Since the Russian army was defeated in the direction of Kharkov, the Ukrainian battlefield has entered a new stage of Ukrainian attacking Russia and defense. Military strategists from all over the world have also begun to speculate on where the Ukrainian army's next attack direct

▲The Ukrainian army currently has three possible attack axes

Since the Russian army was defeated in Kharkov , the Ukrainian battlefield has entered a new stage of Ukrainian attacking and defense. Military strategists from all over the world have also begun to speculate on where the Ukrainian army's next attack direction is. These opinions are summarized in about three types: First, we set out from Kharkov and Kupyangske to attack Luhansk Oblast , which is for the Luhansk front, and the attack axis is Hongliman-Licichangsk-North Donetsk-Luhansk City , some Ukrainian troops are now attacking Hongliman and Lisichangsk, which is the evidence given by this statement; second, starting from Avdivka to attack Donetsk City, for the Donetsk front. Recently, some Ukrainian armored troops attacked Donetsk International Airport. Although they were repelled by Donetsk militias, the airport and the city suffered more and more artillery attacks, which may be prepared to launch an attack; third, starting from Nikolayev Prefecture to attack Kelsson , for the Kelsson front. At present, both the Ukrainian troops and the Russian troops have deployed heavy troops in this area, and the battle is very fierce.

▲ Zaporoze area is the weakness of the Russian army

However, if you carefully observe these three fronts, you will find that neither armies currently have the possibility of breaking the deadlock. If the Ukrainian army launches an attack from the direction of Zaporoze and directly attacks the front line of Mariupol , it is very likely to repeat Kharkov's victory again.

First look at the Lugansk front. The advantage of the Ukrainian army in this battle in the line was that after winning Kharkov Prefecture, the logistics supplies had a strong railway transportation line, while the Russian army lost the logistics route to supply Bergorod from Bergorod . Overall, the Ukrainian army has the advantage, but the problem is that the Russian army located in Lugansk Prefecture is relatively strong, close to the Russian mainland, and closely approaches the troops of the attacking Donetsk . It is not realistic for the Ukrainian army to capture the big cities of Lixichangsk-North Donetsk-Lugansk all the way. Even the small town of Chongliman, which is now attacking, has not made any substantial progress, and the opponent is still the Lugansk militia.

Let’s look at the Donetsk front again. If the Ukrainian army can succeed in this direction, it can cooperate with the Kharkov group in the north to form two iron pliers to surround the entire Russian army in eastern Ukraine. However, the problem is that the area is far away from the Ukrainian army's successor supply base, transportation route cities, and large airports. On the contrary, it is very close to the Rostov railway line in the south of the Russian army. In addition, the Donetsk people are deeply disgusted with the Ukrainian army's atrocities back then, so it is not easy to fight quickly.

▲Kerson has the main force of the Russian army in front of him. The Ukrainian army cannot solve the

for a short time. Let’s look at the front of the Kerson. Now the main force of the Russian army is deployed around Kerson. There are about 20,000 people north of the Dnieper River and about 60,000 people south of the Kerson. To be fair, the Ukrainian army has an advantage in fighting in this place because Kerson is far away from Russia, and there are no decent military factories and surplus military bases on Crimean Peninsula , but because the main force of the Russian army is deployed here, the Ukrainian army's existing strength can only be eroded at most and cannot be eliminated in a short time. This is how

combat is. When the front stalemate is in a state of mind, whoever finds the opponent's weakness first and intersperses can break the deadlock. Now, in the entire defense system of the Russian army, the weakest one is Zaporoze-Mariupol: on the one hand, military supplies transported from Crimea must first meet the needs of the Khlsson front, which is a bottomless pit for equipment and logistics. On the other hand, due to the loss of Kupyansk, military supplies from Rostov in southern Russia must also supply Luhansk and Donetsk Front, which consumes equally amazing. At this time, the Berkansk-Mariupol region between eastern Ukraine and Crimea became the thinnest "iron rod" between dumbbells, and many areas did not even have troops to defend, and the situation was very similar to Kharkov at the time.

▲Mariupol may change history again

Some people may say that once the Russian army finds that the Ukrainian army mobilizes troops to assemble in the Zaporoze area, it will naturally strengthen the defense in this direction. But the problem is that after looking at the Ukrainian railway line, you will know that the two railway lines from Kharkov to Zaporoze and from Dnipro to Zaporoze are both the main lines of the Ukrainian railway, all of which are in the hands of the Ukrainian army. Moreover, Kharkov and Dnipro are the centers of the Ukrainian war zone, with abundant materials and strong air defense strength. The Russian army is just the opposite. There are almost no railway lines from Mariupol to Melitopol that can be directly connected. Even if the Russian army knows the Ukrainian trends, the mobilization speed cannot exceed that of the Ukrainian army, so that an asymmetric advantage can be formed.

Once the area between Mariupol and Melitopol was taken by the Ukrainian army, the Russian army completely broke off contact with the Donetsk theater in the Khlsong theater, and the results of the Russian army in the first phase were gone.

Recapture of Mariupol certainly has great political propaganda significance, please wait and see.