Regarding the election situation of Hou Youyi, a member of the Kuomintang, a member of the Chinese Kuomintang, the election situation of Hou Youyi, a candidate for New Taipei City , and former deputy executive of the Kuomintang think tank, Huang Xinhua, told the Hong Kong China Review News Agency that Hou Youyi's election situation is relatively optimistic, but one of the biggest concerns is that he is afraid that the supporters of the blue camp will not go out to vote because they think Hou has a stable win, which will affect the turnout rate of New Taipei. When it drops to less than 65%, the number of seats of the parliament will be greatly impacted.
2018 New Taipei Mayoral Election, Hou Youyi won 57.15% of the votes, winning 42.85% of the DPP's Su Zhenchang, and defeating Su nearly 300,000 votes. The turnout rate is 64.00%.
Huang Xinhua emphasized that if Hou Youyi wants to compete for the "big position" in 2024 in the future, this re-election election will not only have to win, but also win beautifully, which will increase the number of seats of the Kuomintang New Taipei City Councillors. If it cannot be more than the current 30 seats, it will be a great impact for Hou.
Hou Youyi's opponent to be re-elected is Lin Jialong of the DPP. He is optimistic about the chance of being re-elected successfully. So the current discussion is more about whether he will challenge the "big position" of 2024 after he is re-elected, so the whole DPP always wants Hou to promise to do it well.
Huang Xinhua said that Hou Youyi's biggest asset is, of course, the overall support is still the highest among the blue camp politicians, which is his greatest advantage. The current test must be chosen and won and beautiful. These basic thresholds seem to be at present. After meeting the standards, we will achieve the commanding heights that we will reach the next stage. I believe that Hou will have a set of plans at that time.
As for the DPP that has been attacking Hou Youyi, asking him to promise to do it well, will Hou get stuck?
Huang Xinhua said that this is entirely the attack mode of the DPP in order to save Lin Jialong's election. As the current mayor of New Taipei, striving for re-election is his greatest guarantee and commitment to the citizens. Therefore, the current struggle for re-election is a proof that Hou wants to do things well. So at this stage, Hou Youyi won the election and fought beautifully, which is the most important thing at this stage.
As for 2024, Huang Xinhua said that this is all the attack deployment of the green camp for the sake of elections, and Hou Dada does not have to be affected by the other party's rhythm.
Speaking of Hou Youyi's optimistic election, can he defeat his opponent nearly 300,000 votes like in 2018?
Huang Xinhua believes that Hou Youyi wants to win this time, and he thinks it is difficult, because there is a chance but a difficulty. In terms of objective environment, whether it is Sino-US relations or cross-strait relations, or the atmosphere of Taiwan's hatred of the Democratic Progressive Party, it is not that easy for the Blue Camp to choose from compared with 2018, but overall, the Blue Camp should still have a little advantage at the moment.
As for the reason why it is difficult for Hou Youyi to win, Huang Xinhua said that Hou’s election is optimistic, but the biggest concern is whether the supporters will not go out to vote because they are too optimistic? This matter is a matter that all the people who care about Hou Youyi must pay great attention to. They cannot go out to vote just because they think Hou has a stable win. When the voter turnout rate of the blue camp supporters decreases, Hou may win in addition to being unpretentious, and may also impact the number of seats of the parliamentarians.
Huang Xinhua emphasized that the New Taipei City Council, the largest constituency in Taiwan, should elect 66 seats of members. This time, a total of 129 people will compete for it. If the Kuomintang can have more than half of the 34 seats, it will be smoother to assist Hou Youyi in municipal construction. Therefore, Hou not only needs to win his own election, but also must raise the election of member members. This is one, and no side can be ignored.
Previously, according to Taiwan media reports, the DPP recently conducted an internal poll in Xinzhuang District, the traditional green camp vote warehouse of New Taipei City, which has a population of more than 400,000. Among them, New Taipei Mayor Hou Youyi received a 49.9% approval rating, and Democratic Progressive Party’s New Taipei Mayor candidate Lin Jialong received a 26.3% approval rating, with a gap of 23.6%. If converted based on the 2018 turnout rate, Hou Youyi will lead by nearly 500,000 votes. However, this poll is mainly based on the local verbs, and the green camp generally has a high support for young people, and the actual gap may be narrowed. (Xue Yang/Edited)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-