The situation of the mayoral election in Taipei is not clear. Wu Kunyu, former spokesperson and political commentator of the People First Party, analyzed in an interview with the Hong Kong China Review News Agency that there are only 30 days left before the vote on November 26. In the past, the bets may have been betting, but no one has certainly won this year's Taipei mayoral election, and "the bets are hard to open." In the end, it depends on whoever makes the least "low-level mistakes" and is likely to win the election. If Chen Shizhong really couldn't do it in the end, in order not to let Jiang Wan'an be elected, "the votes from the Green Camp will flow, and Huang Shanshan is an acceptable person, and the votes from the Green Camp may flow to Huang."
Wu Kunyu mentioned that Chen Shizhong, the DPP’s Taipei mayoral candidate, had a chance, but he made too many "low-level mistakes" some time ago. Now it is too late to "rebuild his image" and can only wait for others to make mistakes to have a chance.
Will Huang Shanshan, an independent Taipei mayor candidate who is from the People First Party, finally receive "blessing" from the People First Party Chairman Song Chuyu? Wu Kunyu said that whether Song Chuyu wants to stand on the stage is mainly to consider whether he will offend people. Song has only been selected as a candidate for the People First Party, and Huang Shanshan is not currently a member of the People First Party.
What is the current situation of Huang Shanshan’s election? Wu Kunyu analyzed that Jiang Wanan would like to thank the media person Zhou Yukou for fighting back all the Blue Army who did not support Chiang in support of Chiang, but Huang Shanshan did not have the chance of being elected because of this. In 1994, the Taipei mayoral election was a three-legged battle. That abandonment of insurance was made. "This year's Taipei City election cannot be called abandonment of insurance, but this year can only be said to be the flow of votes."
He said that Ke Wenzhe will later win Ding Shouzhong with a slight distance of more than 3,000 votes (only 0.3%), because the DPP did not want to see the Kuomintang win, so he voted for Ke. Huang Shanshan’s favorability is very important. As long as it doesn’t make people hate each other, Huang has a chance. "The highest hatred value in this year's election is Ke Wenzhe and Zhou Yuko. They will fall on either side." But Ke Wenzhe doesn't touch Huang Shanshan very much now, which means that the Ke camp also knows to keep a distance from Huang. "Huang itself has a high hatred value and a high preference. Jiang Wan'an's feeling is similar to Huang." However, the Kuomintang's hatred value is very high at present, and Chiang will be negatively affected by the Kuomintang's hatred value.
He said that all traders in Taipei City elections this year cannot be estimated. If Chen Shizhong really doesn't work in the end, in order not to let Jiang Wan'an be elected, "the votes in the green camp will flow, and Huang Shanshan is an acceptable person, and the votes in the green camp may flow to Huang."
Another analysis article by the Hong Kong China Review News Agency said that the 2022 Taipei mayoral election has entered the hand-to-hand battle stage. Due to Chen Shizhong's weakening, whispers of "abandoning Chen Baohuang" began to spread. Former Kaohsiung mayor Han Kuo-yu went north to assist in the election of the Blue Army City Councilman this weekend, which will help consolidate the basic blue camp of the Kuomintang Taipei mayoral candidate Jiang Wan'an.
Taiwan People's Party Chairman and Taipei Mayor Ke Wen-je recently expressed that "I can't win after reading the polls Chen Shizhong, and I hope the vote will be good", and started a discussion on "abandoning Chen and protecting Huang". In fact, Ke Wen-je just took the actions under the table to speak plain language.
Huang Shanshan attended the founding meeting of the election headquarters of Taipei City Council candidate Chen Zhiming on October 1, and was on the same stage as former "legislator" Huang Guochang. Huang Guochang, who was supported by many young people in the green camp, publicly expressed his support to Huang Shanshan. In addition, the father of Huang Chengguo, a British general and former "national policy adviser", passed away a few days ago and was bombarded by the Blue Army by the police chief to help "original lotus" at the bereaved family. Huang Shanshan helped to relieve her cheek on the 15th. "If there is such a thing at home, don't deliberately politicize it." Huang Shanshan's two actions mean that she is ready to "receive green camp votes."
The Blue Army expanded its publicity for the green camp to "abandon Chen and protect Huang", and even said that Huang Shanshan was a "Little Ying girl" in order to avoid not wanting to vote on the Kuomintang's Blue Army votes to support Huang Shanshan. After all, Huang Shanshan is a member of the People First Party and was in the New Party. Her family has a relationship with the military, so it is not difficult to dig tickets from the Blue Army.
However, as far as abandoning the security, the current DPP and Chen Shizhong are different from the DPP and Yao Wenzhi in the 2018 Taipei Mayoral Election.In the end of the 2018 election, the Green Camp almost gave up on Yao Wenzhi. In the end, he only won 17.3% of the votes, which is quite different from the DPP's basic base. But now Chen Shizhong is "selected" by Tsai Ing-wen. The success or failure of the Taipei mayoral election is linked to the chairmanship of Tsai Ing-wen. The DPP is working hard to consolidate more than 30% of the green camp basic foundation for Chen Shizhong, so it should not allow Chen Shizhong to not even get 20% of the votes.
China Review News Agency believes that when the green and white have set off the preservation theory, Jiang Wanan’s top priority is to protect the basic foundation of the Blue Army. Han Kuo-yu has been confirmed to attend the founding meeting of the election headquarters of the Kuomintang Taipei City Council Speaker Chen Jinxiang on the 22nd. Jiang Wan'an is also invited by that time. Han Kuo-yu will help consolidate the basic foundation of the blue camp, which is a niche for Jiang Wan'an. In the 2022 election, various variables have begun to hype the topics. How the election changes is worthy of follow-up observation. (Xue Yang/Edited)
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