Originally, the Russian army's attack that day stopped after less than half a day. According to Putin, as long as Ukraine no longer takes retaliation, Russia will not escalate its attack.

Recently, Russia has launched a precise strike on several targets in Ukraine. At the same time, Putin also gave a warning, "If Ukraine strikes on Russian territory again, Russia will take tougher measures to respond."

Originally, the Russian army's attack that day stopped within less than half a day. According to Putin, as long as Ukraine no longer takes retaliation, Russia will not escalate its attack. did not expect that Ukraine would be "iron-headed" and immediately retaliated against Russia.

In less than 24 hours, the city of Shebekino, near Ukraine, in southern Belgorod Prefecture, Russia, was bombarded by Ukraine, and an substation, was destroyed, causing power outages in some areas. It is reported that the area is often bombarded by Ukrainian troops, and civilian casualties are often caused.

This move by the Ukrainian army obviously ignored Putin's warning. On the same day, the Russian army continued to launch intensive attacks on Ukrainian military and energy facilities.

Things have developed to this point, and Russia and Ukraine attack each other's civil infrastructure should not be able to stop in the short term. As Putin said, the Russian army will take tougher measures.

It is reported that Ukraine discussed the issue of how to protect critical infrastructure. The meeting pointed out that the Ukrainian army urgently needed an advanced air defense system to deal with Russia's missile attack. Zelensky immediately contacted European and American leaders for assistance.

. The United States and Europe reached an agreement to G7 continue to aid Ukraine

After Russia expanded its attack on Ukraine, Zelensky participated in the emergency meeting of the G7 Group of Seven (G7), calling on countries to provide Ukraine with "enough and effective" air defense weapons , and expand sanctions on Russia to accelerate the end of the war.

G of Seven promised that will continue to provide military, financial, diplomatic aid to Ukraine "no matter how long it takes", and warned Russia not to use nuclear weapon . At the meeting, US President Biden , British Prime Minister , etc. all expressed that they would provide Ukraine with advanced air defense systems. The effect of the

meeting was significant. That night, Ukraine received several "IRIS-T SLM" surface-to-air missile systems and four sets of US "Haimas" multiple rocket launchers from Germany. According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, the "NASAMS" air defense system provided by the United States will also arrive soon.

It is worth mentioning that German Chancellor Scholz promised to provide IRIS-T to Ukraine as early as July, and it was only now because even Germany itself has not equipped it and has dragged it directly to Ukraine as soon as it got off the production line. It can be seen that Western countries are very anxious about .

From the perspective of performance, the surface-to-air missile used in this German air defense system is modified from the air-to-air missile carried by European fighters. It can effectively avoid the capture of the Russian Air Force radar , and has automated multi-target strike capabilities, which can significantly improve the Ukrainian army's air defense capabilities. shows that the assistance has increased and no longer delays in .

In fact, the actual delivery time of these weapons is not certain. For example, the IRIS-T promised by Germany was originally planned to be delivered in 2023. Now the early delivery shows that the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine has taken a sharp turn for the worse, and the changes in the Russian military's operation model have made European and American countries even more nervous.

According to the statement of the G7, European and American countries will accelerate the implementation of military aid to Ukraine. If the Russian army conducts the next stage of operations, it will inevitably face considerable challenges.

Although the Russian army faces Ukrainian soldiers, is behind the entire NATO armed forces, and I am afraid that there will be a lot of losses .

On the same day, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov warned that the situation in Ukraine was facing the danger of "uncontrolled escalation" ; Medvedev also pointed out that European and American countries providing long-range weapons to Ukraine will escalate the conflict to "irreversible world war" .

2. Russia launched a countermeasure, NATO used exercises to respond

From the content of assistance to Ukraine by European and American countries, it not only directly provides advanced weapons and equipment to the Ukrainian army, but also provides professional training to Ukrainian soldiers, and provides satellite photos and other intelligence content, and even participates in combat staff. This has far exceeded the scope of assistance in , but has deeply intervened in the conflict .

It is reported that NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg announced that NATO member states will hold nuclear deterrence exercise next week, said that this is "the best way to prevent conflict escalation."

In response to this, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov said that more and more Western countries are involved in conflict, the situation is escalating uncontrollably, and Russia has to fight back, including taking asymmetric countermeasures. Any military aid to Ukraine will become the legal target of the Russian army.

