue, it can be said that it has taken a defensive position. Why? Because the United States only sent two submarines and two destroyers in the Mediterranean to monitor Russia's military movements, the United States did not take corresponding and powerful military actions during Russia's large-scale military exercises in the Mediterranean. In this case, the United States is not ineffective. The move it has taken is to encourage Israel to take some actions.So it makes sense that the United States supports Israel in taking such explosive actions in Syria. At the same time, we should also see why the United States supports Israel? In the surrounding areas of Syria, such as Turkey, Iran, and Iraq, they cannot be pawns of the United States. In this case, due to the dispute between Israel and Syria, the United States encouraged Israel to represent the United States to take some military actions in Syria. As Russia's response to large-scale military exercises in the Mediterranean region is also understandable. So from the above analysis, we should think that the possibility of Israel creating this explosion is very high.
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