According to Taiwan media reports, ETtoday News Cloud released a poll on the 2022 New Taipei Mayor's election today, showing that the support for the New Taipei Mayor of the Kuomintang, Hou Youyi, was 56.1%, and the support for the New Taipei Mayor candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, Lin Jialong, was 30.8%, and Hou Youyi was 25.3 percentage points ahead of Lin Jialong; in terms of optimism, 63.3% of New Taipei citizens were optimistic that Hou Youyi was elected as the mayor of New Taipei in 2022, while Lin Jialong was 25.2%.
This polling method is to notify the "mobile phone message" to conduct online questionnaires.
poll analysis pointed out that Hou Youyi's satisfaction with the administration was 73%, which was significantly higher than the dissatisfaction evaluation. On various municipal issues, the top five municipal development projects that New Taipei citizens care about most are social welfare, social security, transportation construction, housing price issues and medical policies. After cross-analysis of the
poll, it was found that among different genders and ages, Hou Youyi's support is higher than Lin Jialong, especially for the 40-49-year-old ethnic group. The support gap between Hou and Lin is more than 43%. However, it is worth noting that the support gap between Hou Youyi and Lin Jialong is 11.3% and 14.4% respectively, which are the two age groups with the smallest gap.
In terms of party tendencies, Hou Youyi not only gains high support among the Kuomintang and the pan-blue ethnic group, but also receives high support among the People's Party and middle-aged voters in Taiwan, with support levels of 78.7% and 63.0% respectively. Hou Youyi can also get about 23% of the voters who prefer the Democratic Progressive Party.
If we look at the constituency of the constituency of the constituency of the parliamentary, Hou Youyi's leading range of the second election area ( Linkou District , Wugu District, Taishan District), the third election area ( Xinzhuang District ), the seventh election area ( Yonghe District ), the ninth election area (Xindian District, Shenkeng District, Shiding District , Pinglin District , Wulai District ), and the 11th election area ( Jinshan District , Wanli District , Xizhi District ), all reached more than 35% of the five constituencies with the largest support gap between the two.
. In the first election area of the constituency of the constituency ( Shimen District , Sanzhi District, Tamsui District , Bali District), the fourth election area ( Luzhou District , Sanchong District), the eighth election area (shulin District, Yingge District , Tucheng District , Sanxia District ), and the 10th election area ( Pingxi District , Ruifang District , Shuangxi District, Gongliao District ), Hou Youyi's leading range is less than 15%, which is the constituency with a small gap in support between the two. But since the election is still some time away, the subsequent changes still need to be seen.
This poll was conducted by the "Dongsen New Media ETtoday" Poll Center, which is responsible for questionnaire design, survey execution, data processing, statistical analysis and report writing. The survey period was conducted from July 9 to 11. People over 20 years old in New Taipei City were the survey scope and targets. An online questionnaire was notified by the "mobile phone message" method; the number of valid samples collected by the survey was 1,202, and the sampling error was plus or minus 2.83% at the 95% confidence level.
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