. The situation is more serious, and Europe is facing four major crises

First, Ukraine's energy infrastructure has been hit. hits the snake and hits seven inches. The most troublesome thing in Western countries is the energy problem. After two consecutive days of air strikes, 30% of Ukraine's energy infrastructure was damaged and it has announced a suspension of power exports.

Since Ukraine incorporated into the EU power grid as early as the beginning of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, European countries rely heavily on Ukraine's cheap electricity when they lose Russia natural gas . This supply cutoff undoubtedly made the energy-strapped Europe worsen. This is the first time that the Russian army has launched a concentrated strike on Ukrainian energy facilities since the special military operation, because EU countries have stepped up their intervention.

Even if Russia is nominally retaliating against Ukraine's terrorist attacks, it objectively undermines Europe's electricity supply, and Ukraine's side has provoked the fire from it, the relations between Russia and Europe will further deteriorate. More importantly, Ukraine can threaten the EU to increase its aid to it with power supply .

Second, Russia's coal supply was interrupted. Russian Vice Prime Minister Novak pointed out that he is considering transporting about 25 million tons of coal to the Asia-Pacific region. Whether it is through Azov or Far East , Russia can always find buyers.

Europe is actually not short of coal. Compared with oil and natural gas, coal is not that important. However, with Russia's natural gas supply cut off and the EU's oil ban on Russia coming into effect, the weakness of insufficient coal stocks is immediately exposed. Recently, the EU's embargo on Russian coal will also take effect.

For Russia, the loss of the European market is not that great. In contrast, Russia now attaches more importance to the Asia-Pacific market. So it's not just oil and natural gas, but the loss of cheap Russian coal will also become an unbearable burden for the EU. Even if the EU delays the ban on Russian coal, Russia will in turn use the "coal brand" to put pressure on it .

Third, a new round of refugee crisis. Against the backdrop of the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine, a large number of refugees and illegal immigrants have poured into Europe, triggering a new round of refugee crisis. International Organization for Migration data shows that more than 8 million people fled Ukraine, causing the "most crowded" refugee crisis in history.

You should know that in 2015, there were only more than 1 million refugee crisis in Europe. At that time, Germany was the biggest victim. Denmark, Sweden and other countries even had anti-refugee conflicts. Previously, German opposition leader Melz used this to attack the authorities' policies, saying that Ukrainian refugees came to collect money and then went home like welfare travel.

Now, the pressure on refugees in Europe is several times that before, which does not include the additional hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants with complex components. will undoubtedly trigger a more serious social and economic crisis, especially to promote the rise of right-wing populist . Right-wing parties in many countries have criticized the EU's refugee policies for seriously affecting national development.

Fourth, Russia and Belarus formed an alliance army, and NATO EU may be involved in conflict. The escalation of the situation in Ukraine has also affected Belarus .On October 10, Belarusian President Lukashenko announced the formation of a joint force with Russia to deal with the risks of border conflict; on the same day, Putin signed a transportation ban against unfriendly countries, prohibiting transit transportation from the EU, Norway, Ukraine and the UK.

Dismiss the border and block traffic. If the relations between Belarus and neighboring countries such as Poland and continue to deteriorate, the two sides may completely close their borders and enter a state of military confrontation. Previously, Poland and Belarus also threatened each other with nuclear weapons, and the risk of Poland being involved in the war increased further .

Karaganov, who once served as Putin's diplomatic adviser, pointed out that Russia's bets in this war are much greater than those of Western countries. It is a matter of life and death. It is a "Patriotic War" that must be won.

As European and American countries continue to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Putin's fantasy about the Western world has been shattered . It is impossible to make any concessions on the issue of NATO's eastward expansion of weaponizing Ukraine. At the same time, Zelensky also declared that he would never negotiate with Putin.

In other words, Russia and Ukraine must decide the winner, but the result is obvious. NATO cannot afford the risk of participating in the war in full. Even with the support of the entire West, Ukraine cannot defeat Russia. The whole world is paying a high price for a foregone conclusion.

No matter who makes a profit, there is no winner in the end, because the international order has been damaged like never before. When the disruption continues, Europe, which is determined to pursue strategic independence, is getting deeper and deeper under the instigation of the United States. Under the iron curtain of , Europe will have no day to turn around.