In May 2018, the US government of Trump unilaterally announced the abolition of the Iran nuclear agreement and restarted economic sanctions on Iran. Since April 2019, on the grounds that Iran has expanded its nuclear activities again, it has gathered several aircraft carriers and a large number of naval and air forces such as B-52 and F-22 in the Persian Gulf region. In response to a series of sanctions imposed by the United States, Iran has suspended the implementation of some clauses of the Iran nuclear agreement in two phases, involving the restrictions on enriched uranium and heavy water reserves, and the limit on the enrichment of uranium that cannot be higher than 3.67%. Iranian President Rouhani said on the 24th that Iran will further suspend the implementation of the comprehensive agreement on Iran's nuclear issue.
The latest situation reported by the International Atomic Energy Agency in June 2019 shows that Iran fulfills its commitments related to the nuclear issue in the Iran nuclear agreement. However, even though he knew that Iran had fulfilled his nuclear obligations, Trump insisted on strengthening sanctions and military pressure on Iran in order to force Tehran to sign a new version of the Iran nuclear agreement including restricting the development and regional expansion of the ballistic missile. In Tehran's view, they may not develop nuclear weapon , but they will never abandon their own weapons and their development in ballistic missiles, because this is the foundation of their survival in the Middle East. With the increase in security threats from the United States, possessing nuclear weapons is undoubtedly the best choice for Iran to ensure its own security.
According to officials of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization on the 3rd, if other relevant countries do not fulfill their corresponding obligations, Iran has the ability to restart the production of 20% abundant enriched uranium within two days. At the same time, considering Iran's 3.67 uranium-235 inventory, it can be inferred that if Iran withdraws from the Iran nuclear agreement, the enrichment of uranium will be increased to more than 90% and obtain sufficient weapons-grade nuclear materials, it will only take up to three months. In other words, the time it takes for Iran to decide to develop nuclear weapons, to produce the required nuclear raw materials, and then to assemble a nuclear warhead, may not exceed six months at most. However, if Iran pursues nuclear weapons, it may be hit by a military strike from the United States and Israel. Iran will not take this step easily unless it is absolutely necessary. Just as Iran is constantly testing the suspension of the nuclear agreement and expanding the production of nuclear materials, Turkish President Erdogan said that it is unacceptable for nuclear-weapon countries to ban Turkey from obtaining its own nuclear weapons. At the same time, Erdogan also hinted that Israel has a nuclear bomb but no one cares about it. Turkey has not approved the purchase of advanced missiles from the United States, and even the F-35 fighter jets that have delivered the deposit refused to deliver for various reasons and excuses.
In fact, as a major country in the Middle East, Türkiye is not popular in the NATO alliance. NATO military exercises even hung a portrait of Erdogan on a hypothetical enemy display board. After the outbreak of the Syrian civil war, NATO dispatched the " Patriot " air defense missile in Turkey for security reasons. However, after the Russian army entered Syrian , the United States unilaterally withdrew the missiles deployed at the border, which led to Turkey's sense of security not increasing but decreasing. The "negative energy" brought by the United States is much more than this. Türkiye regards Kurdish armed forces as the biggest threat in the country, but the United States provides support for it by combating terrorism, which puts great security pressure on Turkish border security. To this end, Türkiye has to seek strategic cooperation with Russia and introduce Russian-made S-400 air defense missiles to improve its own air defense security and military-industrial technology. In response, the United States has hindered its security reasons and even seized Türkiye's F-35 fighter jets that have been paid. To put it bluntly, the United States is not willing to provide effective security protection for Turkey, nor does it allow Turkey to cooperate with other countries in defense, and even imposes an arms embargo on Turkey's foreign military purchases. Turkey's humiliation and anger can be imagined.
In fact, Erdogan's statement on the nuclear issue is not just to express strong dissatisfaction with the United States, but to try to change the role of servants who have long cooperated with the strategic interests of the United States and NATO and seek to achieve equality in interactions with the United States. However, the United States bluntly stated that this is just a pretentious person.As an ally of the United States, Turkey should have worked closely with the United States, but now it has turned to strengthening cooperation with Russia in the field of security; on the Iran issue, Turkey clearly opposes the US's comprehensive sanctions on Iran and is unwilling to cut off economic and trade ties with Iran, which has weakened the United States' influence in the Middle East. But Israel is concerned about the interests of the United States on many issues. Analysts believe that judging from the raid on Iraq's nuclear reactor in 1981 and bombing Syria's nuclear facilities in 2007, it is by no means Israel's statement. Moreover, over the years, Israel has repeatedly bombed neighboring countries because it relies on the biggest "trump card" with nuclear weapons. It can be predicted that Israel will do its best to prevent Türkiye and Iran from becoming nuclear countries, even if it is put into force.
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