Taiwan Strait Network reported on October 19 that the mayoral election of Hsinchu is in a stalemate. In the latest poll released by Taiwan Green Media on October 17, DPP candidate Shen Huihong took the lead in support, but in terms of optimism, the People's Party candidate Gao Ho

Source: Taiwan Strait Network

Taiwan Strait Network Comprehensive report on October 19 Hsinchu Mayor election is in a stalemate. In the latest poll released by Taiwan Green Media on October 17, DPP candidate Shen Huihong took the lead in support, but in terms of optimism, the People's Party candidate Gao Hong was the top leader, and the party support level was as many as 41% of voters expressed that they did not favor any political party. Huang Yangming, a senior reporter and political commentator, analyzed that this Hsinchu poll shows that the blue and green plates are on the verge of collapse, and the poll seriously underestimates the support of the Kuomintang candidate Lin Gengren, which may prompt his supporters to switch to Gao Hongan. Is Tsai Ing-wen the game of chess in Hsinchu wrong?

Hsinchu mayoral election is in a stalemate: Gao Hongan, Shen Huihong, Lin Gengren Photo/Taiwan media

The third force is most likely to take Hsinchu?

According to the latest Hsinchu mayor poll released by Green Media, Shen Huihong leads with support of 28.98%, Gao Hongan is slightly behind 26.39%, and Lin Gengren ranks last 13.44%. In the optimistic part, Gao Hongan, who has a backward support, has 32.18% of voters who are optimistic about her being elected, while Shen Huihong and Lin Gengren are 26.61% and 10.85% respectively.

Green Media also cross-comparsed the 2018 county and city mayoral election with this year. The results showed that among the voters who expressed their opinion that they had voted for the DPP Lin Zhijian, only 48.98% supported Shen Huihong, 20.30% supported Gao Hongan, and 6.89% supported Lin Gengren. Among the people who expressed their opinion that they had voted for the Kuomintang Xu Mingcai, only 50% supported Lin Gengren, 33.80% supported Gao Hongan, and 3.52% supported Shen Huihong.

Huang Yangming posted on Facebook, "Currently, Shen Huihong is only less than 3 percentage points ahead of Gao Hongan, and the optimistic point is that Gao Hongan is about 5.5%, and this poll once again shows the low expression rate of non-pan-green voters. Therefore, this is actually a poll that issued a warning to the green camp." He believes that there are a large number of supporters in both camps to switch to other political parties, indicating that the traditional blue and green plates are on the verge of collapse in this Hsinchu mayoral election.

Huang Yangming also said, "The green media poll seriously underestimates Lin Gengren's support, and the support of the 'Shuanghong' is in a stalemate, but when the high optimism is leading and Lin's optimistic is lower than his support, it is also likely to cause Lin's supporters to turn high, which is not necessarily a good thing for Shen." On the premise that the supporters of the blue camp mayoral are likely to turn to Gao Hongan, he is sure that this Hsinchu mayoral election battle will be one of the counties and cities that non-blue and green forces are most likely to take.

Lin Zhijian Tsai Ing-wen Photo/Taiwan media information picture

This game of chess was wrong by Tsai Ing-wen?

This year's "nine-in-one" election focus is on Taoyuan and Hsinchu City. Former "legislator" Cai Zhengyuan html said on the political commentary program "News Belle" on the 316th that the media did not pay much attention to the election situation in Hsinchu City, because former Hsinchu Mayor Lin Zhijian caused a plagiarism storm, disrupting the entire game of chess. Now even Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Wencan's public works have been magnified and reviewed. Who caused it by Lin Zhijian? Isn’t it just Tsai Ing-wen’s mistake in playing chess? Then who pushed this game away? Taipei City Councilman Wang Hongwei is the number one trader in this year's election.

"After that being said, it's because you attacked, you don't have a strong defense!" Cai Zhengyuan said, why did Tsai Ing-wen still protect Lin Zhijian? Everyone will definitely review it, and Zheng Wencan was also criticized very badly. He still wants to elect the 2024 "general election" and still wants to be the "Premier of the Executive"? Unbelievable! He was also asked by Taoyuan City Council candidate You Zhibin to testify clearly, saying that Zheng Wencan’s master’s thesis was copied, the instructor was Chen Mingtong, and the master’s degree from National Taiwan University was fake. How should I do this? And it’s okay to copy others. Zheng copied the papers from mainland China, but Taiwan’s paper system is relatively unmatched, so it’s so opportunistic.

"We must admit that in fact, blue, green, and white, votes will flow." Cai Zhengyuan also pointed out that in this election, the proportion of air battles of the Kuomintang was too low. Hsinchu City is different from Chiayi County. Chiayi County may not have any effect in air battles. When everyone in Hsinchu is fighting air battles, if you don’t see your plane take off, you will be very tired (selected). [ Source: Taiwan Strait Network WeChat Comprehensive Strait Guide New Media]