Japan has recently jumped higher and higher on the Taiwan Strait issue and became more and more impatient. In addition to continuing to curry favor with the United States, the Tsai Ing-wen authorities and the "Taiwan independence" forces on the island are also showing signs of strengthening their efforts to collude with Japan in their actions.
The United States and Taiwan are getting more and more anxious
Look at two events first. On May 5, Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio , who visited the UK, said that peace and stability in Taiwan Strait are not only important to Japan, but also related to the stability of the international situation. On the same day, Representative and acting leader of the Liberal Democratic Party Youth Bureau of Japan who visited Taiwan, Kenka Suzuki, shouted that Taiwan is an important friend close to Japan. The frequent entry of PLA military aircraft into Taiwan's " air defense identification zone " also made Japan feel a sense of crisis, and Japan treats it as its own thing.
Pay attention to their wording, Kishida Fumio visited the UK, saying that peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait are "not only important to Japan, but also to the stability of the international situation". It shows that Japan not only uses the excuse of the Taiwan Strait to interfere in China's internal affairs and interfere in the Taiwan issue, but also tries to incite other Western anti-China forces. Among them, in addition to hoping that the United States will be more firm and more in-depth intrusive in Taiwan, the United Kingdom is also the key target of its struggle to win over.
Japan's Liberal Democratic Party Youth Bureau claims to be the "cradle of Japanese Prime Minister". Its visits to Taiwan and clamored that Japan (taking the Taiwan Strait issue) is regarded as its own business. This argument is exactly the same as Shinzo Abe's frequent words after leaving office, saying that "Taiwan has something to do, but Japan has something to do."
In fact, from the speech of Japanese Deputy Defense Minister Yasuhide Nakayama delivered a speech at the Hudson Institute in the United States on June 28 last year to raise the issue of the Taiwan Strait; on July 5, Japanese Deputy Prime Minister Aso Taro clamored that "the United States and Japan must cooperate in defense of Taiwan"; on July 13, Japan's " Defense White Paper " mentioned for the first time that "the stability of the Taiwan situation is crucial to Japan", to the time after Shinzo Abe stepped down, "If Taiwan has something to do, Japan has something to do", and now Kishida Fumio claimed that the Taiwan Strait "is not only important to Japan, but also to the stability of the international situation", it can be seen that the Japanese right-wing forces are becoming more and more anxious, more anxious and more arrogant on the Taiwan issue.
Look at the Taiwan aspect again. On May 5, Tsai Ing-wen delivered a speech when meeting with members of the Youth Bureau of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, saying that Taiwan’s security is not a matter of a single country and region, “It must be considered from the perspective of the entire first, island chain, and geopolitical, so Taiwan-Japan relations are so close and important.” Tsai Ing-wen took the initiative to bring wolves into the house. His implication is that in addition to hoping that Japan will pay attention to the Taiwan issue, she also begged the United States and Japan to view Taiwan's geostrategic importance from the perspective of "the entire first island chain". To put it bluntly, the Tsai Ing-wen administration's purpose is to request the United States and Japan to strongly endorse Taiwan, support "Taiwan independence", and try every means to try to launch Latin America and Japan.
lack of confidence in the United States
Why did the Japanese right-wing and "Taiwan independence" show more and more anxious and more uneasy? This actually reflects their guilt and lack of confidence in whether the United States will intervene when something happens in the Taiwan Strait. Especially after the US withdraws troops Afghanistan and does not send troops to Ukraine, this anxiety is even more serious. On the one hand, Japan frequently mentions the Taiwan Strait issue and makes it increasingly serious. In fact, it is to test the US position and hopes that the US can agree to apply the US-Japan Security Treaty on the Taiwan issue; on the other hand, it is not fully confident in the United States, and it is also preparing for another future and actively attract and persuade British anti-China forces to intervene in the Taiwan Strait.
Due to the long-term deception of the DPP, many Taiwanese people used to believe that "the United States will send troops to defend Taiwan." However, after the United States did not send troops to defend Ukraine, even the Green Camp poll showed that it believed that "the US military will send troops to defend Taiwan." The people on the island dropped sharply from more than 60% to only about 30%, and the DPP was also guilty and had no idea. Although the DPP still regards the United States as its biggest backer, it has also begun to show what Weng Luzhong, an associate professor of the Department of Politics at Sam Houston State University in the United States, said. Now many Taiwanese are beginning to imagine that "Japan will come to assist in defense" and "If you don't help, hurry up and find your second brother." This is the key to the recent intensification of efforts to connect with Japan.Haven't you seen that the Democratic Progressive Party recently organized Taiwan's political, business and academic circles to "fashion the Japanese" and "Taiwan independence" elements to establish the "Friends of Shinzo Abe", and Chen Tangshan, the stubborn "Taiwan independence" elements and the head of the Taiwan foreign affairs department during the Chen Shui-bian period, served as the first president. Chen Tangshan publicly stated without hesitation that since Abe attaches great importance to Taiwan and is very friendly, he wants to establish the "Friends of Shinzo Abe" to strengthen and deepen Taiwan-Japan relations through Abe's reputation as a call.
The United States is unwilling to be led by the rhythm
As for the United States' attitude, it still plays a "two-hand strategy" on the issue of the Taiwan Strait. It said it adheres to the one-China policy and hopes that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait will resolve their differences peacefully. In fact, it is becoming increasingly deviated from the three joint communiqués of China and the United States, and is increasingly hollowing out the "one-China principle".
US President Biden Although he had previously expressed "four no and one unintentional" statements, that is, he did not seek to fight a "new Cold War" with China, he did not seek to change the Chinese system, he did not seek to oppose China by strengthening alliance relations, he did not support "Taiwan independence", and he did not intend to conflict with China; however, the tone of the US policy toward China has not changed substantially, and the US executive department has not implemented Biden's statement, including using mechanisms such as the so-called "Quadong Talks", " Five Eyes Alliance ", "US-Japan Alliance", "US-British-AUKUS Alliance", and using various forms of mixed means such as politics, economy, finance, and military to continue to encircle, suppress and contain China. The Biden administration actively uses the DPP authorities as a pawn of "anti-China" and "using Taiwan to control China" and pushes Taiwan to the frontline strategy of confronting mainland China. On May 5, U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin mentioned the Taiwan Strait issue again during a meeting with Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi during a meeting at the Pentagon Building. This is the latest example.
However, on the one hand, the United States uses "Taiwan independence" to stimulate mainland China, but on the other hand, it is unwilling to be dragged into the water by "Taiwan independence". This is clear. The United States' statement of "not supporting Taiwan independence" is not only a warning to "Taiwan independence" not to go too far, but also a warning to Japan not to use the US-Japan Security Treaty indiscriminately. The Japanese right-wing and "Taiwan independence" want to drag the United States into the water, but when the United States uses the Taiwan issue, it hopes to ensure that it is the dominant player of the rhythm, so as to avoid a scramble between China and the United States and force the United States into a dilemma of being unable to advance or retreat. (Haiping)
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