Taiwan’s local COVID-19 outbreak, the DPP authorities are unable to prevent the epidemic, and coupled with the lack of vaccines, the favorability of the polls has declined, but the favorability of the Kuomintang in China has not increased. In an interview, Yuan Heling, professor at the of ZTE University in Taiwan, said that people may not necessarily like the blue camp, especially the Kuomintang’s recent operations on issues are less likely to hit the pain points, which is pale in comparison with the performance of the Taiwan People’s Party. This is a warning from the blue camp. If the adjustment cannot be made, it may be difficult to meet the four "referendums" at the end of August.
Yuan Heling
The DPP authorities' epidemic prevention actions have been questioned by the outside world. A poll conducted by Taiwan's "Beautiful Island Electronic News" in June showed that the public's favorability towards the DPP was 42.0%, a decrease of 5.3 percentage points from last month, and a disgust reached 47.3%, an increase of 6.4 percentage points from last month. However, the public's favorability towards the Kuomintang was only 31.5%, an increase of only 0.1 percentage point. Instead, the Taiwanese People's Party's identity attributes grew from 4.3% to 7.6%.
According to the fact that the public's favorability in the blue camp cannot take advantage of the situation. Yuan Heling said that because the public is dissatisfied with the DPP's vaccine policy or epidemic prevention policy, it does not mean that they will turn to support the Kuomintang. These are two things. A's relative is "non-A", but A's relative is not B. People hate A does not mean that they like B.
The reason why the Kuomintang had this dilemma was Yuan Heling, who believed that first of all, the Blue Camp was just an opposition party, without administrative power, and had no administrative tools, and could only supervise the government and could not produce practical results; secondly, the Blue Camp had no advantage in the "Legislative Yuan", and even if there were policy proposals, it could not produce policy influence; finally, the issue was not able to hit the pain points in operation, and the ruling counties and municipal governments of the Blue Camp jointly launched the issue, resulting in the inability to increase the voice and could not gain positive favorability.
Yuan Heling mentioned that although the Kuomintang has innate restrictions, such as being in opposition and not having the advantage of seats in the "Legislative Yuan", it can be found that the political party trend of the Taiwan People's Party, which has the same problems, has risen against the trend. From this, it can be highlighted that the Kuomintang's relatively weak operational ability on issues and also reveals the warning of the blue camp.
He said that because of the identity of Taipei mayor, and his medical professionalism, the epidemic command performance is remarkable, the relevant handling is very clear, challenging the official epidemic prevention policy of the DPP and creating many topics. This kind of personal heroic behavior can easily create political momentum, and this situation has driven the overall atmosphere of the People's Party. In addition, the People's Party's "legislators" Cai Biru, Gao Hongan and others performed well in the conference hall, and the rise in the political party's momentum is also reflected in the poll indicators.
The Kuomintang lacks relevant performance. Unfortunately, Yuan Heling said that the Blue Committee’s inquiries in the conference often did not focus on the key points and did not hit the key points. Although there were many criticisms, they lacked constructive or substantial benefits. Perhaps they had a creative voice, but they were mostly negative, so they did not seize the opportunity to increase the favorability of the political party.
In particular, the Blue Camp clearly has 14 ruling counties and municipal governments, but it cannot create voice like Ko Wen-je. The fundamental reason is that the Party Central Committee failed to unify local government resources, resulting in the leaders fighting alone. For example, although New Taipei Mayor Hou Youyi was a bright and the people's tone rose, his political parties did not add points. For example, although Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan did a good job, his style was low-key and could not be the highlight. This is the problem of the Blue Camp.
(Edited by Xue Yang)
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